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JJ-8

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  1. Now for Toy Story 4. only 1 film to compare against and it's holding it's own though currently it does appear that we might just fall short of TS3's final. still a great result given i think most didn't think that TS4 could even get close to TS3's total. Movie Toy Story 3 Toy Story 4 Released 24/06/2010 20/06/2019 Week 1 (OW) $7,408,201 $7,532,961 $8,006,723 $8,438,723 $4,399,897 $11,932,858 $2,075,518 $10,514,241 W/E Screens/Ave 480 15,434 586 13,663 Week 2 $6,421,626 $18,354,484 $6,396,881 $16,911,122 $5,476,700 $23,831,184 $2,996,783 $19,907,905 W/E % Drop -13.3% -20.1% Week 3 $6,361,024 $30,192,208 $5,287,636 $25,195,541 $2,956,127 $33,148,335 $4,177,560 $29,373,101 Week 4 $3,753,462 $36,901,797 $5,136,782 $34,509,883 $433,757 $37,335,554 $1,853,636 $36,363,519 Week 5 $1,331,909 $38,667,463 $1,993,448 $38,356,967 Week 6 $1,006,253 $40,041,534 $837,637 $39,640,884 Week 7 $547,317 $41,061,890 Week 8 $362,816 $41,706,254 Week 9 $168,340 $42,016,458 Week 10 $92,259 $42,196,833 TOTAL: $42,435,050 $39,640,884 Projected 41m - 42m
  2. Pretty much final Avengers endgame showdown... looks like it will wind up in the low 84m's. still insane. though not good enough for #1 or #2 which are still way out there. that avatar figure of 115m is looking further an further out of reach at the moment. I guess inflation will catch it eventually but it's just insane. Movie Star Wars: The Force Awakens Avengers: Infinity War Avengers: Endgame Released 17/12/2015 25/04/2018 24/04/2019 Week 0 $8,701,122 $8,701,122 $10,290,526 $10,290,526 Week 1 (OW) $27,254,820 $27,254,820 $21,239,893 $29,941,015 $34,116,525 $44,394,082 $11,286,747 $38,541,567 $5,418,285 $35,359,300 $7,781,367 $52,175,449 W/E Screens/Ave 941 28,964 871 24,386 1,112 30,680 Opening Day 9,425,000 8,701,122 10,290,526 Single Day 9,425,000 (Thursday) 8,701,122 (Wednesday) 10,290,526 (Wednesday) Week 2 $11,800,884 $50,342,451 $10,207,034 $45,566,334 $13,597,138 $65,772,587 $10,604,824 $60,947,275 $2,811,097 $48,377,431 $3,094,595 $68,867,182 W/E % Drop -56.7% -51.9% -60.1% Week 3 $9,001,962 $69,949,237 $5,316,692 $53,694,123 $5,450,085 $74,317,267 $5,017,486 $74,966,723 $1,158,106 $54,852,229 $1,278,696 $75,595,963 Week 4 $4,917,825 $79,884,548 $2,355,356 $57,207,585 $3,071,304 $78,667,267 $2,249,767 $82,134,315 $537,995 $57,745,580 $644,464 $79,311,731 Week 5 $2,988,963 $85,123,278 $1,196,976 $58,942,556 $1,519,720 $80,831,451 Week 6 $1,826,202 $88,275,958 $879,776 $60,151,998 $790,477 $82,022,485 Week 7 $1,290,271 $90,638,978 $661,898 $61,030,967 $499,225 $82,753,423 Week 8 $754,425 $91,783,059 < 200k (not in top 10) $256,402 $83,232,204 TOTAL: $94,034,011 $61,865,083 $84,258,444
