achooo

Avatanic has a shot

Guardians could be No 1 for both Sat (be close) and Sun (almost a cert) and still find itself No 2 for the weekend.Saturday could be too close to call from the estimates and we'll have to wait for actuals, same for the weekend possibly.If Guardians can hold on well over Christmas it's going to have a pretty good multiplier considering the pretty poor 32m (5 DAY !!!) opening.

Friday Official Estimates with last wkend Sat+ / Sun-

'007 Shock - Skyfall Tops Twilight for #1'Shock ? - Really ?

Top 5 based on early low/high and doing same as last weekend (Sat+/Sun-)

Already did that, will be officially number one by the time Sunday's WW update is included. Top 10 Sony Spider-Man 3 $890.9 Skyfall $872.4+ Spider-Man $821.7 Spider-Man 2 $783.8 2012 $769.7 The Da Vinci Code $758.2 The Amazing Spider-Man $752.2 Hancock $624.4 MIB 3 $624.0 Casino Royale $599.0

Oh dear (which is the clueless smiley?)

1) Will Playing For Keeps open to more than 10 mill? No2) Will Playing For Keeps increase on Saturday by more than 10%? Yes3) If Lincoln has a theater increase of more than 250 theaters, will it win the weekend? No4) Will Skyfall win the weekend no matter what scenario plays out? Yes5) Will the top three films finish within 2.5 mill of each other? No6) Will BD2 have a Friday increase of more than 125% Yes7) Will Life of Pi drop more than 40%? No8) Will Rise of Guardians finish higher than spot 4? No9) Will SLP get back into top 10? Yes10) Will KTS stay in the top 9? Yes11) Will End of Watch finish in the top 10? No12) Will Lay the Favorite finish in the top 25? Yes10/12 3000 bonus11/12 4000 bonus12/12 6000 bonusBonus 1: How far behind Skyfall will BD2 finish (note, if you don't think it will, then say that and you get the 3000 points if correct) 3000 1.2MBonus 2: what will Wreck It Ralph gross? 3.778M 4000Bonus 3: What will BD2 WW gross be when Sunday estimates come out...only Sunday estimates will count. 757.268M 5000Bonus 4:What finishes in spots:5 Rise of Guardians9 Red Dawn11 The Collection18 Lay the Favorite22 Here comes the boom30 A Late Quartet65 Cheerful Weather for the Wedding

I'm in trouble with that allthestrongbow wiki page editor now, had a right old go at me for 'name dropping' EDI/Rentrak. I do hope 25thframe change their numbers and then we could quote them as our verifiable source.

I changed it to the 94,025,632 figure too and updated Skyfall's # but the same person changed it back. However they have now changed it back to our latest revision as apparently there is some 3 revert revision rule that they broke. So we have our way now !

Not such a bad 'Post Thanksgiving' after all. My winter game shot to pieces (again) though.

Think it'll be close. Probably depends on how many theatres it can keep over Christmas holidays. After The Hobbit there are 4 wide releases on 21st and another 3 on 28th. With Lincoln possibly expanding and ROTG / LOP / RD / BD2 holdovers how much room / love is there going to be for SF?I still think it will - just.

Not too bad and much better for BD2/SF/ROTG than initially looked after early estimates on Friday

I see - so these are actual probables then

How can it be official given that Sunday hasn't happened yet ?

Did someone already do the Bond - 'Never Say Never ....' - quip back to this ???

Thanks Rth

I thought Avatar grossed £93.4 (sources - bbc / imdb / wikipedia) - did this number exclude the special edition - why the difference?Not that it will matter in a few days when Bond kicks blue butt !

1. Will Killing Them Softly open to more than 10m? Yes 2. Will KTS open in the top 3? No 3. Will The Collection open to more than 3m? No 4. Will Skyfall jump back to number 1? Yes 5. Will BD2 drop more than 60%? No 6. Will Lincoln, Skyfall or Pi have the better drop? Lincoln 7. Will Silver Linings Playbook remain in the top 9? No 8. Will Guardians drop more than 50%? Yes 9. Will any film in the top 12 increase more than 125% on Friday? Yes 10. Will Wreck-It Ralph drop less than 15%? No 11. Will Lincoln remain top 3? Yes 12. Will Pi jump Guardians in placement? Yes 10/12 2000 11/12 3000 12/12 5000 Bonus 1: What will be the top 12's combined gross? 3 decimals, 3000 points $121.647M Bonus 2: Rise of the Guardians' second weekend gross. 3 decimals, 3000 points $11.803M Bonus 3: Killing Them Softly's OW gross. 3 decimals, 3000 points $11.272M Bonus 4: Placements: 2 BD2 4 Pi 6 Killing Them Softly 7 Wreck-It Ralph 10 Silver Linings Playbook

Numbers as expected after last week. BD2 260m by end Sunday, (10.5 wdays, 22 - 24 wkend), SF around 250m (8.5 wdays, 20 - 22 wkend). Getting closer ...

Skyfall $1b? $1b is a lock now. $690 - $710 foreign, $285 - $305 domestic. $975 - $1b+ and then China to come. Could be anything up to $100m from China but it definitely won't be less than $40. Guestimating $1.04b to $1.06b overall. Still has a shot at $1.1b

1. Will BD2 remain number one? No 2. Will Rise of the Guardians open to more than 45m? No 3. Will Skyfall remain in the top 4? Yes 4. Will Lincoln make more than 30m for the 5 DAY? No 5. Will Life of Pi make more than 20m (3 day)? Yes 6. Will Rise of the Guardians open higher than Tangled's 3 day gross (48.77m)? No 7. Will Red Dawn open to more than 10m for the 3 day? Yes 8. Will BD2 drop more than 70%? Yes 9. Will any film drop less than 25% on Sunday? Yes 10. How many openers will open in the top 5 (Red Dawn, Guardians, Life of Pi)? 2 11. Will Silver Linings Playbook make the top 10? Yes 12. Will Jak Tak Hai Jaan remain in the top 12? No Bonus 1: Tell me the 3 day PTA of Life of Pi. 3 decimals, 3000 points $6,354 Bonus 2: Give me the combined 5 DAY GROSSES of Life of Pi, Rise of the Guardians, and Red Dawn. 3 decimals, 3000 points 83.471M Bonus 3: BD2's WW gross after Sunday. 3 decimals, 3000 points 553.24M Bonus 4: What will be spots: 3 - Rise of The Guardians 4 - Life of Pi 7 - Red Dawn 9 - Silver Linings Playbook 11 - Taken 2 Am I the only one who thinks Skyfall could possible be back to number 1 for the three day ? (39.943 v BD2 39.781)

Good jumps for the top 3. Fantastic for Skyfall - $1b lock now BDb? :-)Will we get jumps again Wed / Thurs as most people holiday for the rest of the week ?

Thanks for the welcomeSkyfall $1bIt pretty much is. 700 foreigh, 260 ish Domestic and then China.Don't forget opens Aus/Nz this week, then Japan weekend after and no way China won't add $40m

Top 10 Sony Spider-Man 3 $890.9 Spider-Man $821.7 Spider-Man 2 $783.8 2012 $769.7 The Da Vinci Code $758.2 The Amazing Spider-Man $752.2 Skyfall $668.8 Hancock $624.4 MIB 3 $624.0 Casino Royale $599.0 With Skyfall pretty much a lock for $1b, it'll be sitting pretty right at the top of this list