charlie Jatinder

China easy 125-150mn. The weekend looks like will be $60mn approx.

#BumblebeeMovie India ₹2.03 crore ($285k) opening day. Good Word of Mouth. Shall go for ₹8.5 crore ($1.2 million) weekend. In comparison #TheLastKnight grossed ₹18.4 crore ($2.85 million) including previews.

Simmba very good hold in 2nd weekend, looking for 40cr nett (47cr Gross), -52% drop from the first weekend. Full run easily over 250cr nett (310cr gross).

Top 20 totals ₹4249.7 crore ($631.43 million), less than Black Panther and Avengers: Infinity War North America gross, but number of admissions is 325 million approx as compared to 530 million approx of top 20 in North America. The overall 2018 would be ₹11.5-12k crore or $1.7-1.8 Billion while number of admissions would be 900 million approx.

Updated as on 31st March 2019 Rank Title Year Gross (in crores ₹) Gross (in million $) Adjusted Gross 1 Baahubali: The Conclusion 2017 ₹1,341.69 $209.64 ₹1,533.36 2 Dangal 2016 ₹511.23 $75.18 ₹629.21 3 2.O 2018 ₹489.06 $69.87 ₹521.66 4 Baahubali: The Beginning 2015 ₹477.59 $75.81 ₹636.79 5 P.K. 2014 ₹455.31 $72.27 ₹656.30 6 Sanju 2018 ₹434.36 $67.34 ₹463.32 7 Tiger Zinda Hai 2017 ₹430.37 $66.21 ₹491.85 8 Bajrangi Bhaijaan 2015 ₹422.21 $67.02 ₹562.95 9 Sultan 2016 ₹415.09 $62.27 ₹510.88 10 Padmaavat 2018 ₹375.94 $57.84 ₹401.00 11 Dhoom 3 2013 ₹357.78 $56.79 ₹555.77 12 Simmba 2018 ₹298.89 $42.70 ₹318.82 13 Avengers: Infinity War 2018 ₹296.73 $45.83 ₹316.51 14 Uri: The Surgical Strike 2019 ₹287.60 $41.38 ₹287.60 15 Kick 2014 ₹284.81 $45.94 ₹410.54 16 Chennai Express 2013 ₹283.79 $46.14 ₹440.84 17 Prem Ratan Dhan Payo 2015 ₹268.25 $40.04 ₹357.67 18 3 Idiots 2009 ₹265.23 $56.43 ₹615.03 19 Golmaal Again 2017 ₹260.29 $39.74 ₹297.47 20 Bajirao Mastani 2015 ₹258.81 $38.06 ₹345.08 21 The Jungle Book 2016 ₹254.99 $38.63 ₹313.83 22 Ek Tha Tiger 2012 ₹248.86 $45.25 ₹419.13 23 Happy New Year 2014 ₹246.88 $39.82 ₹355.86 24 Krrish 3 2013 ₹244.69 $38.53 ₹380.10 25 Yeh Jawaani Hai Deewani 2013 ₹238.84 $41.90 ₹371.01 26 KGF 2018 ₹219.06 $31.29 ₹233.66 27 Endhiran 2010 ₹217.97 $45.41 ₹232.50 28 Race 3 2018 ₹207.46 $30.07 ₹221.29 29 Baaghi 2 2018 ₹202.69 $31.18 ₹216.20 30 Tanu Weds Manu Returns 2015 ₹201.72 $32.54 ₹268.96 31 Dabangg 2 2012 ₹200.75 $35.85 ₹338.11

Pakistan Top Grossers 2018 Rank Title Country Gross (in crores PKR) Gross (in million $) 1 Jawani Phir Nahi Ani 2 Pakistan 52.24 $4.25 2 Sanju India 37.84 $3.13 3 Parwaaz Hai Junoon Pakistan 34.85 $2.83 4 Teefa In Troube Pakistan 32.89 $2.60 5 Donkey King Pakistan 25.50 $1.83 6 Avengers: Infinity Wars USA 23.14 $2.01 7 Padmaavat India 22.41 $2.04 8 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom USA 16.10 $1.33 9 Simmba India 16.00 $1.15 10 Thugs of Hindostan India 15.50 $1.15 11 Mission Impossible: Fallout USA 15.24 $1.22 12 Baaghi 2 India 15.11 $1.31 13 Zero India 15.00 $1.08 14 7 Din Mohabbat In Pakistan 10.75 $0.89 15 Race 3 India 9.25 $0.76

Inflation unadjusted, else there will be many in 20th century. Even this century, Dabangg will be much bigger.

The film is a box office flop and yeah it was stupid. The reason 2.0 is this big because it catered to whole India, while others are just limited to their respective industries, barring KGF. There are mainly 5 industries in India Bollywood (Hindi) ~ 40% Tollywood (Telugu) ~ 12-15% Kollywood (Tamil) ~ 12-15% Mollywood (Malayalam) ~ 5% Sandalwood (Kannada) ~ 5% Rest (including Punjabi, Marathi, Gujarati, etc) ~ 15% Foreign films ~ 10-15%

