Jump to content

Cooper Legion

Gold Account
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    23,008

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    17

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    We still get some big surprises even with more prerelease data analysis. BP, Solo, JL, I2, JW, WW’s legs, CM overseas, AQM overseas, Bohemian Rhapsody... all pretty recent.
  2. Cooper Legion
    Yeah, I would talk more about good presales comps for Pika if I had any clue what a good presale comp for Pika might be 😛 Just going to have to live with a wide range until it opens, the horror. Edit: Oh, I actually kind of like Venom, despite the genre difference.
  3. Cooper Legion
    Okay, venting over, that’s enough Pika discussion from me until we get some actual numbers (which I am looking forward to, and hope are solid). On the front of movies that we have actual numbers for at the moment, Endgame is down to 24.9 vs Shazam’s 20.6 on Mt thanks to discount Tuesday. Shazam will likely pass it in 3 hours and end a couple % ahead for the day. On Fandango 24 rolling Endgame is at 28.5k and has been falling the last few hours. Think it might end around 25k, which would be a better hold than I expected. Are we expecting an update to official tracking this week? Would be Thurs, right?
  4. Cooper Legion
    Spamming complaints won’t do anything. I’m not under any illusion otherwise, just venting a bit. And, most importantly, I’m not spamming complaints about Pika jokes. On the other hand, Pika jokes actually are spammed, and it brings down the level of discussion in practically any thread tangentially related to it.
  5. Cooper Legion
    Even applying FK’s presales ratios to DP will produce a figure I’ll happily point to. I don’t want it to do bad, just some actual numbers to replace the constant “500M OD” nonsense.
  6. Cooper Legion
    Captain Marvel Walt Disney $865,424 -76% 3,573 $242 $374,748,790 Brutal Monday all around, even less reason to worry about Shazam.
  7. Cooper Legion
    I only complain about the stale Pika jokes once a week or so. They get made dozens of times a day. Pretty big difference.
  8. Cooper Legion
    I don’t really buy the sad ending-> low rewatch theory for CW. IW had a sad ending and I think was hugely rewatched. think the main driver was playing as Avengers 2.5 for days 1-3 but Captain America 3 for days 4-90.
  9. Cooper Legion
    So happy for later this week when Pika sales are underwhelming and I have hard data to respond to the hideously overdone Pika jokes with.
  10. Cooper Legion
    Huh, so it’s both sets vs tickets and a subset of ticket sets vs all ticket sets. Didn’t know either. But as Venom says, not a huge deal *as long as* the subset is representative and the # tickets per set is similar across the movies being used as comps.
  11. Cooper Legion
    2.28, even. Which is a fair bit worse.
  12. Cooper Legion
    They need to stockpile up some OS Monday reporting, since Endgame’s first 4 Mondays will all be big enough to deserve it
  13. Cooper Legion
    Oh wow, I didn’t know that announcing sequels early gave you an added 20M to your WW gross. More studios should use that trick
  14. Cooper Legion
    We could probably test this by finding a movie which is only selling like 1 ticket now on the fandango hourlies, buy one set of 10 tickets, and see if that hour comes in around 2 or around 11. Then exchange them after for some movies you actually want to see
  15. Cooper Legion
    I actually agree that I’d rather take a young child to see CM than Shazam, but the reasons why aren’t clear from the marketing.
  16. Cooper Legion
    The direct quote This is INSANITY. No wonder Pulse crashed.
  17. Cooper Legion
    What I’m saying doesn’t have anything to do with absolute numbers. I’m just point out that mathematically, not all N% differences in drop are created equal, the higher the drop the bigger a difference it really is. For instance, say we’re dropping from 10M for a concrete, clean scenario. 50% drop vs 45% drop results in a 5M day vs 5.5M day, so the 5% better drop gives a 10% better day. 75% drop vs 70% drop is 2.5M day vs 3M day, so the 5% drop is a 20% better day. An extreme case, 85% drop vs 80% drop is 1.5M day vs 2M day, so the 5% better drop is a fully 33% better day. The difference between 78 and 75% drop is actually way more than e.g. 50 vs 53% drop. Again, I agree with all the contextual reasons that Shazam should be expected to have a larger Monday drop and don’t view it as any cause for concern.
  18. Cooper Legion
    Give it a low internal multi for 1B DOM Ow then But also, the fact that Atom’s 4 biggest presellers include CM and AQM instead of BP, RO, or TFA is a good sign of how they’re a new fast growing platform and the 13 month difference form IW presales probably corresponded to a much higher jump in overall presales for them than Fandango (or presales overall).
  19. Cooper Legion
    To be fair, Shazam’s Mon is 22.4% of Sun (per this estimate) vs 25.2% for GotG2. So, that 3% drop difference is worth a more than 10% bigger Monday. However, Shazam is basically the most kid targeted live action SH movie we’ve ever had release on a school week. I agree the drop is completely normal and no cause for alarm.
  20. Cooper Legion
    The Incredibles dropped a whopping 81.4%. Didn’t have an A though — but an A+! 3.7 legs.
  21. Cooper Legion
    3.4M less than Ant-Man #definitelyAGoodWeekdayComp #pleaseDontLookFurtherIntoThisInAnyWay
  22. Cooper Legion
    293,871,333 729,328,117 1,023,199,450 ¥1,744,385,691
  23. Cooper Legion
    Yes, taopiaopiao
  24. Cooper Legion
    You’ve got to be joking me. How easily we forget. Pikachu fandom hasn’t done anything toxic yet though
  25. Cooper Legion
    This is what happens when you don’t start presales 21 days early like a big movie deserves
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept