That speak of her filmography not star power. Star power is her ability to sell those movies which she has almost nothing now. She had some in early 2010s nothing now.
Her next if any won't open to ₹1cr ($140k) even if doesn't have strong male lead.
I have some disagreement but this is general idea of Top Hindi industry star in India, she ain't in Top 20.
https://www.boxofficeindia.com/report-details.php?articleid=4102
Every holiday counts. Also Republic Day is all about one day that too on Saturday. Why bother about that one day, facing a big film in week two than simply enjoy those smaller holidays and 2 weeks frame.
2nd Friday won't dip that much. Will be 75-80% hold easily. Saturday 65-70% bump and Sunday 20% bump. Monday 35% of Sunday and then normal 5-10% drop weekdays.
¥24mn Wednesday (-33% 1st Wednesday) for BumbleBee, crossed ¥800mn. Cume up at ¥804mn.
Shall do ¥825mn plus in 2 Weeks.
~¥100-110mn 3rd Weekend, Easy ¥1 Billion.
You seem to forget Stree, Raazi run. They had ₹56cr range Week One.
Week 1 will be around ₹70-71cr range.
Shall do ₹26-27cr 2nd weekend and ₹40-41cr Week 2.
3rd Weekend will be good again due to Republic Day in range of ₹12.5cr and ultimately ₹19cr Week 3.
And then ₹9-10cr, ₹5-5.5cr, ₹2.5cr in week 4,5 and 6 respectively. If Manikarnika is rejected, may do better.
₹145-155cr full run.
So what was 2018 total of the Chinese box office? North America is $11.89 Billion out of which the USA would be $10.7 Billion approx.
India 2018 is about $1.7 Billion, less than what Marvel films did but not much behind in the number of admissions at 950-1000 million approx.
Saying so because of last year, Bajrangi Bhaijaan doubled on Women's day from the previous day. Even Red Sea Operation jumped 80%. Say Captain Marvel would open to ¥135 million, +66% boost gives ¥225 million
$9mn 5th weekend, cume $148mn. I see it legging out to $180mn domestically and $190-200mn internationally. There's Japan release left and it can do really well there, say $25-30mn. That gives $395-410mn worldwide. Approximately $180mn returns for a $90mn film. Excellent.
About $80-100mn more than Lego Batman worldwide.
The "Amazing Spiderman" series did damage so opening wasn't as big as it should have been which shouldn't be case here IMO. Also there wasn't much pre release positive hype for Tom Holland, which is in fact a positive now. Infinity War give it another boost. Having big expectations from this one.
In India WOM was good, it had Jagga Jasoos, regional films and War from Planets of Apes in week 2 which meant a huge drop in week 2 and Dunkirk, Munna Michael in week 3.
1st week weekdays hold was good and it was heading for good run.