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Legion Again

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Everything posted by Legion Again

  1. Could be, but also it is the first MAX movie with previews. Th is the only day/way to watch it before it’s free, so a lot of that dedicated fan energy should shift from Fri to Th. Maybe not previews as 36% of OD but north of 30 wouldn’t surprise me.
  2. Awesome to see as always. These precise numbers would probably take it to ~29M, so definitely close enough that 30 should remain in play for a while longer.
  3. As a MAX CBM in summer, this would be what like 22M weekend?
  4. I don’t think we’ve seen much to suggest a delta impact on Saturdays? In July Saturday’s have all been impacted by one or more of: July 4th streaming bad reception So it is admittedly a little hard to untangle. Cruella is a pretty clear comp and increased 15% on Sat from TFri — of course the one issue there is it was only partial summer, so I do expect less here, maybe 0-5%
  5. 10% drop on Sat (from True Fri) would be pretty shocking stuff. Not out of the question but 12 should probably take us to more like 28-29.5ish
  6. On the other hand, probably can’t get as high as 25 from just 10M Fri. The midpoint of 26 would be pretty reasonable for a Fri of 11.
  7. Hoping the buzz thread takes another W over Deadline on the True Fri here. Though high 11s is where keyser was thinking.
  8. Indeed, it is the case that IMDb, RT critic, and RT aud… are all different metrics with their own idiosyncrasies.
  9. Yeah there is some pretty strong subtext, practically to the point of text, like “Feige backed me up here but people over his head overruled him.”
  10. This will probably be a legs play in most markets. France is one where that has the best chance because it won’t be as affected by free streaming availability.
  11. Seems like a classic case of negotiating through the press to me. They’ll probably reach some settlement and I wouldn’t assume any retribution/bad blood to follow. From the details in the article this seems pretty open and shut — if the old contract guaranteed a window of exclusivity and they never had her sign a new one.
  12. https://www.wsj.com/articles/scarlett-johansson-sues-disney-over-black-widow-streaming-release-11627579278 👀
  13. Guys, the France numbers are bad even considering the vaccine pass. You shouldn’t just assume people saying so are unaware of it.
  14. GvK made under 300M WW-C, so I’m looking to beat it substantially. But of course GvK also came out during a different phase of the pandemic so I don’t think a direct comparison is worth much. If more countries are still in a bad spot with delta in September I would lower to target to 350-400ish though.
  15. Well, it does depend on where various countries are with delta and restrictions by then. But that’s only asking for ~250M OS-C, BW will ~200 with PA/piracy and hopefully worse conditions.
  16. Gunn has delivered. Very excited to see this Thursday. I’m gonna laugh my ass off if the first year with 4 MCUs is also the year that my favorite CBM is from the DCEU. Especially since my favorite comic book show of the year could also be a Harley Quinn property. Unfortunate about the current sales trajectory, but I’d rather get a bunch of great movies with meh numbers than repeats of the 2016 fiasco. And hey, maybe it can leg well.
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