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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. Harry Potter T-3 Days Friday: ¥6mn (+¥1.37mn) on 20.7k shows (Est.) Saturday: ¥1.83mn (+¥470k) on 7.9k shows Sunday: ¥0.89mn (+¥260k) on 5.6k shows Total: ¥8.72mn (+¥2.12mn) Projections https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk Comps 33% of Spider-man: Far From Home - ¥75mn 33% of Venom - ¥74mn 28% of Captain Marvel - ¥61mn 45% of Black Panther - ¥60mn 67% of Detective Pokemon - ¥51mn Average - ¥64mn (-¥7mn) Lowest - ¥51mn (-¥6mn) Good jump today, despite not major growth in showcount. Need to continue the trend for next 3 days. Capacity limitation is increased to 50% from Friday so that should help too. Projections show ¥17mn final PS, I think that will be it, unless we are in for pleasant surprise. OD ¥42.5-47.5mn, Weekend ¥135-160mn ($19.5-23mn). Will be biggest Hollywood film of 2020 in first weekend. Billion Dollar also during weekend.
  2. Potter numbers on Maoyan are faulty. It was 5.55mn at 19:00 CST and same at 21:00 CST. Then it unfroze to 5.78mn and now there from last 2 hours. I guess 5.9-5.95mn mostly. Will wait if it unfreeze.
  3. Interstellar nice ¥5.6mn (-42%) Monday. Total of rerun ¥87mn. Expecting ¥101mn by Thursday. Next weekend perhaps ¥15-17mn. before 800 release can be ¥125mn. Donno how much it can do after that but ¥135mn ($19.25mn) is perhaps possible. Dolittle ¥3mn 3rd Monday (-25%). Total ¥116.5mn. Perhaps ¥124mn by Thursday. 4th weekend could be ¥10mn or so. Before 800 certainty can reach ¥140-142mn. ($20.5mn). Sheep Without Shepherd ¥3.5mn Monday (-14%). Brilliant re-run. ¥91m so far. Will be around ¥103mn by Thursday. This can run may be in September even. Its week wise run for re-run so far Week 0: ¥7.5mn Week 1: ¥34mn Week 2: ¥33mn (-3%) Week 3: ¥29mn (-13%) May be another ¥75-100mn. That will take the full run to ¥1383-1408mn. No. 40 all time.
  4. Seems like 205k Monday. Totals up 2.235mn. May be 2.75mn by Thursday and 4mn on Next Monday as it will be Holiday.
  5. Since Japan is almost back to normalcy, I wished Mulan would have released here but considering they have D+, so it mostly will go to D+.
  6. Monday presales at CGV 14K. Full day should be 190-200k. 5mn full run certain. Next week holidays. May be 6mn.
  7. Harry Potter T-4 Days Friday: ¥4.63mn (+¥720k) on 18.15k shows Saturday: ¥1.36mn (+¥230k) on 6.6k shows Sunday: ¥605k (+¥107k) on 4.8k shows Total: $6.6mn (+¥1.07mn) Projections https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk Comps 33.8% of Spider-man: Far From Home - ¥76mn 35.2% of Venom - ¥79mn 31.9% of Captain Marvel - ¥69mn 55% of Ant-man and the Wasp - ¥85mn 45.3% of Black Panther - ¥60mn 75% of Detective Pokemon - ¥57mn Average - ¥71mn (-¥7mn) Lowest - ¥57mn (-¥5.8mn) Another slow day, but not much to worry. Should see jump from tomorrow onward when shows will start increase. I am still expecting ¥15-17mn final pre-sales and ¥39-45mn OD. Will see if weekdays could improve them. The comps are all decreasing from last 2-3 days, but usually for CBMs show count go 2.25-2.5x from T-4 Days, expecting atleast 3.25-3.5x for Potter for around 60-65k shows. So may be they may not decrease that much.
  8. Breaking Bad first 3 seasons are just Good. Its 4th and 5th season that make it what it is.
  9. Harry Potter T-5 Days Friday: ¥3.9mn (+¥590k) on 16.8k shows Saturday: ¥1.13mn (+¥190k) on 6k shows Sunday: ¥498k (+¥73k) on 4.4k shows Total: $5.53mn (+¥860k) Projections https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk Comps 35.1% of Spider-man: Far From Home - ¥78.6mn 38% of Venom - ¥84.9mn 35.1% of Captain Marvel - ¥75.5mn 55.1% of Ant-man and the Wasp - ¥85.1mn 47.5% of Black Panther - ¥62.8mn 65.1% of Spider-man: Homecoming - ¥87.6mn 92.2% of Detective Pokemon - ¥71.6mn Average - ¥78mn (-¥4.1mn) Lowest - ¥62.8mn (-¥2.4mn) Weak day for pre-sales, basically not many shows were added. I expect increase from Monday onward, still expecting ¥15-17mn final pre-sales and ¥39-45mn OD. All the comps were down, which is sorta expected, though the HP and box office fan in me want to see those numbers, but those may be bit too much 😛
  10. Today sales looks a bit weak for Potter. However it will be from Monday when we will start seeing more concretely where the OD is going.
  11. 1917 no major growth, in fact may be flat. Interstellar good growth, Saturday will be about 40% down from opening day, which is great. Dolittle good growth. Overall weekend will be downer from last week.
  12. Week 18 01-08 Aug 2020 Movies Rain Man: This was on my watch list for long time, finally watched it and it's quite good though not as good as I had heard about it. 7/10. TV Mr. Robot: Took a break from movies this week and binged Mr. Robot. Rami Malek is a great actor. Loved him. 407 and 405 are absolutely great. Liked Season 1 the best followed by Season 4. 8/10.
  13. For some perspective, or way @Porthos do it in Tracking thread Harry Potter T-6 Days 36.5% of Spider-man: Far From Home - ¥81.7mn 39.5% of Venom - ¥88.2mn 36.5% of Captain Marvel - ¥78.4mn 57.2% of Ant-man and the Wasp - ¥88.4mn 49.5% of Black Panther - ¥65.2mn 67.6% of Spider-man: Homecoming - ¥91mn 107.8% of Detective Pokemon - ¥82.1mn Average - ¥82.1mn Lowest - ¥65.2mn
  14. Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur $1.1-1.15 million opening day. Weekend I expect $4.8-5mn.
  15. Spirited Away Japan (Re-release) Week 0: $0.25mn Week 1: $1.80mn Week 2: $1.74mn Week 3: $1.49mn Week 4: $1.16mn Week 5: $0.65mn Week 6: $0.53mn Total: $7.62mn $8.5mn full run.
  16. Funny enough, an exhibitor friend of mine was stating this today that Disney releasing Mulan directly in a platform they own is in spirit against Paramount decree. And at end of day, the decree is terminated.
  17. Harry Potter T-6 Days Friday: ¥3.31mn (+¥640k) on 14.9k shows Saturday: ¥940k (+¥200k) on 5.4k shows Sunday: ¥425k (+¥96k) on 3.9k shows Total: $4.67mn (+¥930k) Projections https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk
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