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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So 60% of Shazam during FSS seems like a good number for Endgame. That would be $15mn. Say round down to $12mn. $75-77mn Approx till Thursday + $12mn FSS. $87-89mn total. Crossed The Last Jedi pre-sales. Only behind TFA now. Guess @Deep Wang number will be close to $34mn now. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
RANK PERCENT TICKETS MOVIE 1 22.340% 15507 Avengers Endgame (2019) 2 17.197% 11937 Shazam! 3 11.228% 7794 Little (2019) 4 07.553% 5243 Captain Marvel (2019) 5 05.941% 4124 Hellboy (2019) 6 05.773% 4007 Pet Sematary (2019) 7 05.209% 3616 Dumbo (2019) 8 04.669% 3241 Us (2019) 9 04.110% 2853 Missing Link (2019) 10 02.739% 1901 Avengers Endgame (2019) Comfortably at top in Fandango but Movie Tickets is lagging behind Shazam a bit. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
IMO 265 is floor. Below that, I will be disappointed. 265-275 is default expectations. 275-290 I will be happy (with one condition, FSS trend is healthy). Above 290 its all good. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Yeah but far here from China, that and Taopiaopiao are the best idea to us about WoM. Ofcourse you would know the ground realty -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
+47,899 -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Avengers: Endgame T-9 days Midnight: ¥68.3mn (26k shows) (+6%) Wednesday: ¥79.18mn (123k shows) (+20%) Thursday: ¥16.8mn (79k shows) (+24%) Friday: ¥20mn (71k shows) (+33%) Saturday: ¥23.4mn (63k shows) (+36%) Sunday: ¥6.5mn (51k shows) (+27%) Total: ¥214.2mn or $32mn (+18%) Comp https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
If A:EG manage FF 8 figures and ¥40 ATP give ¥461mn. That sounds about right. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
TFA -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It won't be. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
TFA pre-sales were 42.3% of Weekend while TLJ and IW were 39% and 23% respectively. I am expecting Endgame final pre-sales to be around $120-130mn Approx. Assuming A:EG play like the two SW films than being Avengers film (actually that's obvious 😂), we have a range of $285-333mn. Midpoint of that $309mn is something that pre-sales tell to bet on. Further, if we allot $120mn in TLJ territory and $130mn in TFA territory, we get $307mn and change weekend. @Thanos Legion I think you wanna read this. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
I think you confused me with @Fake, besides 1750 was before the pre-sales, I was thinking of 400 OD & 75 MN. Now after pre-sales that number has increased. I won't say this is my prediction, this is what historical trends say it gonna do. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Here's the best I can do. Expecting a normal Infinity War reception, this is what I think gonna happen. I wanna know how @Olive @POTUS 2020 and @fmpro feel about this. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
I guess its back to normalcy. Will reach ¥80mn by end of day. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
¥200mn in 50 hours and change. Noice. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Added Monster Hunt 2 to the comp, I don't have data before 13 days out so bear with that. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
How about record opening day of all time. ¥546,857,700 for that. Considering it will reach ¥300mn pre-sales, 1.8 PSm for that. Infinity War was 2.17x and that's lowest for Hollywood I have seen till date. Monster Hunt 2 itself was 1.85x with ¥295mn pre-sales but that had poor Maoyan score and just 140k shows so scope of growth was less. Endgame will have 200k plus shows easily and let's assume Infinity War reception though initial hearsay says its better. PS. For those who don't hover around China forum, if Endgame achieved that number, it will be $82mn in terms of dollars. -
Bohemian Rhapsody OS: $684M OS | $900M WW
charlie Jatinder replied to salvador-232's topic in International Box Office
900mn. Done -
They were for A:IW but after events of Baahubali 2, A:IW and Captain Marvel, they are actually overtly optimistic. Sequels, unlike USA, are known to grow in India more often than not (in fact, it's rare to name the ones which didn't). So everyone thinks this one will pull a Baahubali 2. Not only trade, even people who have thing for boxoffice thinks same. I have atleast 2-3 tweets everyday asking if Endgame will do Baahubali 2 numbers. Two of my sources
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No, Including P&A. China P&A budget shall be around $3-4mn Approx but that will be of Chinese distributor. Chinese distributor would earn $6mn plus approx. Theatrical returns outside China to producer was $6mn. Global theatrical returns $10-11mn including China. Another $4mn from ancillaries most probably. $14-15mn returns on $4mn Approx investment. $70mn worldwide gross.