charlie Jatinder

I think it is more like people avoiding a film in 1,2,3,4&5 week, thinking it will be free to stream in 5,6,7 weeks

Porthos I think we neee you more often. Probably retire daily tracking for smaller stuff and do a quick & dirty check weekly?

Mpnday & Tue can be #1.

Added 36K since last update. Is it from last night or today morning. I think 210-220K may be. $14-15M possible.

At 10 PM PST, 9869/48841 (174 showings) $121,092 10K is happening. Nice. $6M+ is a lock. Possibly $6.5-7M. Will check in detail later.

At 07:35 PM PST, 8477/48710 (173 showings) $104,141 Added 2.2K in last 3 hours. 9.5k final possible. Quite normal day unlike some other places.

Anything over 30 to me is a WIN for Peele with that 2nd trailer.

Denver HK isn't over $9M. 🤔 The actual comp is $5.77M, with +10% it will be $6.3M.

At 04:45 PM PST, 6,255/48,710 (173 showings) $77,868. Probably 9-9.5K.

6.5 seems fine but eh final day in some of regions. Philly being that low is a shock.

@Tinalera do comps for THU & FRI seprately. That will be more helpful. Guess I haven't given THU numbers but knowing just % wise comparison with other films will be helpful too

Nope Harkins T-1 Day Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP 168 47,156 2,916 6.18% $38,367 $13.16 Comps 2.03x of Where the Crawdads Sing - $4.70M 2.38x of The Black Phone - $7.14M 0.43x of Minions 2 - $5M (adj for ATP) Very strong jump today. Final should be around 10K, that should normally be around $6M but it has bit higher ATP and MTC 1 is quite bit high so could be mid 6s, may be even 7.

Very surprised with Philadelphia being so weak for Nope.

Very strong MTC1. Should be around $8M but regional comps aren't that strong, so probably very high indexing in MTC1. We don't have MTC 2 but going by Harkins, it shouldn't be that big. Weirdly FRI sales aren't that good.

700 need 20% drop. Not entirely impossible but I believe 25-30% more likely.

NWH would have likely hit $700-800M in normal times.

Top Gun: Maverick Weekly Change To-date Weekly (in $) To-date (in $) Week 0 ¥332,853,320 ¥332,853,320 $2,621,000 $2,621,000 Week 1 ¥1,799,444,190 ¥2,132,297,510 $14,169,000 $16,790,000 Week 2 ¥1,571,902,090 -12.65% ¥3,704,199,600 $12,101,000 $28,891,000 Week 3 ¥1,347,288,140 -14.29% ¥5,051,487,740 $10,024,000 $38,915,000 Week 4 ¥1,187,755,590 -11.84% ¥6,239,243,330 $8,798,000 $47,713,000 Week 5 ¥1,004,070,140 -15.46% ¥7,243,313,470 $7,438,000 $55,151,000 Week 6 ¥799,733,630 -20.35% ¥8,043,047,100 $5,924,000 $61,075,000 Week 7 ¥715,094,980 -10.58% ¥8,758,142,080 $5,258,000 $66,333,000 Week 8 looks like ¥645M. I can see a final of ¥12B ($90M).

I am thinking 9-9.75M i.e. $72-78M.

Dude did you even read what the original conversation was. Don't just say things for sake of saying.

I thought I probably don't need to explain myself after all these years but... Anyways I am thinking $390M INT & $340M DOM for Thor 4 at the moment, i.e. $730M WW. Now the adjustment. First off, ERs. I am gonna take 2019 ERs as normal ER. In current markets the ER adj gross (excluding those markets that have inflation catch up with ER) is $425M approx. Now for missing markets, Russia, Malaysia, Saudi & Gulf markets are $40M approx. Taking it to $465M. In same set of markets Far From Home did $535M. And if you remove Korea where the major difference between two is, Thor 4 is 90% of FFH. That leaves $195M for China aka 32-33M admits. Far From Home had 40M admits in China, I think 32M is quite plausible expectations for Love & Thunder.

Nope Harkins T-2 Days Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP 168 47,155 1,681 3.56% $22,711 $13.51 Comps 1.82x of Where the Crawdads Sing - $4.2M 2.36x of The Black Phone - $7.08M 0.43x of Minions - $5M (adj for ATP) Good jumps in last two days. Should be around 2700 by today and final number of 8-9K approx. That will be $4.75-5.5M.

6.4 5.1 3.35

PAPA Feige. Fix Phase 4.

Stardom can only take movie so far, especially now when stars are getting older and losing some clout. Trailer & songs are very important.

But it is doing billion level biz. So Marvel right?