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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    MIB still looks like 9-11 Saturday from Pulse
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    Such a disgusting kind of censorship
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    From Pulse still looking at 9-11ish for MIB, but probably no higher.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah I think Deadline jumped the gun with 200 million OW talk just because the first day beat I2 by so much (which I think we were all surprised by). But that didn't take into account that TS4's presales started much later than I2's did. Of course, I'll be happy to eat my words if we do see a crazy overperformance next weekend. But even Dory numbers will be great.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    I think it'll be better but from the presales it seems like not by a huge amount (percentages are fairly similar for all four days). I2 had 9.9x, maybe we can think about 10-11x for TS4. Ofc this could all change with the final week where a ton of sales are about to come in for both I2 and TS4.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    I meant real world hype. Not online hype. And TS4 is a sequel to a movie that made 415 million DOM in 2010. Idk though there's no way to quantify or prove these things. We can agree to disagree on this.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Wasn't Armond actually the second rotten for TS3? I seem to remember someone beating him to it.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm expecting a final week pickup that should get it to Dory numbers at least. But even a $120 million opening would be perfectly fine. The movie will have very good legs.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Finally was able to do this. There won't be any pesky hour difference like yesterday so these numbers should be a more accurate reflection of the pace for TS4 vs I2 TS4 - Thurs: 7157 (+589) (59% of I2 at the same point), Fri: 7529 (+814) (61% of I2 at the same point), Sat: 5659 (+599) (64% of I2 at the same point) , Sun: 3113 (+275) (61% of I2 at the same point) Total: 23458 (61% of I2 at the same point) I2 - Thurs: 12129 (+966), Fri: 12418 (+1271), Sat: 8869 (+758), Sun: 5084 (+470) Total: 38500 I2 way out in front, and the percentage lead is holding steady. Of course, this doesn't mean TS4 will do badly or anything, but 200+ hopes are growing ever fainter. Even for 150 I'd like to see it pick up the pace significantly.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Quite possible, given that tomorrow should have a Father's Day effect
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    MIB seems like it'll get a decent Saturday bump. The morning Pulse sales were actually higher than Friday which is very unusual. It looks like 9-11 for now but I could see my range going higher.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    In 1 hour I'll post the daily breakdown
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Inception also had incredible WOM/event status, and drew many people due to the uniqueness of the concept. Who knows if this will have the same.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    The first 4 Transformers movies all made over 200 million. Therefore The Last Knight was locked to make over 200 million.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    None of those are guaranteed. F8 only made 226 million domestic, I could see 9 dropping below 200. Top Gun who knows how that'll go. Minions could easily pull a SLOP. Tenet is hardly guaranteed, nor is Jungle Cruise or Morbius. The point he was making was that it could be the case that those 3 he mentioned would be the only to cross 200 million. Actually I don't even think the untitled Pixar movie is at all guaranteed either.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    I think the ratio at least on Fandango will improve as we get closer to release. The last couple of days weren't that far behind CM.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    Pikachu and Pets 2 were never on the hype level of Toy Story. They would have little to no impact on the anticipation for it even if they had performed better. The only thing that could have hurt TS4 is if the movie was bad, but that seems to not be the case.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    From Pulse the Friday for MIB looks like 7-8 or so
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    I am honored to have been mentioned in this utter masterpiece of musical and poetic creativity
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    PostTrak for previews was worse than DP
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_daily.txt is where I'm getting the numbers
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Bit of a slowdown for MIB in the last few hours on Pulse, now that Deadline estimate makes more sense, though I'm still going with 7-9 as my range.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    oh, i was responding to @john2000 before and he had said he would love to see the reactions, that's why I was confused.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    I was just a little confused because then why would you love to see the reactions. I don't think people would react that much since it's the expected result.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Edit: Wrong thread
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