Possible. That would be on absolute low end of my expectations. I would be bit disappointed as well. Just want OD and Saturday over 400 and Sunday to hold over 200.
Do midnight means just one show at one screen? I think more shows can be added but yeah taking your word for it, you would know better.
But that bring me to the point that if MN is just ¥126mn, (35k * 80 * 45), that will mean ¥380mn Day 1 (understandable) but only ¥1040mn 5 days (or you wanna correct OW=3x OD?) and ¥1600mn full run. @Olive
I reckon prices will go down post opening weekend rush to normal. I don't think that's gonna be a factor because that happen everywhere in world.
When Baahubali 2 released, the prices down south were very high. That led to a bit lower opening day than what we were expecting. After weekend when prices go down, the film started showing those insane occupancies again.
MN being 1/3rd of OD is not really too crazy notion. At this point, I am expecting 50k shows at higher end for MN, that will be 1/4th of OD. MN has higher ATP and will have higher occupancies. Easy 1/3rd.
Though that said, MN could be $18-25mn IMO.
Let's see how it goes with ¥150mn midnight.
MN 150 ok
OD 450 ok
OW 1350 (too low)
Total 2000 (too low)
I assume you meant OW as 5 days. If its FSS, that's gonna be too high.
IMO
OW = 4x OD
Total = 1.5x OW
As per BOI it is Minimum Guarantee. I don't think that's norm in China but usual in India and its natural that norms of trade of both countries will merge. The distributor will pay $850k as minimum guarantee and after that $850k is recovered, profits will be distributed in agreed ratio.
IMO
MN shall be around ¥65mn by end of day, as that really depend on how much shows they add, which are already too high IMO.
Opening Day gonna match or lead MN IMO at around ¥62-67mn
Overall ¥175-180mn.
And we thought it won't be crazy today. ¥6mn for opening day done today. T-10th day, Infinity War held the record at ¥3.4mn. Well that don't exist anymore..
I reckon ¥25-30mn today for opening day.
As per my extrapolation, Endgame pre-sales are $77-80mn till the end of Thursday.
Perfectly aligned with @Deep Wang numbers ($29.5 against TLJ $35mn final & $90mn overall PS).
Pre-sales can't tell that, reception will tell that. If reception is good, 300 will be done.
What pre-sales can tell that is how big opening day will be and currently that looks like will be ¥400-450mn i.e. $60-67mn.
Simple. The likely number is 250-275.
If it get favourable (9.2+) rating will do 300. Definitely possible. The Wandering Earth did that much in 6 days (though it had limited release for first 3 days compared to normal big films).
If it don't do 250, that will actually be disappointing. We can't simply make expectations low deliberately so that its not disappoints. What is disappointing is disappointing.