Elphaba is hot and so is Fiyero and Ariana seems to be giving us camp. For someone who is not invested in the Browadway show, this looks like it could be silly fun.
I get that the timing of all the hit pieces is ringing some alarms and the need of ppl to be on Coppola's side as the earnest/ambitious artist in the war with greedy Hollywood heads and all that, but it's also not unheard of that a person in power would be abusing that power over ppl working for them. It doesn't matter if Copolla himself sees actions like kissing ppl on the cheek as innocent or even an attempt at creating a cute/chill/relaxed/friendly environment, if the vibes are off and get turned even more off for the ppl on the receiving end of his "gestures". Most of that stuff also doesn't get out while the film is in production/the incidents are happening or even until years after the film is out... and timing really just shouldn't be a card thrown against anyone who feels they were harassed to invalidate them.
Giving Moana 2 the edge, but it will depend on the quality of the music! Wicked has insane songs BUT they need to stage them well... and I hate to say, In the Heights (also directed by Chu) was a mixed bag in that regard.
That's a pretty darn good domestic opening... thought this brand would not carry over that well after the Ceasar trilogy wrapped. Was honestly expecting $40m opening before I saw what it was tracking for here.
If it manages that, then Apes will prove it has some brand strength. I honestly expected that tracking would come in lower than it did. Hope it actually does over 50.
I remember the Deadline tracking from a few weeks ago... is this really tracking like a $50m+ opener? That would be good, almost on par with War (yes, I'm aware of the 7 years of inflation in between movies, but still).
That one has quite a few interesting angles they should hype up well in marketing but so far, my very early no trailer predictions for it have it pulling $75M over the 4-day so I do think it's kind of doomed to be at best a massive underperformer.
What type of engagement does the trailer have on IG/Tik Tok? It's below 4M views on their main YT with 74K likes and 130K dislikes as of this moment (22 hours).