Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Last week was a freakishly strong Fri for unclear reasons, this is down 56% from two Fridays ago vs a local Friday opener. Looks to be recovering some on Saturday
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Very boring run so far to be honest. Recent pace is decent enough given how long it’s been on sale but not really exciting, considering Thor reception and ATP diffs should be unlikely to dip below 30, on other hand high 30s seems tough to reach without really sizzling reception buzz for final few days. Might drag IM’s up slightly next update depending on how Fri paces vs Thor T-14 Legion DPW OWForecastMatrix Thursday Preview Gross Range $30.00 $31.00 $32.00 $33.00 $34.00 $35.00 $36.00 $37.00 $38.00 Thur / Wknd Ratio (IM) 4.825 $144.75 $149.58 $154.40 $159.23 $164.05 $168.88 $173.70 $178.53 $183.35 4.9 $147.00 $151.90 $156.80 $161.70 $166.60 $171.50 $176.40 $181.30 $186.20 4.975 $149.25 $154.23 $159.20 $164.18 $169.15 $174.13 $179.10 $184.08 $189.05 5.05 $151.50 $156.55 $161.60 $166.65 $171.70 $176.75 $181.80 $186.85 $191.90 5.125 $153.75 $158.88 $164.00 $169.13 $174.25 $179.38 $184.50 $189.63 $194.75 5.2 $156.00 $161.20 $166.40 $171.60 $176.80 $182.00 $187.20 $192.40 $197.60 5.275 $158.25 $163.53 $168.80 $174.08 $179.35 $184.63 $189.90 $195.18 $200.45 5.35 $160.50 $165.85 $171.20 $176.55 $181.90 $187.25 $192.60 $197.95 $203.30 5.425 $162.75 $168.18 $173.60 $179.03 $184.45 $189.88 $195.30 $200.73 $206.15 -
brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
USD kind of meaningless once ER but lc can be meaningless because of inflation. Thank god for admits -
Coming to earth a little bit at last, thinking ~500k wknd for 9-9.5 should be it
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Stars don’t sell (rare exceptions blah blah blah) Lost City looked like a fun and funny jungle adventure romcom from the trailers, would have done just fine with Tatum+ScarJo whereas Moon pull be doing single digits with Tatum+Bullock since the premise just isn’t grabbing people -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
As I understand it, the actual data for those theaters is inaccessible right now and buying new tickets there would be impossible. But when they go back online they will centrally catch up, so I’m saying you could just pretend they’re staying same % of whole sample until a few days after back up and then correct to reality, rather than having 0 new sales at them for a while and that snapping back with the catch up sales in a bit -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
If it’s not too much trouble could fix those theaters as a % of the rest rather than freeze them at t-18 until back on line, might lead to less illusory distortion (though pretty minor either way) -
Just divide by 1000 if there are 4 digits should do the trick, or something along those lines (maybe can detect the period in usual output rather than going by digits)
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INSIDE OUT II | 958.1M overseas | 1596.0M worldwide
Cooper Legion replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
If it was as good as IO1 could take a swing at NWH WW I guess. Hard to see more than that (in quality or BO) -
INSIDE OUT II | 958.1M overseas | 1596.0M worldwide
Cooper Legion replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Yeah could also look at WW grosses with only 1 market 100+ (DOM in this case) -
INSIDE OUT II | 958.1M overseas | 1596.0M worldwide
Cooper Legion replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Just to be clear I think it would be really cool to do something like 1B OS with no $100M markets. Not sure what the current top list is for highest OS grosses without any $100 market but I would imagine they’re way less -
INSIDE OUT II | 958.1M overseas | 1596.0M worldwide
Cooper Legion replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
I hope it stops at 99.9 in Mexico 😌 -
Btw more of a 35% drop today unfortunately. Wouldn’t be surprised if later weekdays fall even more given their weird strength last week.
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I mean, it’s well known that extremely polarized gender relations are a huge problem is SK, and that remains the case. It’s an issue that’s way bigger than BO
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INSIDE OUT II | 958.1M overseas | 1596.0M worldwide
Cooper Legion replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Taking 685 for this wknd cume since actuals tend to rise slightly, would be: 135M wk Down 177M wk, -34% with direct competition hit in many markets 30% avg drops from here, existing markets would add 315 for 1B on the dot remaining markets should add 40M+ 1B+ highly favored imo, even continuing 34% drops could be enough -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Do your remember if past 2 DPs overindexed in Canada? -
IO2 slipping in at around 900k, should be 3rd for HW after the phenomenons. May get extremely close with F2 though
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Walkup not quite as strong as yday, looks like 185k final -10%. Wknd -7% maybe, still dominating the BO
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Perfect. CGV should finish in 190s if I were to guess for ~400-430k day, 5% dropish
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Did anybody catch the 00:20 reading for sat?