Zero Overseas Day Wise Breakdown Date Gross Change Total Gross Weekend Weekly 21-Dec-2018 $2,215,000 $2,215,000 22-Dec-2018 $1,725,000 -22.12% $3,940,000 23-Dec-2018 $1,377,000 -20.17% $5,317,000 $5,317,000 24-Dec-2018 $727,000 -47.20% $6,044,000 25-Dec-2018 $1,140,000 56.81% $7,184,000 26-Dec-2018 $570,000 -50.00% $7,754,000 27-Dec-2018 $434,000 -23.86% $8,188,000 $8,063,000 28-Dec-2018 $405,000 -6.68% $8,593,000 29-Dec-2018 $413,000 1.98% $9,006,000 30-Dec-2018 $338,000 -18.16% $9,344,000 $1,281,000 31-Dec-2018 $147,354 -56.40% $9,491,354 1-Jan-2019 $250,000 69.66% $9,741,354 2-Jan-2019 $9,741,354 3-Jan-2019 $9,741,354 $1,678,354 Territorial Breakdown Territory Opening Day Opening Weekend Opening Week Lifetime North America $350,263 $1,035,388 $1,889,857 $2,221,526 United Arab Emirates $590,000 $980,000 $1,264,349 $1,471,000 Gulf Countries $420,000 $740,000 $1,018,000 $1,328,000 Pakistan $170,000 $465,000 $775,000 $948,000 Singapore $52,000 $151,000 $242,500 $310,000 Malaysia $18,000 $54,500 $88,500 $126,500 United Kingdom $138,500 $417,860 $706,393 $863,221 Germany Netherlands $25,000 $82,500 $106,500 $124,000 Norway $14,000 $43,000 $54,000 $60,000 Europe (Rest) $65,000 $180,000 $227,500 $278,000 Australia $89,615 $231,320 $358,739 $383,880 New Zealand $31,056 $91,934 $153,592 $175,221 South Africa $40,000 $130,000 $192,500 $235,000 Egypt Rest of World $200,000 $705,000 $987,000 $1,217,000

India Top Grossers 2018 Rank Title Industry Gross (in crores ₹) Gross (in million $) 1 2.O Kollywood 485.00 $69.29 2 Sanju Bollywood 434.36 $63.88 3 Padmaavat Bollywood 375.94 $57.84 4 Avengers: Infinity War Hollywood 296.73 $45.83 5 Simmba Bollywood 270.00 $38.57 6 KGF Sandalwood 215.00 $30.71 7 Race 3 Bollywood 207.46 $30.07 8 Baaghi 2 Bollywood 202.69 $31.18 9 Rangasthalam Tollywood 181.55 $27.93 10 Sarkar Kollywood 180.92 $26.61 11 Badhaai Ho Bollywood 172.46 $25.36 12 Thugs of Hindostan Bollywood 163.54 $24.05 13 Stree Bollywood 158.73 $23.69 14 Raazi Bollywood 157.13 $24.17 15 Sonu Ke Titu Ki Sweety Bollywood 130.56 $20.09 16 Bharat Ane Nenu Tollywood 128.22 $19.43 17 Gold Bollywood 127.14 $18.98 18 Raid Bollywood 126.22 $19.42 19 Aravinda Sametha Tollywood 121.42 $17.86 20 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Hollywood 114.64 $16.49

225 most likely scenario.

India Top Grossers 2018 Rank Title Industry Gross (in crores ₹) Gross (in million $) 1 2.O Kollywood 485.00 $69.29 2 Sanju Bollywood 434.36 $63.88 3 Padmaavat Bollywood 375.94 $57.84 4 Avengers: Infinity War Hollywood 296.73 $45.83 5 Simmba Bollywood 270.00 $38.57 6 KGF Sandalwood 215.00 $30.71 7 Race 3 Bollywood 207.46 $30.07 8 Baaghi 2 Bollywood 202.69 $31.18 9 Rangasthalam Tollywood 181.55 $27.93 10 Sarkar Kollywood 180.92 $26.61 11 Badhaai Ho Bollywood 172.46 $25.36 12 Thugs of Hindostan Bollywood 163.54 $24.05 13 Stree Bollywood 158.73 $23.69 14 Raazi Bollywood 157.13 $24.17 15 Sonu Ke Titu Ki Sweety Bollywood 130.56 $20.09 16 Bharat Ane Nenu Tollywood 128.22 $19.43 17 Gold Bollywood 127.14 $18.98 18 Raid Bollywood 126.22 $19.42 19 Aravinda Sametha Tollywood 121.42 $17.86 20 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Hollywood 114.64 $16.49

And now, Titanic is still most watched Hollywood film in India, until May this year though.

You aren't Indian?

That's weird, because Simmba is sort of film that a boyfriend will take his girl to watch. If you like Masala films go watch it, not my cup of tea though.

I think $300mn is quite easy. US will be around $125mn most likely. China could go bonkers for this one, no one knows.

Aquaman seems like $325mn finish if it follow the first Hobbit from here on. $215mn by New Year. Hobbit did $65mn after $9.5mn New Year day i.e. ~7x, assuming a $16mn New Year day roughly gives $110mn. Another way is post New Year weekend of $32mn, Hobbit added $82mn i.e. 2.55x, that will give Aquaman $135mn after this weekend, i.e. $190mn + $135mn.

70cr all India rights.

I hated 1st half itself.

The film will basically wrap up at $11-13mn from here. USA trend is good, weekdays ~ weekend, but number are lower. It will gross $2mn in first week and most like close at $3.5-3.75mn. In ideal situation, should have done these numbers in first weekend itself.

@terrestrial the above Australia and New Zealand are local currency. Besides lost interest in tracking after watching the film. Just tracked the numbers today morning. Overseas weekend is $5.06 million, since all markets aren't reported on Rentrak/comScore, some markets are estimated based on historical numbers and my direct link with distributor.

Is there any matric to gauge Fandango pre sales.

Zero is looking at ₹27-30cr Net (₹35-38cr Gross $5-5.5mn) opening day going by initial pre-sales. That's a bit lower than what I expected but can pick up in the next 2 days. Going by the early reports on content, the weekend would be ₹92-102cr Nett (₹118-130cr Gross $17-18.5mn).

The minimum bump in international for sequels is 20% for Iron Man 2 and Ant Man and The Wasp. Rest all have big growth.

Naah. It won't break out. It's just doing good for animation films, nothing major. Will be half of Incredible 2.