charlie Jatinder

It's just 🥱 13.5 7.8 Crawdads - 4.9 + 2.3 = 7.2 3.3 2.1 Fury - 1.85 + 0.5 = 2.35

Harkins Friday Crawdads - 7982/35839 (206 showings) $79,551 For THU Harkins was 1.55%. FRI shall be around 1.6-1.7 ish. That will give $4.7-5M. Paws of Fury - 3736/29852 (175 showings) $35,979 THU was 2.05%. FRI shall be around 2.1%. That will give $1.7M ish.

Week 8-14 July, 2022 Thor: Love and Thunder - $14.4M ($15.05M) Minions 2 - $6M / $18.5M ($19.75M) Top Gun: Maverick - $2.2M / $47.8M ($48.35M) Elvis - $1.5M / $7.2M ($7.5M) Jurassic World: Dominion - $1.2M / $24.8M ($25.3M) The totals could be bit off adding weekly numbers. The reported totals are bold in brackets. Thor OD was $4.9M. SAT $2.9M. Weekend $10.1M.

Week 1-7 July, 2022 Minions 2 - $12.5M Top Gun Maverick - $4M (-2%) / $45.6M Elvis - $2.5M / $5.7M Jurassic World: Dominion - $2.45M / $23.6M The Black Phone - $1M / $2.5M

I know Nope will be backloaded but Philly having Nope sub $4M ain't great look. Though I suppose if Eric use comps Porthos is using, those may be bigger.

Does anyone even sing in the movie?

Yeah. South India has better cinemagoing culture. North is pretty much elite activity with may be 5% population visiting theater once annually.

I think elite may be contextual? Most of west will pass as elite in Eastern parts of world, where cinemagoing is IN FACT elitist. Don't think it is elitist in West yet, but could be soon i guess.

700 is not dead.

Thor 8.1 M2 5.25 TGM 1.95

Paws of Fury Harkins Final Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP 94 15,492 1,067 6.89% $10,505 $9.85 Comps 0.041x of Minions 2 Gross - $437K I think $500K is more likely. $7-8M weekend.

Where the Crawdads Sing Harkins Final Day Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP Early Access 5 731 493 67.44% $6,203 $12.58 Thursday 99 16,344 2,968 18.16% $31,188 $10.51 Total 104 17,075 3,461 20.27% $37,391 $10.80 Comps 0.617x of The Black Phone - $1.85M 0.462x of Elvis - $1.62M I think it will likely be around $1.9-2.1M. FRI doesn't look too great. Sub $15M weekend is likely.

At 5:45PM, 2381 sold for THU. Probably 3K final. Not good amount of walkins. $2M incl early access may be.

At 5:30 PM, 841 sold for it so far. May be 1.1-1.2K final. That will be good for $500-550K ish.

I think its more due to chain variance. Drafthouse has a very pre-sales heavy crowd, so I don't really pay attention to it till the final days as it is supposed to overindex heavily for smaller openers and underindex for bigger openers

When it is the rule to not discuss leaks, why even mention them here? Just share your precious views on places you read the leak or where its ok to share the leak.

I know you have this whole "I don't care about getting spoiled thing" but will it not be better to not actually discuss the thing in PM if you so want to. Why mention anything like recast, divisive whatever in public thread.

220 will need just 33M 2nd weekend. I think safe to assume that ain't happening. I am thinking around 85M D4-10 and another 95M or so after that for something around 325. 300 is in fact LOCKED I believe.

Was focussing more on longer projection than just next weekend.

All this may work if both MoM and Thor shared same calendar setting. Summer 2nd weekend drops are supposed to look harsher than any other time around because weekdays are doing are as good as half weekends. The comparison for Thor 4 are Black Widow and Far From Home.

Best Star Wars movie ever. May be even the only good Episodic Star Wars movies.

I am currently thinking $325-335M but I think missing $300M will be justice.

Where the Crawdads Sing Harkins T-1 Day Day Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP Early Access 5 731 493 67.44% $6,203 $12.58 Thursday 99 16,404 941 5.74% $10,307 $10.95 Total 104 17,135 1,434 8.37% $16,510 $11.51 Comps 1.169x of The Black Phone - $3.5M 0.392x of Elvis - $1.47M Added +512 yesterday, which is almost what TBP did but Early access showings mess it up. I am expecting around 3.8-4K final, which will be around $1.9-2.1M approx with both the comps I am using. Including Early Access screenings.

Thinking $700-725M INT for now & $660-680M DOM.

nothing good is gonna come from Thor 4. time to just bury it.