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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder
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Disney is going for $1950-2050mn this year, which is mighty impressive considering this is their off year, with just 9 films, while only one studio has hit $2Bn, that too barely, since Universal in 2015 when they had JW, Minions and F7 and before that only WB in 2009 has done that. Sony is currently at $475mn but don't have anything big following from here, and at max I see them doing $1.3Bn
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Sufna music Amazon Music: https://music.amazon.in/albums/B084WW6W78?ref=dm_sh_d60e-a632-dmcp-8f18-2864c&musicTerritory=IN&marketplaceId=A21TJRUUN4KGV Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/album/3Y82C9w2b6NmRBliN2ev9j You Tube: Ammi https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N0YsKKvfYqM Jannat https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IOxTTrsCw_E Jaan Deyan Ge https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHUYpZFT8gY Qubool A https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FouClnkLpvY Shukriya https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aHtkRFfaPSs Channa Ve https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pQCGfuvxvSE
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No it's not about China alone. The market disturbed so far are basically Italy and SK for now. Rest are doing what is expected from holdovers. Anyways, leaving out China, the film will be losing $50-70mn, with delay, which will be recovered by an additional gross of $125-175mn internationally. Further the revenue from home video will be delayed by an year as well from now, which also bear a present value cost. So I would have pick recent date, as picked by Disney for Mulan and Widow.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I think the best way to judge the affect of Corona is seeing the trend of holdovers, whether they are showing any unusual drops or not. If not its just media hype. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That's roughly 2.9mn OD pre-sales. Using 3.4-3.5x gives $9.85-10.2mn. That's low. Under $45mn. Ugh. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
IDK what are you using as a comp but using general formula, MTC1 lower end is (490/0.8) assuming 25% gives $2.45mn MTC2 lower end is (260/0.8) assuming 13% gives $2.5mn The higher end is $3mn on MTC 1 and $3.5mn on MTC 2. I would like to think $2.75-3mn is possibility, but your word's final. Giving a random guess, will say MTC 1: $675k MTC 2: $375k MTC 3: $550k estd MTC 4: $120k Total: $1720k I don't think this shall go lower than $2.5mn. -
I think they should have released the film in April. They will taking a hit of $30-50mn in marketing & $25-30mn Interest. That's roughly $55-80mn, which need additional gross of $125-180mn, which I don't think they were losing. China is shut down but its not like film was going to earn significantly there which can be earned later as well as we have seen with many delayed release.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
What is tracking thread suggesting about Mulan. I don't care about industry tracking. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So MTC 4 suggests something around $2.25mn previews till 9:30 PM. Hopeful for over $3mn. Keyser data was at 1.8mn 6 hours back. Let's see. -
Netflix started their Trending list in India this month. Ever since, FRIENDS is the only show which is there daily, today at #4.