jeffthehat

Would like to start tracking Wonka and Aquaman 2 but there aren't many shows for sale yet at Malco. Looked at Renaissance yesterday and Eras comps gave ~$5.5m previews. Gonna be very, very frontloaded if the weekend projections are correct.

Yeah, the music is what sold me too. I’m a sucker for alt-country. The melody from that one comes from an old Irish folk song, Brenden Gleason sings it in Ballad of Buster Scruggs. It’s also used in an old cowboy ballad, Streets of Loredo. Amazing how a tune gets passed down generation to generation.

Only eyeballed a few theaters but Napoleon sales look good near me today. Noon shows are 40-50% sold out.

Yeah, anime in general is goofy so I can see why studios would be hesitant to adapt. But superhero movies had that problem as well prior to the 00's. Hell, there still hasn't been a live Ash Ketchum.

Sailor Moon, Gundam, Attack on Titan all seem like they would do well too.

Agree Hello Kitty would do gangbusters. I feel like a faithful Dragon Ball Z adaptation could do a billy. Live action anime in general feels untapped

Happy to see these numbers for BoSS. The B+ cinema score is kinda baffling. Letterboxd and RT audience scores are good.

Yeah could be the holiday as the Sunday hold was really good too. We'll see

Great hold for BoSS. I think it'll have good legs. I wasn't expecting much after the reviews but I liked it a lot.

Friday tracking has looked on par with Marvels this week. If that holds it will be ~$15m true Friday. A normal-ish +15% Fri/Sat and -35% Sat/Sun would get it there. I'm expecting more like 14m/15m/10m but don't think $50m+ is out of play.

Hunger Games BoSS Friday T-0 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 92 Seats sold - 2286 New sales - 968 (+73%) Comps 1.22x The Marvels T-0 = $18.3m 0.69x FNaF T-0 = $20.5m 0.38x Eras Fri T-0 = $13.5m / $7.4m ATP adjusted (-45%) Avg = $15.4m --- Friday still looks strong here. Sold about 200 more tickets than Marvels did on the final day. But could be overperforming. Let's see.

It will be interesting to see the audience breakdown for this. Part of me wonders if its audience has aged up like the MCU has.

Hunger Games BoSS T-0 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 25 Seats sold - 936 Total seats - 4428 New sales - 176 (+23.2%) Comps 0.98x The Marvels T-0 = $6.47m 1.23x FNaF T-0 = $12.65m 0.19x Barbie T-0 (single theater) = $4.09m 2.47x Eras Thu T-0 = $6.92m / $3.8m ATP adjusted 0.16x Eras Fri T-0 = $5.47m / $3.01m ATP adjusted Avg = $6m --- Decent finish. Friday sales are slightly ahead of Marvels here, and MTC-1 Fri looks about even with Marvels too. So $20m+ Thu/Fri looks likely. OW will depend on Sat/Sun. I could see something like 6m/15.5m/17.5m/12.5m happening for $50m+, but mid-40s still looks the likeliest outcome to me.

Hunger Games BoSS T-1 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 25 Seats sold - 760 Total seats - 4428 New sales - 74 (+10.8%) Comp 0.96x The Marvels T-1 = $6.31m --- Friday shows expanded a bunch like they did for Marvels last week. Grew a bit worse than yesterday.

Hunger Games BoSS T-2 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 25 Seats sold - 686 Total seats - 4428 New sales - 103 (+16.2%) Comp 0.979x The Marvels T-2 = $6.46m Friday T-3 Show count - 38 Seats sold - 783 New sales - 148 (+23.3%) Comp 1.03x The Marvels T-3 = $15.5m --- Growth looks great vs. Marvels but Marvels underperformed here. Still thinking 5.5-6m previews overall.

