rayjulio

i thought it released in more than 300 TC ? So mimorin tracked around 58% of all the capacity for oppenheimer ?

those number from europe is fantastic. uk with very strong weekdays and sub 30% hold. germany with even more impressive weekend hold than france.netherlands also is phenomenal, already 2.7x its opening weekend. i think with 2 more sub 40% hold in weekend even 450m OS without China and Korea is possible. UK 75m Germany 35m France 35m Spain 17m Italy 15m Mexico 17m Brazil 12m Australia 30m Korea 50m China 50m 550m OS

no new markets, just awesome holds in europe.

400m after this weekend (175m domestic and 225m overseas) 540m after next weekend 630m august 11 weeekend ( last weekend in imax ) 750m with all remaining markets ( there is still 15 august holidays that will boost weekdays in some european markets too ) if this breakout in china and korea, even 900m is possible.

2 months ? eventhough grand turismo will move. there is still blue bettle right ? or they might even consider barbie ?

how is oppenheimer reception in douban, some people must already saw it ? i read some positive review but that's probably just fans.

Europe 200m Latam 25m Oceania 25m Asia - East Asia 60m 310m Italy 10m Korea 40m 360m Need 40m more from China + Japan + Vietnam + Greece to get 400m Might be hard task but there is other scenario if Europe can legs better as this kind of movie can get up to 5x multiplier. Best case scenario 350 dom + 450 os 800m

47% drop on monday is hard

yup dunkirk was $105m opening.

50% drop possible for both of them ? 22.5m barbie and 11.5m oppenheimer

whoa, even 5m more than yesterday estimate. from where ?

OS OW Dunkirk vs Oppenheimer ( forecast ) UK 13m vs 13m France 5.5m vs 7.5m Germany 2.1m vs 5m Spain 1.95m vs 2.5m Italy 3.5m vs ??? Brazil 1.65m vs 2m Mexico 1.7m vs 4m Australia 4.7m vs 5m India 1.8m vs 7m SoKor 8.7m vs ??? China 29.6m vs ??? Currently most impressive big markets compares to Dunkirk is India and Mexico. Germany also impressive nearly 2.5x times dunkirk. Saudi Arabia also should be here as one of the biggest markets.

it already released in saudi arabia, qatar, oman, kuwait

wow deadline said 88.9m weekend estimate for international opening weekend, that would be massive. even 80m ow already far higher than my intial 60-70m os ow but now 88.9m weekend. this also without SK and Italy. those two probably combining will get 20m weekend. incredible number all around. middle east must be massive because i dont think europe overperform that much

all of those contries is true but nolan brand will show up its true full potential when it release in Korea and will get opening weekend in 15-20m range.

ah yeah, i kind of agree with this. i think this movie will relate more in europe and usa. i think legs will not be crazy like 4x or more but 3.25-3.5x seems achievable. in asia probably will be average but imax for 3 weeks will help this movie everywhere i guess

same again, i dont want to talk about this in another country thread but just because you said about Asia, so i can said my opinion because i live there. I dont know about another country but in Indonesia, oppenheimer reception isn't that bad. 9.3 in major cinema chain score is very good actually, its even better than barbie. Also controlling all imax in 3 weeks help it's legs. Even bibo ( indonesia source for box office) in twitter said that 6m combined for barbie and oppenheimer is possible. that mean oppenheimer will get probably 2.5m, that's already bigger than dunkirk entire run here. lastly, A cinemascore and 5 star posttrak. what more ?

if it can get this for the 1st week then yeah 300m is on even 325m F 34 S 30 S 22.5 M 11 T 14 W 9.5 T 9

i'm kind of agree with you, surprisingly i thought even women under 25 appreciate this movie more given their review that i read and of course men under 25 and 25-40 very favourable to this movie. So gen z and millenial men seems really like it. So i guess even with A cinemascore, i'm kind of tempering my expectation a bit for this movie legs. 85/275 should be the target for now. unless it drops only 50% in Monday then yeah 300

to be fair for audience reception its already get 94% in RT 9.0 in IMDB 4.4 in letterboxd 4.4 in allocine for france all of them is either joint number 1 or number 2 in every nolan movies. what more do you guys want ? nolan movies always get mid cinemascore but it doesnt stop them to having average 3.5x multiplier. even dunkirk get those with less imax demands. if you guys look at twitter or letterboxd, many audience recommend this movie or want to see it again. sure there is like 5-10% who might get bored because they aren't the target demographic at first and only get pulled because barbenheimer madness. 80m/280m still very good number.

so 2.4m Wed 13.5m Thu possible 20m Fri with UK opener + India + some europe countries 27m Sat 23m Sun 85m opening seems accurate

i mean to be fair if south korea and italy release this weekend like in barbie, it would definitely will reach 100m.

wrong thread ?

for opening weekend i guess UK 10m France 8m germany 5m spain 2m rest of europe 10m latam 5m southeast asia 5m oceania 6m asia - southeast asia 19m 70m opening weekend might be a bit optimistic in asia

back again in 94%, this movie have really good wom all over the world. seems like 250m already locked with 70m opening. if this manages to get 80m opening, 300 seems possible.