Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 T-0 Day
Friday - 12789/136489 (587 showings) $170K
Great day. Will target 42K+ tomorrow, which would mean $26M ish, though Holiday could be behaving a bit differently, so that needs to be seen.
I suppose there is a diff between March 2021 and Oct 2021 in BO health.
That said, I did thought Dune 2 OW be lower than Dune 1 real value OW but seeing Dune 2 performance elsewhere, I feel Dune 2 OW > Dune 1 real value OW. So probably $60-70M in normal BO times.
I don't think there is anything abnormal happening here. It's a sequel to film which would have opened $90-110M, $70-80M OW is pretty much par course.
Inflation adj Monster Verse openings
G 2014 - 125
Skull Island - 75
KOTM - 58
GvK (in normal times) - 90-110
18:45 update - MiniTC2
11539/56452 (220 showings) $155K
Seems like 14K final. Good day. Should be fine for ~$9M previews.
CA is accounting for 24% of total, normally for such film it would be 16-20%, so around 20-50% over-indexing due to spring break.
Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 T-1 Day
Friday - 7707/136291 (586 showings) $105K
Comps
John Wick 4 - $18.2M
Indiana Jones - $19M
Fast X - $26.3M
Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $26.8M
Same as above, tickets sold comps. Gross comps are 5% higher.
Points to $20M+ could be in the $23-25M range.
Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 T-1 Day
Previews - 5208/55979 (218 showings) $74K
Comps
John Wick 4 - $6.5M
Indiana Jones - $7.8M
Fast X - $8.8M
Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $8.8M
The above are tix sold comps, gross comps are roughly 5% higher due to higher ATP.
California locs are over-indexing being around 27% of total, normally they are 17-20%
Just a reminder that you will likely be overindexing as CA is on spring break this week. MiniTC2 for instance overindex by ~50-70% when AZ is on Spring break.
That said, since you don't track walkups, the impact in your case is probably low.
Also since 70%+ schools are off nationwide on FRI, that should also lower overindexing degree a bit.