toutvabien

Just remembered Ant-Man and the Wasp was initially pitched/announced as a rom-com superhero film... yea.

The BP franchise is a great example on how to get women invested. It already had 45% women on the opening of the first film and 48% for Wakanda Forever. All other Multiverse Saga films couldn't even bring 40% women.

They kind of just botched the Captain Marvel and her corner of the MCU in general. I enjoy The Marvels, more than the first film, it's still not a good follow-up. Huge waste of storylines/lore. Could have still been a silly romp/team-up (yes, with Monica and Kamala) whilst also more properly following through all the set-up. Would have been ten times more compelling if the Skrulls had their own conflict with Carol and part of it was Secret Invasion-influenced. It will be a shame if all we get out of SI is that god awful show! Waste of storylines & waste of Carol. They really did not know what to do with her. The audience responded accordingly.

Last Stand opened to $102 million in 2006... the only films to open bigger were Shrek 2, Revenge of the Sith and Spidey 2002... Those movies had insane momentum back then.

At 54.1% drop, this is the 10th best hold for a 2nd weekend for the MCU, just below Shang-Chi.

Brandon Perea walk-ups are crazy

So... this has a shot at $1.3B???

Just realized April is packed with wildcards that probably will make quite a bit of money between Minecraft, Michael and Christ. All three could end up amongst the year's biggest. Starting to get more confident on Cap 4, but still seeing low $200m dom and o/u $500m ww. Can see a similar range for Snow White tbh. Thunderbolts and Elio will both do better than ppl seem to predict here, I think. A lot will depend on marketing, but at least for Thunderbolts, I'm confident on its WoM. Even opening around $80m with strong legs can lead to $250m dom/$600m ww. Would love to see Elio open to $50m or so and leg it out to $200m. Karate Kid will be big. I think it's between the three big of July on which one wins the Summer - the year will be won by either Zootopia or Avatar, leaning towards Avatar rn (def globally, but also domestically). I honestly see all three July releases (Jurassic, Superman and FF) pulling $300m+ runs in the US. Jurassic probably has the lead globally, but can be challenged. My boring predictions say $900m for Jurassic, $700m for Supes and $800m for FF.

Finally watched this. Emma Corrin...

So... ~$95m weekend? Yup, $600m+ dom here we come!

LFG.

Chinese opening between Quantumania and GOTG... how is word of mouth over there? I bet it ends up closer to Guardians.

Feel like actuals will go higher. Thinking $1.1-1.15B is where this ends up.

Secret Wars was announced years ago... people were speculating Doomsday even back then. Other than taking focus away from Kang, it's not like things are insanely different. They'll do the same story but with a character they have the potential to nail right out of the gate.

BP 2 was always gonna make less than the first but maybe something like ~$550m dom and ~1.1b worldwide if Boseman had not passed away. For all its worth, the supporting cast of Wakanda still brought out a lot of people.

I have a lot of confidence in the quality of Thunderbolts. Marketing will be important, as will the reception to the next bunch of Marvel stuff/Comic Con etc. Hard to predict rn. Feel like Brave New World is probably aiming for o/u $500m at this point tho, that one has some obvious battles. FF I think will be big.

The Deadline update is saying $55m Friday and $180m weekend what are ppl smoking over there?

Let's fucking go!

Oh damn this is actually gonna try for $200 millie... damn!! Aud scores great all around! LFG!!!

Oh... that's not what I implied! Kamala can do her own thing, but there were literal news reports about all the brat edit memes gaining her hype amongst Gen Z. That's what I'm refering to!

Marvel just needs to get the charli xcx brat endorsement. Look at Kamala Harris.

Even if it falls off a cliff after Friday it's not missing $160m OW and late Summer legs means it will save face either way. Love and Thunder did 2.4× its opening.

This can still get 90%+ audience score and A CS and all that lmao. Critic reviews for the MCU ain't hitting the consistent 90s anytime soon. Even GOTG 3 is at 82% and that is one of the most beloved by audiences and fans.

No mention of Shang-Chi 2 and X-Men line-up reveal are both indicators this is not to be taken seriously.

My long-ish range is $70-90M over the 4 days. Current engagement makes me think it's probably gonna do on the lower range of that though.