Hunger Games Boss T-3 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 25 Seats sold - 583 Total seats - 4428 New sales - 71 (+13.9%) Comp 0.946x The Marvels T-3 = $6.25m Friday T-5 Show count - 38 Seats sold - 635 New sales - 64 (+11.2%) Comp 0.958x The Marvels T-4 = $14.27m

Hunger Games BoSS T-4 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 25 Seats sold - 512 Total seats - 4428 New sales - 35 (+7.3%) Comp 0.93x The Marvels T- 4 = $6.16m Friday T-5 Show count - 38 Seats sold - 571 New sales - 32 (+5.9%) Comp 0.92x The Marvels T-5 = $13.65m

Hunger Games BoSS T-5 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 25 Seats sold - 444 Total seats - 4428 New sales - 33 (+7.4%) Comp .86x The Marvels T-5 = $5.68m Friday T-6 Show count - 38 Seats sold - 539 Comp .93x The Marvels T-6 = $13.83m -- Looking at other comps does seem like Thu is trending towards 5.5m-6m. Thu/Friday ratio looks a little better than Marvels here but should have fewer walkups w/ no Veterans Day. Leaning mid-40s OW now.

Marvels Friday T-0 Show count - 161 Seats sold - 1873* New sales - 618 (+87%) *no adjustment for blocked seats Comps 0.33x Eras Fri T-0 = $11.65m / $6.41m ATP adjusted (-45%) 0.56x FNaF Fri T-0 = $16.62m 1.87x Marvels Thu T-0 = $12.34m Avg = $11.79m --- Total includes ~400 blocked seats. Leaving them in bc I did for Eras and FNaF. It should also control a bit for higher Fri walkups vs. Thu. <$13m true Fri wouldn't shock me but I'd guess ~$14m.

Awesome that a group of random nerds can clown stomp industry tracking. Should be embarassing for the trades, really.

Hunger Games BoSS T-6 (3 days of sales) Coverage - 10/33 Malco Theaters Show count - 25 (+5) Seats sold - 444 Total seats - 4428 New sales - 215 (+93%) 3-day average of new sales - 71.7 tickets/day Comp 0.88x The Marvels T-6 = $5.72m* *assumes $6.5m Marvels previews --- Accelerating against Marvels here. It was only selling like 15 tickets/day at this stage. Would take the over on $50m OW rn.

The Marvels T-0 Coverage - 10/33 Malco Theaters Show count - 31 Seats sold - 955 Total seats - 6048 New sales - 160 (+20.1%) Comps 0.14x Barbie T-0 (single theater) = $3.14m 3.01x Eras Thu T-0 = $8.43m / $4.64m ATP adjusted (-45%)* 0.17x Eras Fri T-0 = $5.94m / $2.67m ATP adjusted (-45%) 1.16x FNaF T-0 (9 theaters) = $11.94m* Avg = $5.6m *2-day presale windows --- Average of comps came in lower than I expected. The comps I have aren't great but they support what I've been thinking about how this is doing here. The comps with 2-day presale windows are doing the lifting, so this sample might show <$5m if I had better comps. Most theaters I'm tracking are small southern cities (~100k population sizes). Between this and @Hilts OK data, does seem like this will overindex in metros + underindex rural. Friday shows nearly tripled this week, but it hasn't moved the needle much. Friday sales are ~800 tickets after adjusting for blocked seats with growth a bit above Thursday. Thinking $6.5m +/- $0.3m today. Expecting a low Friday multi (2-2.4x), flat-ish Sat, and -35-40% Sun.

The Marvels T-1 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 31 Seats sold - 795 Total seats - 6048 % sold - 13.1% New sales - 94 (+13.1%) --- Grew about the same as yesterday. Don't think there's been time for social media reactions to have an effect though. Bunch of new shows for Friday which is a pain to keep up with, but I'll try to update tomorrow. Think my comps are gonna average ~$6.5m tomorrow, but I've only got Eras, FNaF, and a single theater Barbie comp so they're not great. If I had better ones would guess this chain is performing more like MTC2 and MTC3. FNaF only had 2-day presale windows here and it will bring up the average a lot.

Idk if it’s been posted here yet but they’re saying audience scores in Korea are lower than Ant Man 3

Hunger Games BoSS T-9 Coverage - 10/33 Malco theaters Show count - 20 Seats sold - 229 Total seats - 2680 % sold - 8.5% New sales - 38 (+19.9%) Comp .55x Malvels T-9 = ?? --- Swapped one of the theaters I track, so Marvels comp is from 9/10 theaters. Also have to make some adjustments for blocked seats. Growth looks really good at this stage.