Legion Again
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Everything posted by Legion Again
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Looks like a good weekend coming up, I predict 120k Sat 110k Sun based on PS. From there it should hit 3M as 55% drops would do it — although if Escape really hammers it could still miss.
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I think it’s unrealistic to expect a “normal” trailer time from the MCU now when they’re doing like 7 movies in a 12 month period here. They probably don’t want to have trailers for like 4 different movies out at the same time they’re trying to actively promote a 5th on recent release. I don’t expect to have trailers for more than 3 or so at a time. This one should be coming soon now that Loki is wrapped up though, imo.
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Free Guy | 20th Century | August 13 2021
Legion Again replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
I’ve always felt like this looked pretty fun. I hope it can surpass those modest expectations as the reactions suggest. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The only strong looking product between here and Shang-Chi has always been just TSS imo. And that’s got some baggage, though I can’t claim to have expected sales this low at this time. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Legion Again replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
The BO is less than I was hoping for from presales of course, but pretty strong considering the amount of at home viewing and that virus conditions have backslid instead of continued to improve to a complete nonissue. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Legion Again replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
This doesn’t really make sense, the drop is from PA. -
Tomorrow looks like it should be fairly flat for BW, maybe -35% weekly. Should make it to low 3M range unless BB2 takes a bigger bite out of it than I’m expecting.
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I’m seeing: May 26-28 — Last Crusade record Jun 2-4 — Crusade repeats on top Jun 9-11 — Star Trek V opens on top, #notarecord Jun 16-18 — Ghostbusters II, record (by like 1%) Jun 23-25 — Batman, record by like 35% Jun 30-Jul 2 — Batman repeats on top Which is definitely, ahh, super bonkers wild. Never seen 3 record breakers in 5 weeks before and safe to say never again. But even if Star Trek V was a top 20 it would only be 3 consecutive.
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BW’s 2nd weekend is 150% of its 1st Sun, basically identical to SMH and same ballpark as AM&TW. FFH probably would have done the same with a Fri release. The drop looks awful because of how the OW was structured with most of the gross on Th and Fri, but there’s no real sign of PA impact beyond that, or reception issues that would influence the rest of the run.
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Black Widow Overseas Thread.
Legion Again replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
So in reality 190+190 then 👀 -
Black Widow Overseas Thread.
Legion Again replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
Have hunch we will see 3rd wknd stabilization at home and abroad. 2nd weekdays will be an early indicator for that, so we’ll see soon 🤞 -
When I said quality more so than quantity, I wasn’t referring to Solo itself. A movie pays for the sins of the prior entry (which, whatever one’s personal feelings on it, was certainly very divisive). However I don’t want to pull a lordmandeep so for any further thoughts on that maybe take it to DMs. Also fwiw I think Rebels was a really high quality SW product active around this time period, but just didn’t pull the level of viewership to really move the GA sentiment needle one way or another, too bad. Hoping WhatIf? isn’t consigned to the same fate.
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Despite my joke above, I feel like Mando probably helped TROS more than hurt by reinvigorating fandom interest and goodwill vs being a competitor for some hypothetical finite pool of attention. I don’t think Loki had much effect of BW one way or another since they’re such different corners of the universe, but if we had a week where the Wandavision finale was 2 days before DS2 I think that would actively boost it.