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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Idk, I feel like the hype from TLJ has probably died down a bit since Dec 2017. The movie has been on Netflix for a while now after all.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    If it gets 30 million or thereabouts it won't get anywhere close to 100 million. WOM seems quite bad.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    Based on Pulse true Friday will be 8-10 million
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Played like an animation on Pulse. But from what I'm seeing in the Friday numbers, even that might not save it.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    There is no way for TS4 to flop. Amazing reviews, great presales, acclaimed franchise, trailers have performed well.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    Ugh fuck that. Hate censorship
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    I don't think it's impossible. FFH has had little marketing and is still tracking on par with Civil War domestically per Deadline. But it definitely needs to overperform
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Only a bit. TS4 was never going to be affected by MIB even if it opened to 60 million
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Still looking at 2.5-3 imo although it's difficult to say what exactly MIB should be comped with. The preview numbers should provide some clarity. I also wonder if this terrible number is the reason for the strong numbers today for TS4, FFH
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    2.5-3 for MIB based on Pulse
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    If tracking is on par with civil war shouldn't that be a 200+ six day lol
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    Now down to 60 on the MT site. They're all round numbers. 60-15-15-10.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Well TS3 was released when presales were lower than they are right now. It's definitely getting great buzz but, imo, not at the level of I2. Still, you could be right. I'm a bit less optimistic about the prospects than most on here, I'm currently thinking Dory numbers for the OW.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Idk. Will need massive walkups to get to that. Fandango presales are 55-60% of I2 at the same point right now. Anything above TS3 seems good to me.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Wasn't being serious, though I do think F2 will do well. TLK>F2>TS4 imo.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    Fixed
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    Good (relative to previous) pace in the last couple of hours though. If (that's a big if) it can sustain that then 3 is within reach possibly.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    E.T.???????
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    The issue is how to get the 3. I'm not sure it can go that high. It would need to play closer to a pure family movie like SLOP or Hotel Transylvania to get that based on what I'm seeing on Pulse.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm thinking right now it'll go for 2.5 million in previews. That makes 30 million a possibility if it does good Father's Day business.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    Armond White's review is gonna be something special
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    That itself is not an issue. The akvalley tracker updates right on the hour while the movietickets.com/boxoffice page updates 15 minutes after. But the numbers have been extremely jerky today with movies surging and crashing. I'm pretty sure there's an error of some kind.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    FWIW the Fandango comps I'm looking at align more with your local. AMATW and JW both had very high OW to Pulse sales ratio so I don't think they're the best comps.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Regardless of the franchise's previous reception, an 84 on MC is amazing considering how much doubt this movie has had to deal with from the beginning
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    FFH should beat the 154 million number easily. I still remember "Captain Marvel tracking for 100 million opening", "Avengers Endgame tracking for 200-250 million opening"
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