Cooper Legion

I infer your reaction is supposed to suggest that we should be thrilled with a +68%, @fabiopazzo2? Not really supported by historical data, it would be in line with or only slightly above what should have been expected.

Charlie called the big Sat bounce pretty accurately, 50M weekend forecast will be pretty close. Still pulling for China+Japan to hit 180 but think it will fall a bit short.

Hoping for a bit more out of CM, but 15.5 would be fine. Pretty great for Us.

So if BoP is good they’ll go up to 50% good films, and then WW84 can push it into an outright majority. Great time to be a fan of CBMs.

BP did +73, so I’m hoping at least +70 with how similar their FSS trajectory was last weekend. 2 BLACK PANTHER Buena Vista 3,370 $4,415,270 +104.9% / $1,310 $618,673,506 / 36 $7,643,962 +73.1% / $2,268 $626,317,468 / 37 $5,040,386 -34.1% / $1,496 $631,357,854 / 38 Deadline’s 34M weekend would be a Sat bounce of about 55%

It’s a bit ambiguously constructed English in my opinion, but I could tell he meant worldwide amount as of Sunday. Basically in the phrase “worldwide total” the emphasis is usually on the “total” — meaning end-of-run amount. That’s the meaning in a sentence like this: But in a sentence like this: The emphasis in “worldwide total” is instead on the “worldwide.” The time period intended is inherited from the time period for the earlier number, with “worldwide total” only changing the region but not meaning end-of-run. In the Forbes article it’s this case, but flows less naturally because the earlier number being used for contrast is not part of the same sentence, but two sentences earlier. Only the paragraph scturcture holds it all together.

That 31.7 was a joke, never paid any attention to it. 34 bit on the low end of where I thought the weekend would go, but not alarmingly.

Deadline now with a 9.1 Friday and 33.9 weekend would be a 3.725 IM. Hoping for more, but that would be respectable.

THG had great late legs. Dropped fast in first 17 days but the 3rd week multi is really strong, as is 4th week multi, 5th week multi, etc.

Just cast Tilda Swinton again.

Last week CM’s IM of 3.57 was essentially identical to BP’s 3.56 on the same March weekend. Both low since Friday has some spring break. This week BP was x3.87, so hoping for x3.8-3.9 or so CM. Gives 34-35 off 9M F

Nope. 400 was looking good in my opinion, but it depended on having a nice drop this weekend. The L-word is dangerous and overused. BP first started to see an IW bump the weekend before it came out. Two weekends before it made 5.8M. Two weekends before AEG CM will likely make around 6M as well. So it will probably see about the same sized bump, which was worth maybe 5-8M (it’s very difficult to say, since you need to compare to the counterfactual where IW didn’t happen and it’s not clear what the weekend drops would be).

Elsa Roc is completely on the money y’all. I love CM and am really pulling for 413+, but there’s medium sized competition ahead and any trailer/Endgame bump/double feature push will be a couple M at most. Given a reasonable 3rd weekend multi it need at least 34 this weekend for 400 to be looking good. Which could totally happen — with an early 9 from Rth it’s pretty easy to imagine the weekend coming in at 9.2*3.9=36. Or it could be 8.7*3.7=32. If that happens I recommend you start aiming for GotG2’s total rather than THG, which had crazy late legs.

It’s the Hong Kong poster only. Source is Gavin’s Twitter, amusingly.

Fandango works after all?

“4+“

So in other words, Pet Sematary>Glass for OW?

Nice find. Loosening the all OW restriction there’s a crazy pair of weekends where Avatar, Sherlock Holmes, and Alvin+Chipmunks 2 are all above 48M on Dec 25-27, and then all above 35M the very next weekend again. I have no good way to exhaustively search, but I don’t think the back-to-back 3 30M+ has happened any other time.

Yeah, and a flying elephant soon to join. It’s going to demolish last March, when the top grosser was... BP, with 219M. And second place was 82M

Bet the legs will be awful, only 4x or something.

But like, the real narrative of the weekend is that Us is doing gangbusters. Considering it’s context, 50, 60, 70, whatever, huge success. And a success that’s been pretty easy to see coming for several days now. If not for satirizing bad takes I feel like there’s just not that much left to say.

@feasby007 Yeah, Venom face for sarcasm (more precisely, what I intend with Venom face is generally “aggressively ridiculous”). That post was completely joking, sorry if you thought I was actually sniping at you. I’m very aware that there’s uncertainty involved in extrapolating from a couple days Fandango data to OW figures, especially as Fandango becomes more and more used over time, that no guarantees were made, and I appreciate when people put the time in to make posts with actual math even when the raw numerical output need to be taken with caveats 👍

Feasby promised me an OW of at least 4x the budget, and anything below that is a shocking failure, no ifs, ands, or buts

Ahh, I forgot to subtract out J weekdays from this week since didn’t have to bother with last week 😅 Seems reasonable to hope for better than 1.55x this time though, we’ll see how F goes.