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Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Meh, this is a bit of a non sequitor. A high total from a huge OW+awful legs still involves awful legs and it’s fine for people to complain about them. Not saying that that’s the case here, just, in general — I often see people try to shut down legs complaints by bringing up the total and it’s just nonsensical.
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You’ve gotta use division instead of subtraction or you just can’t compare different sizes sensibly. We know Knives Out, TGS, Spiderverse has great legs and BvS poor ones, but in post OW cash BvS will look much better. Also, record breaking OWs often have very good classical legs (total/OW) and even below new #1 records I don’t think there is (or at least, was) the kind of robust negative correlation between big OWs and weak multis that you seem to be implying. However, I’m definitely not saying that total/OW should be the one true objective measure of holding quality. It’s ultimately rather arbitrary and probably most used only because it’s convenient (in other words, lazy 😛 ). True FSS legs are better imo and I use them a lot — helps adjust for different preview sizes some. Total/first 7 days is realistically much better than classical legs calculation — including weekdays automatically helps balance for school vs summer vs winter, handle holiday Mondays, and handle midweek releases. (Total-previews)/(true first 7 days) even better yet. And if you wanted to penalize films less for opening big then you could try perhaps post-1stSun/(first 7 days post 1stSun), or post-ThPost1stSun/(first 7 days post ThPost1stSun), some decreasing weighted mix of first week multi, 2nd week multi, etc.
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Eh, movies haven’t been performing particularly differently in terms of post OW behavior. NWH always has the rising omicron excuse to fall back on if we need it but that’s an explanation of why the legs would be disappointing, not exactly a negation of their being disappointing. That said, it appears that xmas day was weak across the board (as others have said) and there are some plausible pandemic related reasons for that (as others have said). The 2nd weekdays are what’s make or break on this calendar, so… 🤞
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Netherlands Box Office Thread.
Cooper Legion replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
Thanks for the report old chum, guess we can expect 2nd week increase then -
Tomorrow and Monday weekly drops will be a good sign.
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About 585 today, like 10% drop. Good but not too indicative of general legs just yet.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That would be nice. I was getting 30-32 from Fri as well, as I said (with a 20 est). Using Zack’s Fri as 21 (chain ratios may change on eve, I dunno) then I guess 31-34ish. Still gotta hope it’s unrepresentative. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
If your theater was nationally representative we’d be in for a really ugly Sat. Using both last Sat and Fri I get like 30-32. The good news is — your loc will probably just end up unrepresentative. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
You’re at the point where you could start doing vertical comps instead/in addition. PSm should be better than 7 days earlier but it’s more consistent in some ways that comparing to the previous day — especially once we hit 2nd mon. -
Spiderman : No Way Home - Box office thread
Cooper Legion replied to LPLC's topic in International Box Office
Hearing… where? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Still two weeks to go, nice growth, must be on downslope of U still. I assume 5 Th /15 OW still possible on high end? Should be weekend top 3 with anything 10+ I guess — beat ow gross and wknd rank for an Indian release in can/us?