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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. As I have said in past. It doesn't matter what actuals are. Studio gonna just give what Porthos gonna declare.
  2. Previews are estimates. They can be off at times. No big deal. The Force Awaken actuals were around $54M vs $57M that was first reported. The opening day including previews is actuals.
  3. I remember Zack added more cinemas during either DS2 or Thor. Not sure if you were covering them before he started tracking or not.
  4. Oppy / Dune 2 1 - 3.12 / 2.88 tracked, actual may be 2.75. waiting for them. 2 - 2.05 / 1.68 3 - 1.65 / 1.35 Canada 2 chains - 0.93 / 0.93
  5. Based on nos. I am seeing its 2-2.1 + 9-9.1 = 11-11.2. There is MTC 1 actuals that are pending, which will get clarified by tomorrow morning. Either WB messed up something or there were some other shows. I don't have info on MTC1 but on Wed $25K is there, may be MTC 1 had more shows.
  6. Dune 2 MiniTC2 Final Thursday - 10525/58105 (231 showings) Comps 0.86x Oppy - $9.05M 0.45x Avatar 2 - $7.65M 1.52x Dune 1 (limited comp) - $7.75M (Adjusted for inflation $8.3M) Normally these sales would mean $6.5M previews but I am underindexing for it. Dune comp is also meh but I guess since that is just from the top cinemas of chain, the growth may be less. It may be higher in smaller cinemas. Oppy is best comp though Canada may be bit better than Oppy but then Oppy was held back by capacity constraints. I guess $9M may be it.
  7. ATSV would have been a very bad comp for Dune 2. ATSV was very back heavy vs Dune being front heavy in sales. If ATSV comp was 8M say 3 days ago, it would now probably be around 6. For context, MiniTC2 ATSV comp The fall in last 3 days for ATSV is pretty huge. Oppy fell because it was helped by Barbenheimer, the best comp being Avatar 2 for trend purpose. Though for overall comp, Oppy probably is best being PLF heavy and did strong in Canada too.
  8. Looks like 10.5K final. As everywhere, comps are dropping, even Oppy one despite Oppy having no space for walkups that day.
  9. Do you have theater wise sales stored? How is Oppy comp without the big one, what's it called... Palladium something.
  10. Dune 2 HOYTS FRI - 11866/80629 Forget to check yday. Probably 22K final. Should be good for A$1.75-2M day.
  11. Brampton is basically India. Dune will obviously won't do well there.
  12. 54K type final I guess. 161 105 200+ 200+ 170+ // 850k ish
  13. Kung Fu Panda 4 MiniTC2 T-8 Days Previews - 274/35594 (167 showings) Comps 1.77x Elemental - $4.25M 2.11x Trolls 3 - $2.75M 0.33x Minions 2 - $3.5M 0.78x Haunted Mansion - $2.4M
  14. Dune 2 MiniTC2 T-1 Day Thursday - 6288/57500 (228 showings) Comps 0.90x Oppy - $9.4M 0.50x Avatar 2 - $8.5M Avatar 2 behaved kind of normally here given it had general audience appeal while Oppy having less GA appeal underindexed, so that is a closer comp. Pace is meh. Final Oppy comp may drop to $9M even though Oppy had very low walkups itself due to Capacity constraints Friday is ~81% of Oppy and ~52% of Avatar 2. That comps around $18.2M and $18.7M.
  15. SAT is relatively doing better than FRI but its also more to FRI being low. Korea had bad walkups, which is at times a sign for DOM as well. Sub $70M is a possibility now. What a roller coster ride in last 4 days.
  16. Ideally IO2 should be doing 150+, D&W should be 200-250 but things are going bad for Disney so not too hopeful. GOTG3 was potential 200 opener, crapped the bed with sub 120.
  17. Think DPvW is next 100M opener, that will be longest gap between two 100M opener since first Spiderman and Matrix in 2003. For the sake of this I am considering those mid-week opener which would have opened to 100M if they were 3 day weekend as 100M opener. Like say Spiderman 2 or some Transformers films.
  18. Two graphs. One is absolute daily change of Dune 2, Avatar 2 and Oppy in MTC 1 and another is % of daily pace of Dune 2 against Avatar 2 & Oppy.
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