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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Idk, I feel like the hype from TLJ has probably died down a bit since Dec 2017. The movie has been on Netflix for a while now after all. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Played like an animation on Pulse. But from what I'm seeing in the Friday numbers, even that might not save it. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
There is no way for TS4 to flop. Amazing reviews, great presales, acclaimed franchise, trailers have performed well. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don't think it's impossible. FFH has had little marketing and is still tracking on par with Civil War domestically per Deadline. But it definitely needs to overperform -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Only a bit. TS4 was never going to be affected by MIB even if it opened to 60 million -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Still looking at 2.5-3 imo although it's difficult to say what exactly MIB should be comped with. The preview numbers should provide some clarity. I also wonder if this terrible number is the reason for the strong numbers today for TS4, FFH -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
2.5-3 for MIB based on Pulse -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
If tracking is on par with civil war shouldn't that be a 200+ six day lol -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Now down to 60 on the MT site. They're all round numbers. 60-15-15-10. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Good (relative to previous) pace in the last couple of hours though. If (that's a big if) it can sustain that then 3 is within reach possibly. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
E.T.??????? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The issue is how to get the 3. I'm not sure it can go that high. It would need to play closer to a pure family movie like SLOP or Hotel Transylvania to get that based on what I'm seeing on Pulse. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I'm thinking right now it'll go for 2.5 million in previews. That makes 30 million a possibility if it does good Father's Day business. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That itself is not an issue. The akvalley tracker updates right on the hour while the movietickets.com/boxoffice page updates 15 minutes after. But the numbers have been extremely jerky today with movies surging and crashing. I'm pretty sure there's an error of some kind. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
FWIW the Fandango comps I'm looking at align more with your local. AMATW and JW both had very high OW to Pulse sales ratio so I don't think they're the best comps. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
FFH should beat the 154 million number easily. I still remember "Captain Marvel tracking for 100 million opening", "Avengers Endgame tracking for 200-250 million opening"