charlie Jatinder

well I think you wont need to.

7M+

Not saying that GOTG3 will def do better but there is no reason why having strong weekday holds would def mean a low FRI bump.

possible but I guess 140K more likely.

I have stopped paying attention to Disney films in India. What’s even the point, Disney gonna underreport them. It should be around ₹40cr IMO, Disney number be around ₹35cr. Final ₹60cr range by Disney doable.

Tomorrow

For all the worries, it seems like will end with decent numbers. I can see 40M+ OD PS. Final OD may be 150M, for a mid-week release that will do.

Wed is discount day right? Was thinking if 15 25 45 50 // 135 doable for 2nd weekend.

yep. no change so far.

80M+ 2nd weekend / 305M+ Cume.

I am of opinion to add any early shows after Monday before release because that's basically THU previews audience watching the film even earlier. any shows before that, not so much.

Yeah FRI can be 25+ but SAT could be 60 range

Is this including EA? Harkins as always did well in EAs

Assuming previews/OD close to 40%, $50M doable? T5 was 35%, though a WED opener, so not sure.

I believe the main three.

I am told Fast X is better than last three but it does end abruptly

Sure anything can happen but from 7M WED, $60M weekend is more likely than not.

Daily business ratio between GoTG 3 & GoTG 2 from FRI till WED. 77.28% 75.78% 80.33% 90.54% 92.17% 94.32% Risen to 94%, should soon overtake in dailies, possibly in 2nd weekdays. Even if it don’t, GoTG2 added 213M after WED. 94% of that will lead to $345M.

7+

.

That less than 100M projection was BS for GoTG2. The biggest problem of M37 analysis was he probably didn’t had data (or knew) how normal CBM pre-sales are supposed to go. He was predicting 13-15M previews comparing with films that had 30M previews which is fundamentally wrong and that’s why he was all about this has STRONG growth in final days, when it was barely normal. In fact it took a meh Walkups on THU to end with $18M otherwise where it was placed on TUE night, $20M was likely with normal proceedings. He could have been better off including Black Widow in his comps but I suppose he didn’t have data on it.

Underwhelming Monday? It was an amazing Monday. On contrary Tuesday means nothing for the overall trend. It could be up 40% and it will still means nothing. Even if that 8.93M is supposed to be taken as actual, it was 28.4% of Sunday 25.2% of GoTG2. That’s 13% better hold which had a good trending in first place. Daily collections went from 80% of GoTG2 on SUN to 90%+ on MON. Anyways, its WED hold that matter eventually but MON was the first taste of what to come.

With China $125M, am thinking $500M+ is quite doable.

So @M37 what you think now 😉

The Little Mermaid MiniTC2 T-16 EA - 728/2913 (10 showings) $12,213 Previews - 1460/63264 (242 showings) $19,854 Comps (Choose your own adventure) 0.64x Super Mario Bros - $20.2M (adjust for full-day release, make it around $15M+) 1.82x John Wick 4 - $16.2M 2.32x Scream 6 - $13.2M 2.04x Fast X - ??? (likely $15M) ~0.77x Jurassic World 3 - $13.9M & just for the sake of it 0.57x Avatar 2 - $9.7M 0.47x Top Gun: Maverick - $9.3M