Cooper Legion

If you add them up, it’s a clear failure

If WOM is bad, could still fail on OW. Something like 50 69 78 60

260% of IW T-18. I was really expecting this to drop off faster with so many of the good times/formats/seats already purchased. Wonder how long it can keep up more than 2x the IW sales.

Yes, they should. Good catch.

Day 7 looks on track to end with about 80-85% of Day 3 Fandango sales. That seems... strange. For a bit of comparison: CM Day 3 (Wednesday) 3,334 tickets CM Day 7 (Sunday) 936 tickets (28% of Day 3) CM Monday of 2nd presale week; 1118 tickets (33.5% of Day 3) And for kicks CM Day -18; 1902 (57% of Day 3 sales) Edit: Nope, more like 90-95%. Underestimated late night sales I guess.

Damn, nice work. Not clear if this is end of day, but I’ll just treat it like it was. The day was 11/30, and those other movies earned: HE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 2 $2,546,218 CREED $1,927,483 THE GOOD DINOSAUR $1,363,250 SPECTRE $712,078 They made 6.55M combined, and TFA was at 32.9% of them on MT, would linearly (danger) give 2.15. Next a T-18 TLJ reading: Again it’s not totally clear if this was the end of day MT reading, but we’ll proceed anyway. The day was 11/27: COCO $2,322,084 JUSTICE LEAGUE $2,103,667 WONDER $1,224,911 THOR: RAGNAROK $872,200 Total of 6.52M (so similar!). TLJ was doing 50% of their sales on this MT snapshot, would be 3.2M. Tl;dr It’s very difficult to do too much with Mondays without knowing the hour of the reading. And AEG is still benefitting from going on sale recently. BUT. AEG’s competition did 28M on Sunday, so should do ~8.5M today, and AEG is doing 73% of their combined sales on MT (would be 6.2M linearly), so I consider that pretty impressive. Edit: As an aside, I am just now appreciating how useful it is for people years from now when the hour is included. I’m going back and editing all my end of day MT posts to be clear that they’re from 17:00 Pacific.

“But may be a bit short” Lol, nope. A very commanding performance from Endgame 18 days before release against the 4th day of a 50M opener. Wish we had TFA data to compare to, but that was in the nuked version of the thread, right? Could dig up some TLJ days I guess. Us was in 5th 2 hours ago, so I think it’s just barely behind CM. 17:00 Pacific Time 1 32.5% Avengers: Endgame 2 22.2% Shazam! 3 9.7% Pet Sematary 4 6.4% Dumbo 5 6.0% Captain Marvel

3/4 through the day, has now passed the Fandango sales of Sunday, Saturday, and Friday with an estimated 17,487 tickets.

Not sure if it’ll be out of the top 3 again until Aladdin.

Up 17% from estimates!? DA FUQ? Edit: Yeah, didn’t think so.

There’s actually a pretty non-trivial chance that these will be the final values rounded to the nearest 10M. Carol dankest avenger confirmed.

Hmm, 40% weekly drops from here leave it at about 699.3. Not sure if that will be too optimistic or too pessimistic.

NA is lame, lacks data cleanliness and delivery speed

4 hours later, from 3.25k to 8.45k, hourly rate of 1.3k 😮 Still 12 hours left to go What in the world is going on!? Since: 2019-04-07 12:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago) RANK PERCENT TICKETS MOVIE 1 45.525% 7483 Avengers Endgame (2019) 2 15.283% 2512 Shazam! 3 06.765% 1112 Pet Sematary (2019) 4 05.895% 969 Avengers Endgame (2019) 5 05.025% 826 Captain Marvel (2019) 6 03.693% 607 Us (2019) 7 03.060% 503 Dumbo (2019)

Wow, autocorrect being whack. Edited

But is it more likely to miss this range low, or high?

Relative to market size, I’d say the most pro-MCU markets are SE Asia — Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, maybe Thailand/Vietnam, and especially Singapore, where the top 5 will soon be 4 Avengers movies+IM3. Brazil is also hugely favorable to the MCU, but with the recent ERs it can’t compete with SK in USD.

17:00 Pacific Time 1 31.4% Shazam! 2 13.6% Dumbo 3 11.4% Pet Sematary 4 11% Avengers: Endgame 5 9.4% Captain Marvel Well, I think there’s a good chance that Endgame won’t have any days in the presale period where it failed to appear in the MT top 5. That’s a remarkable record still! CM is once again above Us, everything is pretty stable from yesterday. Should see a big change tomorrow, think Endgame will return to #1 but my be a bit short.

BvS and JL after that, bit I don’t think it will quite hit $40m

Yeah, SE Asia was my first thought. One of those two, or Philippines/Thailand/Vietnam. I think a local romance sequel finished bigger than CM in Indonesia, but not completely sure.

From Deadline: And seems to match up with the USD$36.2M weekend cume.

BP2: Opens to 200M BOT: WWW?

Maybe we’ll get an estimate for the new record 😘

If I’m reading things correctly, CM survived Shazam very well with a -35% drop to about R$5.5M, and a cume of just over 140. I think Brazil is delivering on my request, and that entails a likely finish at #2 all time! In a month, the Brazil top 3 will be Endgame, IW, and CM — a trio of highly connected movies released over the span of less than one year!!!!! 🤯 True MCU party, can any other territory match this feat?