Cooper Legion

Nah, you sounds pretty confident, so I’ll take your word for it. Guess I had too much faith in humanity

Estimates were significantly too high in UK, and I believe also a bit too high in China. If that pattern holds, I think actuals may come in just so slightly below 60.

TLJ was worse than ROTS at least. Technically true, since future movies will be X-force. I honestly have no idea what you are talking about here, I bet this take does not actually appear in this thread and you are strawmanning someone.

It’s a success. Just a bit of a relatively disspointing success, considering the first one, the reception, and the OW numbers. Also, AM&tW>DP2>Solo is looking pretty good right now.

Also, I want to thank Rthanos’s new sig for making it very clear where else it is acceptable to post his numbers (nowhere). Anyone who didn’t know that before, please take note.

TDK ADJUSTED BACK ON THE MENU BOYS

IW

Finally, a chance for Mark Hamill to star in a well-liked space adventure franchise

I will certainly consider AM&tW a dissapointing underperformer if it makes like 610. That's just a bad number for a phase 3 MCU movie no matter how you want to try to spin it. Something like 690 would be totally solid.

Just waded through about 20 pages of people saying they disliked TLJ for non-racist reasons and getting called racist, hoping to find some rare gem of actually good box office content, and the only glimmer of hope was @baumer analysis of sequels opening ~2x+ their predecessor. I honestly think that a part of any "Star Wars fatigue" at the moment is related to discussions about it devolving into nonsense like this and that forming a negative association with people even though it isn't directly related to the movies themselves.

Credit to u/NostalgiaZombie on reddit

Jumanji made a bit under 2 Solos DOM and a bit over 2 Solos WW, exactly as every single person here would have predicted if you asked them a year ago

Lesson of the summer so far: Brolin in 3rd movie good, Brolin in 2nd movie bad. Things looking grim for Soldado’s legs

Incredibles 2 JW2 Ant-Man and the Wasp Deadpool 2 MI:Fallout??? Man, this is truly a summer of sequels.

They were off by barely (a factor of) .5

365 China 670 DOM Would only need 965 from OS-China. It will be close, but I still think it will get there.

On Jan 1st this year, you could have a gentlemanly debate about relative franchise power. Then TLJ fell off a cliff with domestic legs. Then BP grossed top 3 DOM. Then IW got a gross that would be good for top 3 DOM at the start of the year, plus top 3 OS. Then Solo. Now there is no gentlemanly discussion to be had, just one single obvious answer.

So IW will end up 5th in USD for sure, right? 17th in admissions? Or is there a chance to leg past Attorney for 16th+?

Wait, you’re still allowed to post in this thread!? Weekend’s almost over man, how is this possible?

Bingo. That’s really all there is to it. Which one is “worse” is pretty meaningless.

Having the BO so far propped up 26% by back to back entries in a franchise is really bonkers.

If we give someone a cape and paint them blue, can we finally get past 3B? I’d take the under, but at least over still has a chance.

Ahh, gotcha. Yeah, think I agree. Would be lucky to hit 240+200 unless it goes crazy in Japan.

Uhh, not really? 24.6 takes Solo to 60.2. Go very pessimistic with 21 Sun, 17 Mon is a 98 and change 4-day. An awful 4-day multi would be 1.95 for 191.1, beating Thor by over 10M. It would need a mind-bogglingly bad multi to go under Thor from here, and WOM doesn’t seem to indicate that as a possibility.

10% Sun drop would be a tad over 14M on Sun for a 42M 3-day. 66.6% drop or so.