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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. Wonder Woman 1984 T-7 Days Midnight - ¥0.35mn (+¥0.11mn) on 2.9k shows Friday - ¥1.28mn (+¥0.48mn) on 39k shows Saturday - ¥0.49mn (+¥0.25mn) on 17k shows Sunday - ¥0.13mn (+0.07mn) on 14k shows Total - ¥2.25mn (+¥0.91mn) Average ordinary day. Could have shown bigger growth. Let's see how it pick on Monday. Friday and Saturday before release are usually low days, Sunday starts the boost and Monday we see first major boost to sales which built up till Thursday blow up. Looking more and more like 50-70mn OD than 100mn, which was least to expect. First film OD was 74mn from final pre-sale of 18.5mn. Comps They don't mean much this far out. May start making some sense by T-4 days perhaps. 18% of Spider-man: Far From Home T-7 Days (4 days of Sale) - ¥40mn Opening Day 20% of Venom T-7 Days (6 days of Sale) - ¥45mn OD 59% of Dark Phoenix T-7 Days (6 days of Sale) - ¥47mn OD (Holiday boosted Thursday) 83% of Shazam T-7 Days (3 days of Sale) - ¥80mn OD (Holiday boosted OD) 129% of TENET T-7 Days (1 days of Sale) - ¥72mn OD 58% of TENET T-6 Days (2 days of Sale) - ¥33mn OD Projections Take with huge grain of salt.
  2. It wouldn't have been a surprise if it did 150-180 tho. WW has grown as Superhero in India unlike the first film, and I believe that will be the case throughout Asia.
  3. 2019 was worst year for Hollywood if you remove MCU. MCU is the only brand growing some growth. We saw many sequels doing same or barely growing. Local cinema growing every year. If Hollywood go streaming, they are killing/writing off Asia.
  4. It's not really hard if film has buzz and WoM is good. New Year Eve Previews. New Year Day Saturday Sunday They should have gone for full release on 31st I guess. Last year New Year Eve grossed 336mn, followed by 290mn on New Year Day. Pre-sales are much higher than Adoring. Adoring was 5.8mn on 26k shows 8 days out, this will touch 5mn on 22k shows 21 days out.
  5. From what I have seen so far 8/10 The Trial of Chicago 7 Palm Springs Run 7/10 TENET Onward The Invisible Man 5/10 Greyhound The King of Staten Island 4/10 Sonic The Hedgehog Scoob Superman: Red Son Including non-Hollywood films: https://letterboxd.com/itsjat32/films/year/2020/by/your-rating/
  6. No WW84. I meant was general audience on social media aware that WW84 pre-sales have opened. Did WB release any trailer saying that tickets available now.
  7. @Gavin Feng how well aware is the fact that pre-sales have opened?
  8. Removed Aquaman as comp, will use Shazam and Dark Phoenix. DP & Shazam were Holiday releases, so final day pre-sales jump was more than usual. WW84 numbers are projections, other two are actual. Time WW84 Shazam Dark Phoenix Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change T-14 Day ¥0.10 T-13 Day ¥0.50 400.00% T-12 Day ¥0.75 50.00% T-11 Day ¥0.98 30.67% T-10 Day ¥1.14 16.33% T-9 Days ¥0.19 ¥0.38 ¥1.40 22.81% T-8 Days ¥0.80 321.05% ¥1.20 215.79% ¥1.66 18.57% T-7 Days ¥1.25 56.25% ¥1.54 28.33% ¥2.19 31.93% T-6 Days ¥1.75 40.00% ¥2.01 30.52% ¥2.50 14.16% T-5 Days ¥2.19 25.00% ¥2.43 20.90% ¥3.12 24.80% T-4 Days ¥2.84 30.00% ¥3.01 23.87% ¥3.80 21.79% T-3 Days ¥4.27 50.00% ¥4.34 44.19% ¥4.72 24.21% T-2 Days ¥5.97 40.00% ¥6.04 39.17% ¥6.89 45.97% T-1 Days ¥8.96 50.00% ¥9.47 56.79% ¥10.01 45.28% T-0 Days ¥16.12 80.00% ¥23.50 148.15% ¥21.59 115.68% OD ¥52.40 ¥97.23 ¥80.19 PSm 3.25 4.14 3.71
  9. Shit. It's true. But on T-7th day WW84 pace is better than Shazam so it should go over it.
  10. So I was wondering about how this particular comp will hold. T-8 Days, WW84 pre-sales were 48% of Dark Phoenix. T-7 Days is expected to be 57% Approx. Final numbers of two may be close call. That's not a good thing. Edit: If looking at number of days of sale. After 2 days, DP was 0.75mn on 28k shows 12 days out, while WW84 was 0.8mn on 33k shows 8 days out. Can say head to head but gotta put the difference of 4 days.
  11. WTF they were thinking? The only market in world that may give them some money and they are having racist jokes on them.
  12. The problem is that for non fanbase films or family/kids heavy films we may go with narrative like, "lets see if it pick up". But for a CBMs pre-sales rush can be seen from day one, especially for something like WW which was expected to do $150mn range. So I am not sure how much pick up can we really expect. The one reason could be that may be people didn't know advance is open, that has happened with few films, but after two days, there should be some pick up in pace.
  13. What if film's PR is like, let's have fun and spreading all these reports of, "you got a role in Spider-man 3", "you got a role in Spider-man 3".
  14. Does it? Yeah Gamora don't have a reason to go back in 2014 timeline but she has no love for this galaxy GoTG either. May be she bond with Nebula and Peter-Gamora eventually become a thing, that will still be a good film to watch. See the potential.
  15. That is one big factor. But then I see, in years we have seen Chinese lapping up re-releases like new releases. Harry Potter pre-sales were big. Spirited Away release last year had really good pre-sales. All of those films have Blu Rays out for years. Been 8 years, but Titanic did over $100mn in re-release. So not sure if that factor is stopping even fans from rushing for tickets. That brings the question. Mulan, opened 55mn, which now looks HUGE after seeing WW84 initial advance, a week later it was bashed universally and HD rips were out. Just how much did Disney fucked up by not releasing it 2 weeks earlier.
  16. That shouldn't be. Rescue is #1 on Friday but those numbers are fake. On Saturday WW84 is at top.
  17. Wonder Woman 1984 T-8 Days Midnight - ¥0.24mn on 2543 shows Friday - ¥0.80mn (+¥0.61mn) on 33k shows Saturday - ¥0.24mn (+¥0.19mn) on 15k shows Sunday - ¥0.06mn (+0.03mn) on 12.5k shows Total - ¥1.34mn (+¥0.83mn) Comps They don't mean much this far out. May start making some sense by T-4 days perhaps. 15% of Spider-man: Far From Home T-8 Days (3 days of Sale) - ¥34mn Opening Day 17.5% of Venom T-8 Days (5 days of Sale) - ¥39mn OD 47% of Aquaman T-7 Days (1 day of Sale) - ¥74mn OD 78% of TENET T-7 Days (1 day of Sale) - ¥44mn OD The sales aren't showing any rush for now as such. Of course these early numbers don't mean as much as the Wednesday and Thursday before release do, but still a big opener CBM will show some rush. Let's see how it pick up in coming days. If I have to guess, less than ¥100mn OD may be for sure. Don't see it crossing TENET in first weekend as of now as @Gavin Feng said. Any specific reason for lower rush Gavin? Projections Take with huge grain of salt.
  18. Yeah I am not sure about that film. Only three things I remember is Gewn (?) dying, film cut before the action begin, and third being Peter saving Jamie Foxx, he becoming Electro & that New York street scene where the two fights(?).
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