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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Under $40M would be hardcore, sort of perversely interested in seeing if that happens but I would bet against for now.
  2. 700 will look a lot better with your actuals update tomorrow, especially considering China is now gone. Could still go under though, for sure.
  3. Actuals ~665, adds 26+ over last 7 days. Needs to add about 1.3x that for 700, would be ~43% drops on average. Think it can get there. Should remain in the top 25 after Endgame, meaning 8/25 MCU. Maaaaaaybe can go to 9/25 with FFH, but a lot would have to go right.
  4. Well hey now, the largest jump in OW record is Return of the Jedi with +50% from Wrath of Khan. That would get Endgame to a solid 386M OW
  5. Endgame will set a new record low internal multi for the MCU. The question is whether its internal multi can be “MCU but a bit weaker” vs “basically like SW.”
  6. I understand the reservations, but a lot more tickets are bought online now than for those movies, and the extent to which AEG is demolishing IW's presales with only 12 months difference is pretty imposing. Absolutely things could still go wrong and it could end up with a dissapointing 240M debut or something
  7. Think I’ll just jot down their end of day updates for posterity from now til AEG comes out. Not as useful as Fandango, but why not? There was some movement today that I didn’t expect, with CM rising all the way to 4th, but Endgame stayed above Us and is hanging in there for now. Expect Endgame will drop out tomorrow morning, back for good by Mon. Also AEG is small enough now that I’m dropping the adjusted calculation for the other movies. 17:00 Pacific Time 1 30.1% Shazam! 2 13.9% Dumbo 3 12.9% Pet Sematary 4 9.1% Captain Marvel 5 8.8% Avengers: Endgame
  8. Actually hadn't noticed before that the new top 5 will be 5/5 Marvel and 4/5 Avengers, all from fundamentally the same calendar slot. Pretty funny.
  9. Speaking of records that seem almost certain to get demolished... 1 May 1–3, 2015 Avengers: Age of Ultron $191,271,109 84.5% $226,429,482 2 Apr. 27–29, 2018 Avengers: Infinity War $257,698,183 84.4% $305,421,502 3 May 4–6, 2007 Spider-Man 3 $151,116,516 83.3% $181,322,887 4 May 4–6, 2012 Marvel's The Avengers $207,438,708 83.1% $249,722,108
  10. Endgame will hit holdovers harder than TA, AoU, or IW, both because it’s a known demand monster from presales and the juiced up runtime. Other movies obviously won’t fall to 0, but... it won’t be pretty.
  11. Even with it being a weak month, 2017 sticks out pretty clearly imo 2018 $859.0 +30.5% 244 $3.5 Mission: Impossible 6 $121.4 14.1% 2017 $658.3 -35.4% 228 $2.9 Annabelle 2 $81.7 12.4% 2016 $1,019.7 +20.8% 243 $4.2 Suicide Squad $286.4 28.1% 2015 $844.1 -17.2% 205 $4.1 M:I - Rogue Nation $150.7 17.8% 2014 $1,019.5 +9.8% 231 $4.4 Guardians of the Galaxy $275.4 27.0% 2013 $928.8 +14.9% 216 $4.3 We're the Millers $104.7 11.3% 2012 $808.3 -9.7% 219 $3.7 The Dark Knight Rises $122.7 15.2% 2011 $894.7 +2.3% 218 $4.1 Rise of the Planet of the Apes $151.5 16.9% 2010 $874.6 -3.4% 204 $4.3 The Other Guys $100.4 11.5%
  12. Gunning for Spiderverse imo. The curse of the US critically acclaimed, audience loved, small CBM? = Worldwide: $374,130,437
  13. The largest competition on any of those weekends was Annabelle:Creation with 35M. Only other notable releases Dark Tower and Hitman’s Bodyguard at 20M. That late summer was notoriously barren.
  14. Shazam China total will be some 62% of CM OW. OS-C total maybe some 90% of CM OW. Can it get above 100% of CM’s OW DOM? We’ll see.
  15. Beat previous 24 hr record (TFA) in 6 hrs, just like US. https://www.infobae.com/america/entretenimiento/2019/04/04/los-boletos-para-ver-avengers-endgame-se-venden-en-internet-hasta-20-veces-mas-caros-que-en-cines/ Edit: Seems like it was actually reporting on presales elsewhere, should have double checked. Now back to being excited about what the real numbers will be.
  16. They’re talking on the director level, not franchise level. WW was Jenkin’s first SH directing gig, AQM for Wan, Shazam for Sandberg.
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