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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. Harry Potter T-6 Days Friday: ¥3.31mn (+¥640k) on 14.9k shows Saturday: ¥940k (+¥200k) on 5.4k shows Sunday: ¥425k (+¥96k) on 3.9k shows Total: $4.67mn (+¥930k) Projections https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk
  2. Interstellar 1 day vs LiB 3 days. Besides, LiB did some 3mn in normalcy, in normalcy even Interstellar would have gone unnoticed for most part.
  3. Dolitle cross ¥100mn in China after 15 days in release. Shall emerge the biggest grosser from Hollywood in China in 2020 tomorrow beating Spies in Disguise ¥103mn.
  4. Opening is low but let's wait for reception. Can have a run. You can never really write off a good film in China until Saturday. I am looking at ¥2.25mn OD and with good WoM, weekend can be ¥12-15mn.
  5. Since you liked KHNH, you should watch Veer Zaara @lorddemaxus. Many regard it as best SRK romantic film ahead of DDLJ.
  6. 1917 looks like ¥11-12mn Approx OD. Let's see what score it get. I am expecting ¥50mn weekend.
  7. Dil Se is pretty great. I only watched it in 2016. Music is one of the best for SRK. This song is one of my fav. Another http://forums.itsboxoffice.com/462571/this-perfect-songs-bollywood-read-inside-share-views-also-give
  8. I hope it move to D+. Don't want to spoil @Arendelle Legion MCU films Average over billion dollar club.
  9. I meant Piracy isn't the thing we need to worry. What we need to worry is the competition it will have and will be playing at half or may be 1/3rd of capacity it would have in normalcy. There will be Covid fear as well.
  10. China ain't piracy problem IMO now. I mean look at how the re-releases are doing.
  11. Harry Potter T-7 Days Friday: ¥2.67mn (+¥650k) on 13k shows Saturday: ¥740k (+¥170k) on 4.4k kshows Sunday: ¥329k (+¥54k) on 3.4k shows Total: $3.74mn (+¥875k) Projections https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk
  12. Peninsula is going to be highest grosser in Taiwan from Korea. Sure Piracy will impact Mulan but then as everyone said Disney need money.
  13. Doing about 12mn in Taiwan, 4mn in Vietnam is good for any Hollywood big film.
  14. I mean China has shown good numbers for old and delayed releases including likes of Venom, Hobbs and Shaw, etc. so I am not worried much about there. Regarding rest of South East Asia, Peninsula has done well in theaters and Mulan will release in theaters for countries without Disney+ so I guess it will be fine. Besides, if Mulan pulls of 6-7mn downloads in USA and other rich western countries, I think it will be fine for Disney, with about $30-60mn revenue from China and other South East Asia countries and TV revenue worldwide.
  15. 200mn OD is big and I think slightly impossible. You basically need 5.7mn admits for 200mn, on 150k shows, that means 27% occupancy. The films like Far From Home opened with 24% occupancy, or for that matter, Endgame 35% in normalcy, expecting 27% now with seating limitations is bit too much I guess. I think 90-120mn will be a good result of Mulan. Weekdays holds so far we have seen are better than normal, so long run is more likely.
  16. I mean, Time Harry Potter and the Philospher's Stone Fantastic Beasts 2 Gross Change Gross Change T-14 Days T-13 Days T-12 Days ¥0.55 T-11 Days ¥0.87 ¥0.32 T-10 Days ¥1.26 ¥0.39 T-9 Days ¥1.59 ¥0.33 T-8 Days ¥2.02 ¥0.43 T-7 Days ¥2.62 ¥0.60 ¥0.57 ¥0.57 T-6 Days ¥3.37 ¥0.75 ¥1.65 ¥1.08 T-5 Days ¥4.27 ¥0.90 ¥2.76 ¥1.11 T-4 Days ¥5.40 ¥1.13 ¥4.08 ¥1.32 T-3 Days ¥7.10 ¥1.70 ¥6.37 ¥2.29 T-2 Days ¥9.50 ¥2.40 ¥9.69 ¥3.32 T-1 Days ¥13.10 ¥3.60 ¥15.35 ¥5.66 T-0 Days ¥20.50 ¥7.40 ¥27.79 ¥12.44 OD ¥55.35 ¥80.40 PSm 2.70 2.89
  17. I am inclining toward OD in higher end of 35-50mn for Harry Potter, in fact going by the pace in morning, the lower limit can be low 40s. If for a moment say 50mn OD happen, the weekend could be 180mn range, following Spirited Away trend. The pre-sale trend of Spirited Away with my HP projections. Time Harry Potter and the Philospher's Stone Spirited Away Gross Change Gross Change T-14 Days ¥0.03 T-13 Days ¥0.09 ¥0.06 T-12 Days ¥0.55 ¥0.13 ¥0.04 T-11 Days ¥0.87 ¥0.32 ¥0.18 ¥0.05 T-10 Days ¥1.26 ¥0.39 ¥0.24 ¥0.06 T-9 Days ¥1.59 ¥0.33 ¥0.42 ¥0.18 T-8 Days ¥2.02 ¥0.43 ¥0.56 ¥0.14 T-7 Days ¥2.62 ¥0.60 ¥0.73 ¥0.17 T-6 Days ¥3.37 ¥0.75 ¥1.04 ¥0.31 T-5 Days ¥4.27 ¥0.90 ¥1.42 ¥0.38 T-4 Days ¥5.40 ¥1.13 ¥2.00 ¥0.58 T-3 Days ¥7.10 ¥1.70 ¥2.94 ¥0.94 T-2 Days ¥9.50 ¥2.40 ¥5.23 ¥2.29 T-1 Days ¥13.10 ¥3.60 ¥8.29 ¥3.06 T-0 Days ¥20.50 ¥7.40 ¥16.21 ¥7.92 OD ¥51.25 ¥54.60 PSm 2.50 3.37
  18. 1917 T-1 Day Friday: ¥1.77mn (+¥570k) Expecting ¥3.5-4mn final. OD ¥10-15mn. Weekend ¥40-75mn.
  19. Harry Potter T-8 Days Friday: ¥2mn (+¥410k) on 11.1k shows Saturday: ¥570k (+¥90k) on 3.8k shows Sunday: ¥275k (+¥30k) on 2.9k shows Total: $2.85mn (+¥530k) Projections https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk
  20. 1917 T-2 Days Friday: ¥1.2mn (+¥320k) on 25k shows Should hit ¥1.65-1.75mn tomorrow and ¥3-3.5mn Final.
  21. Harry Potter T-9 Days Friday: ¥1.59mn (+¥330k) on 8.7k shows Saturday: ¥480k (+¥135k) on 3.2k shows Sunday: ¥245k (+¥70k) on 2.5k shows Total: ¥2.32mn (+¥540k) Projection
  22. I wonder if Potter will have release on 75-90k shows. Pre-sales are growing at very good rate this far out. Sales daily change is roughly 60% of Ant Man and Wasp & overall sales around 50%. AM&TW had final PS of ¥45mn, and OD of ¥155mn.
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