Legion Again
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Everything posted by Legion Again
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Similar drop as AM&tW and SMH. Not as hurt by previews though, I expect a lower Fri bump, maybe 50%.
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Yeah, really awful stuff. BW will be back on top soon.
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Anyway, mostly unsatisfied by the time resolution here. Provisional 1/10 unless some future property can salvage it. Even if that does happen, didn’t really stick the landing imo, will probably go middle of the pack MCU.
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“Nothing important to the wider MCU will happen on D+ shows”
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Considering that this will require more than doubling the amount of MCU movies, it should be possible in … 2027
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Pretty funny sentence. This is only even possible with MCU and bond. Can’t wait for “above average, but just outside my top 25.”
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The Cruella double features actually ruined my pricing over at Fantasy Movie League Though it was close with Purge, that held great. Keep in mind though, a lot of the % holds are inflated by last Sat+Sun being massively deflated.
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This was already true in June
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Wow, must have been really bullish on Demon Slayer 👀 -
Studios seem to really overspend on marketing for some movies.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well, vs an unnecessary fifthquel 😛 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Of course the actuals could come in over the estimates for Fri and Sat, but that’s not really Disney increasing them. That’s just “they ended up making a little more than we roughed in.” -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I mean, they can’t just “increase” Friday and Saturday. They made what they made. -
I mean, I agree, but this would also be my expectation for Space Jam, Jungle Cruise, Snake Eyes, and Free Guy if BW had done 110M. Even without covid Hollywood has had a lot of misses in terms of luring the GA to threaters.
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I do wonder if SC will go to PA tbh, but that’s more to do with delta and rather woeful vaccine distribution globally than with the results of this weekend.
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Beating deliberate lowballs isn’t very meaningful. If Disney had said “we expected 40M DOM and 30M OS” and then it did 45M DOM and 35M OS, that would have been in actuality awful.
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CM was pre D+, even with a May 2020 theatrical exclusive release BW’s home revenue wouldn’t be coming close.
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Some weird cognitive dissonance between folks proclaiming “PA hurt the OW a lot,” “PA legs will be bad,” and “PA will make the BO legs bad.” These are not compatible statements. So far it seems like 1) is true, and 2) is true — and that actually leads to artificially good legs for PA releases. I’d go for 13.2+67*3.15=225
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I mean, after complaining about how opaque PA is, guess this is nice.
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The box office went low enough that they actually gave PA nums huh. Gotta wonder how the PA will leg.
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I feel like normal D+ kills home video in favor of subscription revenue. Then PA is an attempt to get the home video revenue back while still keeping subscription, at the cost of some theatrical rev.
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I am concerned that maybe not everyone realizes I’m doing a bit, so I will make 1 (one) serious post about the BW numbers.
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Wait -- I forgot. This is all McGregor vs Poirier's fault. Okay, all is forgiven.
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Bah gawd, it's really floppening. I tried pretty hard to treat the numbers in a positive light, but there's no way to spin that.
