toutvabien

Needs to get as high as it can by next Sunday. Mario was at $436m, TLK2019 was at $431m and Incredibles at $440m. It's doing a very good job of closing the gap with TLK, let's see about the others. Think it probably needs to catch up to Incredibles by then to actually get to $600m.

Does make me curious how the other follow-ups to Disney's original hits from the 2010s will do! Pretty much everyone expects a substantial increase for Moana 2. A similar bump to the one I02 is getting can get it easily past $600m OS. Zootopia 2 has to deal with the fact that the first broke out to $236m in China, which is just not gonna be repeated with Part 2. But it was big in Korea, which has grown massively since. The growth of Mexico and the success of animation there recently may also boost that one. I think even matching the original, with a potentially big dip in China, will be a huge win.

The fact that Pixar movies have had the OS ceiling of Toy Story 3's $652m and now IO2 may even get to $800m os is wild!!

Michael and Jesus opening on the same weekend and for Easter is insane. Could go either way, both seem like wild cards. Then again, all of the super hero movies next year seem like wild cards too.

Insane numbers for IO2. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes will cross $160m today. Challengers is less than 50k away from crossing $50m by the way.

From deadline. Still underpredicting this lol

Daily updates on OS markets and total. We're so back.

Just woke up to these numbers. This movie is WILD.

Gag

One would argue MoM started the decline.

Pretty much 100% guaranteed $500m-plus domestic and very likely $700m-plus overseas after these types of numbers.

$140m opening with key markets still missing is insane. Starting to feel pretty confident about this one aiming for a $1.2 billion or so total worldwide. That will be hard to beat even if the stars do align for the remaining big films of the year.

Toy Story 5 is the one in need of a hook... maybe giving Buzz and Jessie and the others a bigger part is a good start. That franchise may have hit its ceiling. We'll have to wait and see how Moana 2 does before we really predict Zootopia and Frozen... but I do feel like these movies will keep setting Thanskgiving records if they stay Thankgiving releases.

The numbers outside the US are where it gets really interesting. Toy Story 3 is still the biggest Pixar film internationally and for a while there, it did seem like the ceiling, with Dory, Incredibles and TS4 coming in lower. Now it does look like Inside Out 2 will be challenging that.

For some reason that did not even cross my mind. Deadpool & Wolverine and Godzilla x Kong themselves are creating a whole new pattern wow

Godzilla, Kong and Venom breaking the mold.

I guess it's not that crazy that this is turning into Disney's biggest non-Avatar film of the past five years, but I did think it would be a tighter race.

Starting to feel like it will happen at this point. Trailer was even bigger than IO2. I think it's going to see a biiiig increase!

Wicked benefiting from a strong 2nd or even 3rd weekend Thanksgiving hold can make it look good even if it has an eh opening. May even benefiting more than counting to counter-program to the Christmas mega hits.

I'd like to see Mufasa lower than IO2 and Moana 2 and the live-action Moana lower than the animated films. They don't even have to be outright flops.

That seems insanely high to report lmao what happened to being conservative?

Let's start the Moana 2 over $150m 5-day clubs 😝

Interestingly enough, Avatar and their animation output is Disney's safest bets for the next couple of years. With Star Wars the biggest question mark.

First one sold 42m tickets didn't it? I think it has officially a good shot matching that.

Oooooo gagggggg. I predicted $122m opening yesterday. My prediction was $135m a couple of weeks ago in the 2024 bo thread. Looks like it may actually hit that!