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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. charlie Jatinder
    Do midnight means just one show at one screen? I think more shows can be added but yeah taking your word for it, you would know better. But that bring me to the point that if MN is just ¥126mn, (35k * 80 * 45), that will mean ¥380mn Day 1 (understandable) but only ¥1040mn 5 days (or you wanna correct OW=3x OD?) and ¥1600mn full run. @Olive
  2. charlie Jatinder
    I reckon prices will go down post opening weekend rush to normal. I don't think that's gonna be a factor because that happen everywhere in world. When Baahubali 2 released, the prices down south were very high. That led to a bit lower opening day than what we were expecting. After weekend when prices go down, the film started showing those insane occupancies again.
  3. charlie Jatinder
    MN being 1/3rd of OD is not really too crazy notion. At this point, I am expecting 50k shows at higher end for MN, that will be 1/4th of OD. MN has higher ATP and will have higher occupancies. Easy 1/3rd. Though that said, MN could be $18-25mn IMO.
  4. charlie Jatinder
    Let's see how it goes with ¥150mn midnight. MN 150 ok OD 450 ok OW 1350 (too low) Total 2000 (too low) I assume you meant OW as 5 days. If its FSS, that's gonna be too high. IMO OW = 4x OD Total = 1.5x OW
  5. charlie Jatinder
    As per BOI it is Minimum Guarantee. I don't think that's norm in China but usual in India and its natural that norms of trade of both countries will merge. The distributor will pay $850k as minimum guarantee and after that $850k is recovered, profits will be distributed in agreed ratio.
  6. charlie Jatinder
    Take a day off @Porthos. We allow you that.
  7. charlie Jatinder
    IMO MN shall be around ¥65mn by end of day, as that really depend on how much shows they add, which are already too high IMO. Opening Day gonna match or lead MN IMO at around ¥62-67mn Overall ¥175-180mn.
  8. charlie Jatinder
    ¥9mn done. The pace is really good. 24 hours will be ¥48mn Approx for opening day and ¥140mn Approx overall. PS. Crossed $20mn in 23 Hours.
  9. charlie Jatinder
    And we thought it won't be crazy today. ¥6mn for opening day done today. T-10th day, Infinity War held the record at ¥3.4mn. Well that don't exist anymore.. I reckon ¥25-30mn today for opening day.
  10. charlie Jatinder
    40-50k. ¥125-175mn midnight incoming.
  11. charlie Jatinder
    As per my extrapolation, Endgame pre-sales are $77-80mn till the end of Thursday. Perfectly aligned with @Deep Wang numbers ($29.5 against TLJ $35mn final & $90mn overall PS).
  12. charlie Jatinder
    In terms of admissions it is ahead of P Storm already with 133k against 124k.
  13. charlie Jatinder
    Andhadhun gonna be #1 tomorrow. It can be today but P Storm has huge advantage in number of shows.
  14. charlie Jatinder
  15. charlie Jatinder
    Which film is required? Infinity War is 235,711,003. jic.
  16. charlie Jatinder
    Unless Maoyan rating is 7 point something.
  17. charlie Jatinder
    Pre-sales can't tell that, reception will tell that. If reception is good, 300 will be done. What pre-sales can tell that is how big opening day will be and currently that looks like will be ¥400-450mn i.e. $60-67mn.
  18. charlie Jatinder
  19. charlie Jatinder
    How is being possible a no? What is no is $400mn in 5 days. Ffs even $350mn ain't no if it gets crazy 9.8. No is something that's simply not possible.
  20. charlie Jatinder
    Simple. The likely number is 250-275. If it get favourable (9.2+) rating will do 300. Definitely possible. The Wandering Earth did that much in 6 days (though it had limited release for first 3 days compared to normal big films). If it don't do 250, that will actually be disappointing. We can't simply make expectations low deliberately so that its not disappoints. What is disappointing is disappointing.
  21. charlie Jatinder
    FIFY
  22. charlie Jatinder
    That's why we are predicting/having Sunday drop 45-50% instead of 20-30%.
  23. charlie Jatinder
    500mn plus full run.
  24. charlie Jatinder
    I don't think @Olive or @Gavin Feng denied possibility of $300mn 5 days yet. If it get 9.2+ on Maoyan and ¥550-600mn OD + MN, I don't see how it's gonna fail hittng ¥2bn in 5 days. 125-150 425-450 275-300 350-400 450-500 225-275 1850-2075 i.e. $290-310mn. Remember with 9.2+ score
  25. charlie Jatinder
    Yes. 9.2+ Maoyan score and there it is.
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