Cooper Legion
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Shazam! | April 5, 2019 | 21st Most Profitable Film of 2019
Cooper Legion replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
So if BoP is good they’ll go up to 50% good films, and then WW84 can push it into an outright majority. Great time to be a fan of CBMs. -
BP did +73, so I’m hoping at least +70 with how similar their FSS trajectory was last weekend. 2 BLACK PANTHER Buena Vista 3,370 $4,415,270 +104.9% / $1,310 $618,673,506 / 36 $7,643,962 +73.1% / $2,268 $626,317,468 / 37 $5,040,386 -34.1% / $1,496 $631,357,854 / 38 Deadline’s 34M weekend would be a Sat bounce of about 55%
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It’s a bit ambiguously constructed English in my opinion, but I could tell he meant worldwide amount as of Sunday. Basically in the phrase “worldwide total” the emphasis is usually on the “total” — meaning end-of-run amount. That’s the meaning in a sentence like this: But in a sentence like this: The emphasis in “worldwide total” is instead on the “worldwide.” The time period intended is inherited from the time period for the earlier number, with “worldwide total” only changing the region but not meaning end-of-run. In the Forbes article it’s this case, but flows less naturally because the earlier number being used for contrast is not part of the same sentence, but two sentences earlier. Only the paragraph scturcture holds it all together.
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Nope. 400 was looking good in my opinion, but it depended on having a nice drop this weekend. The L-word is dangerous and overused. BP first started to see an IW bump the weekend before it came out. Two weekends before it made 5.8M. Two weekends before AEG CM will likely make around 6M as well. So it will probably see about the same sized bump, which was worth maybe 5-8M (it’s very difficult to say, since you need to compare to the counterfactual where IW didn’t happen and it’s not clear what the weekend drops would be).
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Elsa Roc is completely on the money y’all. I love CM and am really pulling for 413+, but there’s medium sized competition ahead and any trailer/Endgame bump/double feature push will be a couple M at most. Given a reasonable 3rd weekend multi it need at least 34 this weekend for 400 to be looking good. Which could totally happen — with an early 9 from Rth it’s pretty easy to imagine the weekend coming in at 9.2*3.9=36. Or it could be 8.7*3.7=32. If that happens I recommend you start aiming for GotG2’s total rather than THG, which had crazy late legs.
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Nice find. Loosening the all OW restriction there’s a crazy pair of weekends where Avatar, Sherlock Holmes, and Alvin+Chipmunks 2 are all above 48M on Dec 25-27, and then all above 35M the very next weekend again. I have no good way to exhaustively search, but I don’t think the back-to-back 3 30M+ has happened any other time.
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@feasby007 Yeah, Venom face for sarcasm (more precisely, what I intend with Venom face is generally “aggressively ridiculous”). That post was completely joking, sorry if you thought I was actually sniping at you. I’m very aware that there’s uncertainty involved in extrapolating from a couple days Fandango data to OW figures, especially as Fandango becomes more and more used over time, that no guarantees were made, and I appreciate when people put the time in to make posts with actual math even when the raw numerical output need to be taken with caveats 👍