Menor the Destroyer
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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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I don't think those had public test screenings. That said we did hear the same thing about Flash, lol -
I would not even put Mufasa under expected, I don't think it gets to 100m at all. Feels like a movie with little demand unless it's very very good.
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I think it'll be closer to 10m including Mon from most of the updates here. Walkups were decent, not spectacular but enough to preclude the worst case.
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Sub-50 is impossible at this stage. Even mid-50s fairly unlikely since walkups today were decent. It seems to be heading for the low 60 range but I'll be curious for the final alpha Fri ps update if we get one.
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Feels like maybe low 180s final? Your update for SV2 about an hour later was 314k and it added another 14k from there.
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That's still well below +1400 from this point though. I would be quite surprised if it did 1400 in the final update from just 634 in the initial one. Probably more like 1k.
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200k would be very, very difficult from here actually. I would guess 185-190.
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....we just had one a few months ago lmao
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No, because JWD's numbers were far stronger outside of Alpha.
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I guess if mid-60s counts as favorable to you lol. JWD had already established its backloaded sales pattern relative to CBMs at this point, it didn't exactly come as a surprise. Flash following those walkup trends wouldn't work some type of miracle.
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It would actually be the same 9-10 that we've been discussing.
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You keep spamming this line and don't seem to realize that most people are using "recent non-Marvel films" and they still look horrible.
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You just have to actually read between the lines, it was pretty clear that they weren't the super enthusiastic reactions you'd see for something which would be raved.
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Fri is feeling like 1.6x Thu to me looking at various samples. Given that summer Sat tends to be pretty weak, that's not impressive even with expected great Sun hold. Think IM will be around 6.
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First trailer did pretty well, I'm curious to see how the second trailer does. I feel this could open bigger than Flash domestically.
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I mean...this is why you'd expect walkups to be low for it. Legs can be high, sure. Also this sub-100 for Guardians thing needs to be corrected, many in the tracking thread were never that low and I don't think anyone was that low this late in the run. Shazam 2 indeed looked very bad, but it had reviews release very late which messed with thing.
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Scrolling through reactions I would say they're decent, not great. But honestly reactions to the first two episodes of six aren't really meaningful anyway, most important is how they stick the landing.
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I think the raw level is mostly useless, but I remember seeing similar poll where Gran Turismo was higher than both Barbie and Opp for whatever that's worth lol. But yeah I agree that both movies should be pretty presale-heavy (final week/previous days) based on this data. Barbie in particular is gonna be a pain to comp at first.
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I think 8 is mostly off the table after yesterday, it stopped the bleeding in most samples.
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contest The Flash — Domestic Opening Weekend Contest!!
Menor the Destroyer replied to XXR vs XXR's topic in The Speakeasy
56,000,000 -
Nope, I think they were in fact slightly higher than what it ended up opening to.
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You have to add in the WB channel numbers for Flash trailer 1 but even then Flash is barely ahead. Plus movies from a year ago will probably be higher as trailer likes were higher in general on YouTube then but I do agree (hence why I made the initial post). If it's well-reviewed and the Hispanic angle actually strikes a chord I wouldn't be surprised with it beating Flash OW. Curious how the second trailer will do.
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Thing with both of these is they accelerated a lot in the final week, they both did have reviews drop fairly late which was a helpful catalyst for buzz even though neither got great reviews (but within expectations for their franchises).
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I will actually debate that, its trailer views do not look awful to me, and it at least has a fairly low budget so it doesn't need massive numbers. If it's good I could see it being profitable.
