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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. Before first weekend was thinking $400M+ After 2nd weekend was $525M. After 3rd week. After 5th weekend. Now $740-750M approx. Don't think will have to increase expectations now.
  2. It will stop in may be 2 years or so if China continue not having release. But for now, we have to consider it for better context and comparing with other films that had China release in past or still having like FFH or JWD now.
  3. I think it is said in past, saying it again. This is Chinese BO thread. Keep your political agenda out. I don't think repeatedly saying fuck Democrats in main forum weekend thread will be allowed. Considering it same here.
  4. Adjusted for exchange rate and missing markets, OS-C biz of L&T is par FFH except for big difference between two in Korea. FFH had 39.5M admits in China and that's sort of like standard expectations now for a MCU mid tier (in scale, not quality) standalone movie. If well liked can go for 50M admits as well like that of Aquaman, etc. That 39.5M with current prices and better ER i.e. pre Russia war was $250M. So let me handle this stuff and unless you actually track Chinese market regularly, stay mum.
  5. I think Lost City, Crawdads and Elvis will be good comps. Basically Pitt+Bullock and two Summer films with early showings. I would have suggested Nope but that would have overindexed in Philly.
  6. Seems like $415-420M final internationally. DOM seems to be finalising at $335-340M approx. WW $750-760M. In same set of markets with similar ER and ATP, Ragnarok was $350M, so +20%. With release in Malaysia, Middle East and Russia & ER of 2019 we were looking at $500-510M without China. For billie needed only $155M in China, which could have been done quite easily, probably around $200-225M.
  7. Yeah Leo can pass as one but most of his films also have a big director name. Asian cinema still has star system working unlike West. Even Hollywood star power works better in Asia than they do in West. If you wanna see what star power is, follow Indian box office.
  8. Nope is having a solid second weekend. 135+ possible.
  9. Almost none of the people mentioned in last pages is star. Hollywood don't really have box office STARs. Hollywood has IPs. Iron Man is a STAR. RDJ not so much.
  10. So indeed $7M+. Thinking $7.3M. I think THU actuals were around $1.9-2M. Will check tomorrow.
  11. Super Pets Harkins Friday - 13065/90090 (335 showings) $131,234 Good amount of walkups of over 10K+. Normally this would mean around $6.75-7.25M but THU under indexed a lot in Harkins or may be the estimates by WB were wrong. If FRI under indexed like THU it will be $8M but that's not the case Last I looked FRI looked like around $7M.
  12. So $2.2M. Harkins underindexed being just 1.57%. Knowing the ratio now, FRI possibly $6-6.5M.
  13. Super Pets Harkins Final Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP 125 31,269 3,514 11.24% $34,637 $9.86 Comps 0.14x of Minions 2 Gross - $1.48M 3.29x of Paws of Fury Gross - $1.66M Minions over-index in West, so that comp is lower than it should be. Normally around $1.7-1.8M seems like it. Best case may be around $1.9M. FRI sales suggesting somewhere around $5-5.5M. Will need walkups to hit $20M.
  14. At 7PM PST, 3219/31269 (125 showings) $31,410 for Super Pets in Harkins. Final can be 3.7-3.9K range, that will be around $1.7-2M.
  15. How can anyone pretend that nearly 140M with actually good holds isn't good enough for Elvis? And ffs if Nope had opened even 30M+, that would still be pretty impressive. Here it is opening nearly 50M. US was coming off may be Best Horror movie in recent times and with actually solid trailers. Nope is supposed to come down from that. I don't think there are many directors that can open a movie to nearly $50M with just their name. Probably Nolan and Cameron are only ones other than Peele.
  16. It will be near better case it it comes $44.5M. Read it as FRI did 13.14 and they are anticipating 25M in next 2 days. The Black Phone did 13.39M on SAT & SUN after 7.25M FRI. Same here would mean 24.3M for 43.8M.
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