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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. It ended up closer to F8 than H&S in PS, and will probably be closer to F8 in PSm as well. I’d definitely ref H&S hourlies if I knew where to find ‘em though.
  2. In breaking news, survey reveals that people think CBMs are big-screen worthy and a lot of other movies aren’t. 2016-2019 were unavailable for comment.
  3. I’d say :25 or so to be safe that you’re really seeing the new hour’s data. The pages for individual movies updated promptly at :20, but they no longer show the hourlies anyway.
  4. Reviews still matter, even if less so. H&S had summer+low competition+lower opening to try to leg from. Wasn’t sure what competition looked like for F9 — I figure probably weak, but since I was describing floor didn’t bother to check 😛
  5. Maybe 850 still possible after all 👀 850*1.6 for 1530/$240ish probably the worst case.
  6. Just because media outlets peg a range does not mean that’s what it would really have opened at. Anyway AQP1 had an 11.7 IM, not really sure what to expect for AQP2 3-day. Sequels usually have more preview loading, but also have covid and Sun holding well thanks to Mon holiday. Maybe 3*11 or something for the 3-day?
  7. More like 33%. But it’s pretty decent with F9 opening this week imo.
  8. 104k today as DS rises to 2nd place once again 1 Fast & Furious 9 THE FAST SAGA U.S. May 19, 2021 $858,463 ($4,274,293) 103,961 (504,663) 2,094 84.68% 2 Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba the Movie - Mugen Train Japan Jan 27, 2021 $19,822 ($17,220,397) 2,325 (2,024,879) 321 1.95% 3 Spiral: From the Book of Saw Hungary May 12, 2021 $19,029 ($992,239) 2,265 (113,167) 391 1.87% 4 Stand by Me Doraemon 2 Japan May 19, 2021 $14,882 ($244,104) 2,023 (31,825) 391 1.46% 5 Waiting For Rain South Korea Apr 28, 2021 $11,963 ($2,927,351) 1,469 (359,123) 273 1.18% CGV PS for Friday are 18k, day probably 110ish. Egg seems to be stabilizing ~91%. DS look like about 3.3k Fri, down about a third weekly.
  9. FFH had a kind of wild final day hourly shape. I think being summer juiced the final few hours — more people awake and buying tickets compared to school night patterns. F9 looking at a pretty mild final day after D-1 was so good. Thinking 107
  10. On the one hand, yes. On the other hand, I’m sure exhibition would be overjoyed at this problem — more of an issue for studios/producers hoping to get their money back from each individual title living up to potential than for locations that just want to sell a lot of total popcorn each weekend.
  11. Tbh I feel like GvK, DS, MK, WoM, Spiral, AQP2, and Cruella will all do pretty close (say, 60%+ — in some cases maybe 90%+) to normalcy. But... 2020 didn’t have the most blockbustery slate to begin with, and the only big hitters to end up in 1H 2021 were GvK and F9. I do hope for some more surprises to the upside in June, but we’ll just have to have a little patience and see what we see — 2H 2021 is pretty jam packed even if it doesn’t have any surefire behemoths until Dec.
  12. So now that forum shows most popular days, I was curious what happened on Apr 23 2015. Turns out it’s just a bunch of people counting down to (and then celebrating) the release of Ultron OD admissions. They didn’t have anything hourly to go off of because we hadn’t figured out CGV tracking yet. Crazy how times have changed 😁
  13. Just 48% CGV for 400k OD! 1 Fast & Furious 9 THE FAST SAGA U.S. May 19, 2021 $3,407,491 ($3,412,739) 397,783 (398,178) 2,265 83.89% 2 Stand by Me Doraemon 2 Japan May 19, 2021 $216,201 ($229,705) 28,058 (29,752) 629 5.32% 3 Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba the Movie - Mugen Train Japan Jan 27, 2021 $86,795 ($17,253,798) 10,158 (2,022,543) 361 2.13% 4 The Croods: A New Age U.S. May 05, 2021 $48,744 ($1,688,122) 6,473 (215,780) 274 1.2% 5 Spiral: From the Book of Saw Hungary May 12, 2021 $53,140 ($976,102) 6,138 (110,891) 466 1.3%
  14. Yeah I was just coming here to say 185/350ish. Egg at 93% is pretty solid, still low enough sample to fluctuate a decent bit
  15. Anybody know what the DS weekend actual or cume actual is 😂
  16. F9 has now appeared on CGV, with 98k. Don’t want to venture a guess about PSm or OD:5-day legs given the holiday circumstances.
  17. The late 2021 0 day free window was always insane, but I’ve gotta admit I didn’t see it ending exactly this way
  18. Hollywood is... on life support, in China. I see today falling a bit short with maybe 31.7, vs 32.2 projected. Expecting 95M final OD PS for maybe 275 OD. 800-900 definitely making sense for the weekend unless something notable happens with final days or reception.
  19. Modeling BO as a linear fit to pages of thread activity two months before release, this is gonna end with like 50M 🙃
  20. Oh dear, not the new forum layout alerting me that I’m the top poster in this thread by an embarrassing margin
  21. Yeah the cume and the weekend make 0 sense with each other here, lol. Hopefully it’ll be reconciled nicely by tomorrow, but kind of doubt it 😕
  22. Deadline has 1.77 for DS. They’re calling it -41% because they still have the wrong number for last weekend that’s on the-numbers and mojo — but in actuality -35.5%. Pretty solid stuff.
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