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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Makes sense I guess. Being dull is the worst sin for WOM
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    That PostTrak data for Phoenix is horrendous. Even BvS got 60% definite recommend and this is only at 51. I'm actually curious to see what could be so bad about it.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    Pulse points to around 10 million for Phoenix still, 9-11 to be safe. For Pets 2 around 15, so 14-16 as the range.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    https://fantasymovieleague.com/chatter/board/fml-main-chatter/topic/462064 the one I use is called Fandango Pulse Purchase history
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    I mean 2019 also has more mega blockbusters than ever. That would tend to decrease the potential for other movies to break out.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    Just find the ratio of Pulse sales to other movies (these numbers are found in one of akvalley's spreadsheets), then multiply by their actuals to see what the range looks like. The trick of course is to use the right comps.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm pretty confident that won't happen
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    I believe the early access screenings are actually being counted in the Sunday number for some reason
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Phoenix, sorry. SLOP2 looks like maybe 13-15. @titanic2187 see here
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    9 AM Pulse sales point to a 9-11 million true Friday
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    Spot on once again
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    Hard to tell with the comps telling a lot of different stories but with hotel Transylvania and Grinch probably around 2-2.5
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Pulse still shows 4.5-5. Pace of sales is marginally better than Godzilla but it's starting from a significant deficit
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Lego 2 along with Dragon 3 were extremely Pulse-heavy compared to most animated movies. I wouldn't be too shocked if it did open 40 million or close to it, after all the previews don't look to beat Hotel Transylvania 3 by all that much, which did 44 million I believe. It's been outselling that movie but the late June/July 2018 comps for Pulse tend to overestimate by a significant amount.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Idk, the Pulse sales seem to be suggesting a stronger multiplier than Godzilla, and by a significant margin. Maybe because this movie had such bad buzz some of the fanbase wasn't that excited to see it on Day 1, but will still see it throughout the weekend.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    Gonna guess 4.5-5 based on Pulse for DP's previews. Don't have the energy to do a full set of comps like usual but that seems to be the approximate range. For some reason the Saturday/Sunday ratios against Godzilla are way stronger than the Thursday/Friday, maybe this will have a stronger IM than we think.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    It's normal for big CGI-driven movies to get mixed reception. Endgame (and the MCU in general) is the outlier here.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    As I thought. Still horrific though
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    TPP up to 7.3. that's interesting, I wonder if the super low initial rating was influenced by fan disappointment
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    I don't think we have a Maoyan yet, but TPP shouldn't be all that different. Still, this score is so low I'd bet the Maoyan is a bit higher, maybe 7.5
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    I was more talking about the early TPP rating. Though the Douban rating is now down to 6.4, wouldn't be surprised if it fell below Green Lantern. I'm honestly surprised, nothing I saw in the reviews made me think audience reception would be so much worse than something like BvS.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Oh definitely, just because it'll probably beat Phoenix doesn't mean SLOP2 is doing great
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Is there any precedent for a CBM getting such low ratings? Way lower than even Shazam.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Doubt it since SLOP2 will have much higher walkups/same-day presales
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    The conclusion, no spoiler, hype, seasonal effect has been discussed but Endgame also has huge barriers to entry compared to TFA. People who weren't all that into SW would be more likely to watch and be able to enjoy TFA than people who know nothing about the MCU (I know some did, but in the aggregate). Thus, after it's dried up the people who were super hyped (which was a gigantic amount and a testament to the way the MCU has grabbed audiences), there wasn't much room for it to grow. This led to poor legs (yes I know it added quite a lot after the OW, but it undeniably had pretty bad drops that prevented it from nabbing TFA/Avatar's records).
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