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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Or they could indirectly capitalize on Mando by doing a story about the Mandalorian Wars. That would have the scale audiences expect from SW stories while still offering a fresh angle.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    Um but if they did a completely original concept then zero people would have bought it. What's to prevent KOTOR from reaching a broad audience?
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    Aquaman had a lower budget than many films with less impressive spectacle. Just shows that good spectacle isn't just about how technically well done the effects are but also about how imaginative and interesting they are.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    That requires many things to go right including them putting more effort into the set pieces than they have been, proper execution, and great imagination, plus LF going in that direction in the first place. While Aquaman 2 is pretty much guaranteed to have exceptional action and visuals. There's a reason that the first was so successful.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    Who's to say it will? We don't know anything about it so far. Anyway I have not seen the level of spectacle in the last 5 films to make me think that there will be a serious effort to compete with Aquaman 2 on that front.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    Aquaman crushed Solo pretty much everywhere. Who's to say how well a non Skywalker movie would do? Aquaman 2 is gonna be delivering crazy spectacle that I'm not sure the 2022 SW would be able to compete with.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    If the Friday number holds. 25.5+26.5+21 = 73 million 2nd weekend. That will leave TROS 5 million behind TLJ on day 10. Gap will grow from there on. Following Hobbit's drops it would be 29 million behind TLJ's running total by the end of Tuesday. And it has been dropping worse than Hobbit so far.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Spot on.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Yesterday first read was 30. 27.5 was from Keyser's number.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    TROS may fall around CM numbers. That 1.1-1.15 billion range has gotten pretty crowded the past couple years.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    569 is doable though it would need to hold better than its doing now. But 600 is really optimistic, it would need to hold ridiculously better than Hobbit 2 for that. Let's say weekend is 86 and its 6 million ahead of TLJ by Sunday. Probably by Thursday at the latest it will be 20 million behind and so it would need exceptional holds to get to 600. TLJ will smoke it from Day 10 to Day 17 and will still be ahead for at least several days after that, I don't see TROS making up so much ground in post holiday play to hit 600.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    If Thursday is just 30 I don't see it going much higher than 560. By Sunday it will be par with TLJ's 10-day total, but even if it drops like Hobbit 2 it will fall close $60 million off that pace in the following two weeks.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Idk, we really don't have a good comp for such a huge blockbuster opening in this calendar configuration.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Presales for tomorrow kinda low based on @keysersoze123 scraper so flat would be a good result for sure.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    This Christmas Eve does seem a little boosted compared to the one in 2013. Wonder if that will affect the jumps today.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    Bots. Similar thing happened to Revenge of the Sith which dropped its audience score from 86 to 65%. Many older movies have experienced this.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    I mean I'm not saying for sure. Just if it goes below what MTCs indicate, those could be some reasons.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    I think he means that MTCs may not close earlier but smaller chains will. That is what I'm seeing in my area as well. Plus is it low 20s drop in ticket sales or gross because ATP will be lower today since its a lot more matinee heavy.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    On the Monday number post on Reddit, a bunch of people were saying the Monday drop means that the weekend was influenced by the bad WOM of TLJ and now the good WOM of TROS is taking over *facepalm*.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    Idk I don't think TROS fights are anything more crazy and spectacular than some of the fights in TLJ like the Throne Room or hyperspace ram (I know fans were mad but that moment played really well to crowds in my theater). In terms of spectacle Aquaman is way better than either and delivers something people haven't seen before. In any case if TROS is really pleasing crowds better than shouldn't that be reflected in the exit polls?
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    And I talked to real people also and most of them thought it was much worse than TLJ. And these are people who mostly were not even huge fans of TLJ. We could do this all day since everyone has a different experience. Cinemascore and PostTrak are not internet metrics, they're audience exit polls, so looking at those is a much more rigorous (though far from perfect) way to predict WOM.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    JL had better audience metrics than BvS. Plus many of those who liked TLJ loved it, that group seems anecdotally to be much smaller for TROS.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    It will almost certainly have a better multi but that doesn't mean reception is better. Anyway you seem to be ignoring a significant amount of people who really enjoyed TLJ.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Ok, well, do you have any evidence to back it up? PostTrak and Cinemascore are both worse than TLJ.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Audience metrics pretty much all show worse WOM than TLJ. Better legs will be due to the better calendar not better reactions.
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