Cooper Legion

In that case, we should both be very happy betting on it at 9:1 odds. Isn’t there some kind of casino as a part of these forums? How exactly does that work?

No, I’m very careful with my statistics, and I completely agree that it is not literally 0. As you say, perhaps the world ends before AM&tW can even be released, or some other kind of national level black swan event. My point is more that the chance to go below 10M is something like 10^-9, so people in everyday conservation will round that to 0 and hopefully it is understood what is meant. Likewise, the chance of going below 200M is something like 10^-3, maybe. That’s the kind of number that can also be reasonably rounded to 0 is this context, as long as everyone remains aware that of course no real world future events are ever actually exactly equal to 0%.

So what I’m hearing is that franchises should stick to a schedule of: One film per 3-4 years OR One year per 3-4 films And anything else throws you out of balance

What is the chance, in your opinion, that Ant-Man and the Wasp will have a Domestic total below $10M?

Seeing the wreckage of IPs that have tried to imitate MCU is truly staggering now. Of attempts to crank out a connected universe with different franchises and main/crossover vs side/solo movies, the Conjuringverse is doing fine, as is the Monsterverse for now, but everyone else is hitting rocky waters, including now Star Wars.

Well obviously the more liked sci-fi space adventure franchise is going to be doing better numbers. Speaking of, I need to wait until December 2019 or so to make a GotG3 over SWIX club, right?

I truly believe it has a decent chance to pass Ragnarok numbers DOM and OS. Ragnarok really did have some brutal competition, whereas AM&tW has those nice open late summer days. And AM&tW could do 50M+ better in China if things go well.

“Possibility” Under 1JL is L O C K E D In fact, Solo WW will be way closer to JL OS than to JL WW

I don’t even want to imagine what these last two weekend stuff would have looked like if IW didn’t move up.

They’ve got less than 10 episodes left, sounds pretty dead to me

... maybe

Oof, 19M true Friday would be b-b-b-b-bad. DHD numbers for DP2 and IW are also bad, possibly indicating that the May cluster$&%# is in full effect this weekend, but I’ll wait for real numbers from Rth-sama before doing any projecting there.

My god... this whole time... It has been staring us in the face HOW COULD WE HAVE BEEN SO BLIND?

24 hour presale comparisons with SW films are... perilous. But hey, Solo will still probably do over 1/3BP. So that’s something.

Sure, easy. Could have DOM and OS both under 250, perhaps. It does seem like WOM from people who’ve actually seen it is pretty fine, so I guess there is a bit of hope from legs, but the OS competition is really fierce with DP2 and JW2.

Finally some good news for Solo

Now if only Rth could wander over in here so I could finally go to sleep.

Solo does more than 2x IW on it’s OD, amazing yes I know

Help me, Obi-Wan Kenobi Japan. You’re my only hope.

So, I wasn’t originally expecting to see Solo in theaters. But now I think I might. Because it seems like the contrarian thing to do.

Well, we don’t have any way to say for sure. And it is probably due to a variety of interrelated factors. But the “TLJ did real damage to the Star Wars brand as a whole, at least in the short term” thesis certainly seems to be in a better supported place now than it was a month ago.

If it stays above 7.9 it will beat my expectations.

Hey, that’s like, actually perfectly medium. Wonder if it can pick up some good multis for a 20M finish.

I just wanted to say, there’s been a lot of negativity flying around this place regarding this movie recently, and I’m sure that can’t be very fun for Star War fans. I’m really, sincerely glad to here that you enjoyed the movie as a movie — at the end of the day, that’s the most important thing

Entertainment value of watching Solo: 7/10 Entertainment value of reading the Solo weekend thread: 9/10