Joyous Legion

These all seem to be correct with 2019 atp: http://www.boxofficereport.com/adjustedweekends.html So with CPI inflation since dec 2019: Dark Knight- 221 TDKR- 202 BVS- 191 Batman Forever- 121 Batman Returns- 115 Batman- 107 Batman and Robin- 93 Of course, I’ll give my usual Spiel about how atp adjustment underrates old OWs. Maybe stop by with a rank history of Batman OW (and a few DOM/WW ranks) later tonight after my shift.

Little under 200

You can't seriously believe this 😂

Most movies add 5x their T-2, which would get Batman to ~12k. NWH just 3x, which would be ~9.9k. I am thinking it will grow about 60% from here (10830), which would put final comps at: BW 19 SC 19 LTBC 19 nttd 21 Dune 22.2 Et 18.8 NWH 22.5 so we can see that the 4 small marvel movies will basically be in agreement, with nttd about 10% higher and NWH almost 20% higher. I guess I would take about 22 from that final figure, but it also wouldn’t be too surprising to come in 10% higher or lower.

It was everybody! What a difference that plot point made 😆

Remember when eternals was going to be especially well received and do especially well here because of Don Lee

Oh, this is open already? Guess I’ll put the meltdown bar here: $121,964,712

If 40M Th+Fri was true at time of that article publishing, it would do previews around 40M and debut over 200M. So… apply the contrapositive 😛

This is not possibly true based on what we can see, somebody got their wires mixed somewhere. Maybe they were told that there were enough presales for a 40M OD to be locked?

BW comp increasing is big game still, pretty strong evidence of the review bump being noticeable vs a normal final week Monday acceleration.

No. Pretty weak PS, but it looks like the case situation is completely out of control right now? I just glanced at it for the first time in months and honestly surprised that this is even coming out instead of being delayed.

Yeah nothing is final until the deadline, whatever your most recent update is at that time is the only nums that count.

This is a good idea actually. If we really want to break OW records we should just pull movies from being available (theater or digital) for like a month after the ow

95.4??? I know it had cineworld day and Batman will hurt, but it’s not gonna need much expansion for NTTD at this rate.

Agree with the larger point, but this feels a little misleading to me. Technically true, but not really correct in a conceptual sense as it relies on nominal grosses. First movie opened at #10 (modern equivalent 191M) and 3rd movie opened at #5 (modern equivalent 220M). They were out of the gate with a huge bang.

I'm up to like 115 I guess

I was just making a joke about china fwiw. I agree that some fall from outlier success is fine, and Joker is outlier of outlier. Any kind of reference to it's success being applied to expectations of actual Batman movies makes less than zero sense to me.

Putting it rather generously

Yes

Yeah this will be lucky to make like 5M in russia under current conditions. I think WB would be better off cancelling the release.

Philly has been stable at ~21.5 for a long time at this point (I'm taking Geomean of BW and NWH, but you could throw TROS and et into the mix and it's the same story, or use an exponential fit and mostly same story). Philly has seemed to be on the higher end of our indicators, so still thinking 19-23 basically. It will need really huge final week to make much gain on the comps, so let's see what raves/early wom can do.

TFA and skyfall

Aus is clearly a typo. Very likely 1.07 is merely a rounded figure and 1.072 is correct

Yes

Looks like the ruble may lose more than half it's value soon. Be prepared for mojo to declare that it's Russia gross has dropped from $45M to $20M or whatever