  3. ok i am starting to wonder whether @chasmmi planned this... basically a shock and awe campaign.... weeks 11, 12, and 13 are pretty much complete disasters (especially week 12 where pretty much if you answered you got it wrong!) in fact only 1 person managed 3 correct answers ... hats off to @24Lost. Only @Wrath managed to come partly unscathed. when i say unscathed he's still got most of his score he went in with to these 3 weeks and thanks to that now leads this. PS. only captainwonderful hasn't made a mistake now (however he's had 3 cashouts in a row - making a total of 4 which puts him out of the running for bonus's....) As I said the last 3 weeks were shock and awe..... Question of Week Scores Cashout current streak when Incorrect (50% loss), no answer (20% loss), Cashout (0% loss) No Color = original scoring (20k per correct answer) Orange = 1st Rentry (15k per correct answer) Blue = 2nd Reentry (10k per correct answer) Green = 3rd Reentry (7k per correct answer) Purple = 4th Reentry (5k per correct answer) Red = 5th Reentry (or subsequent) (3k per correct answer) Current Streak # Player Total Score Answer Score #Correct Running Score Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Actuals YES NO NO 1 Wrath 200,000 7,000 0 0 CASHOUT YES YES 2 captainwondyful 136,000 5,000 0 0 CASHOUT - - 3 MrPink 130,000 5,000 0 0 CASHOUT YES YES 4 Jake Gittes 107,500 10,000 0 0 NO NO YES 5 Ms Lady Hawk 106,000 5,000 0 0 - YES YES 6 glassfairy 102,500 10,000 1 10000 YES YES NO 7 bcf26 97,500 10,000 1 10000 YES YES NO 8 BobDole 80,000 3,000 0 0 CASHOUT YES YES 9 chasmmi 80,000 3,000 0 0 CASHOUT YES YES 10 ZeeSoh 80,000 3,000 0 0 CASHOUT YES YES 11 24Lost 67,000 7,000 6 42000 YES NO NO 12 Simionski 64,500 3,000 0 0 - - - 13 Fancyarcher 48,000 3,000 0 0 YES YES - 14 WrathofHan 46,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 15 Mike Hunt 46,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 16 JJ-8 46,000 3,000 1 3000 CASHOUT YES NO 17 kayumanggi 45,000 5,000 1 5000 NO YES NO 18 Sheikh 45,000 5,000 0 0 YES YES YES 19 CoolEric258 38,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 20 Panda (A Panda of Ice and Fire) 34,600 3,000 0 0 - - - 21 Kalo 28,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 22 PanaMovie 17,200 3,000 0 0 - CASHOUT - 23 Darth Lehnsherr 16,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 24 Empire 16,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 25 AndyLL 0 3,000 0 0 - - - 26 Cmasterclay 0 3,000 0 0 - - - 27 Infernus 0 3,000 0 0 - - - 28 MovieMan89 0 3,000 0 0 - - - 29 NannerManCan 0 3,000 0 0 - - -
  4. Answer = NO (dropped 24.3% ~ very close one here ... tough one @chasmmi )
  5. And here is the updated scores for weeks 8, 9, 10.... Question of Week Scores Cashout current streak when Incorrect (50% loss), no answer (20% loss), Cashout (0% loss) No Color = original scoring (20k per correct answer) Orange = 1st Rentry (15k per correct answer) Blue = 2nd Reentry (10k per correct answer) Green = 3rd Reentry (7k per correct answer) Purple = 4th Reentry (5k per correct answer) Red = 5th Reentry (or subsequent) (3k per correct answer) Current Streak # Player Total Score Answer Score #Correct Running Score Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Actuals YES YES CHILD 1 Jake Gittes 200,000 20,000 10 200000 YES YES CHILD 2 Wrath 200,000 20,000 10 200000 YES YES CHILD 3 bcf26 140,000 15,000 8 120000 YES YES CHILD 4 captainwondyful 136,000 15,000 8 120000 YES YES CHILD 5 MrPink 130,000 15,000 8 120000 YES YES CHILD 6 Ms Lady Hawk 130,000 15,000 8 120000 YES YES CHILD 7 glassfairy 100,000 15,000 2 30000 NO YES CHILD 8 BobDole 80,000 10,000 8 80000 YES YES CHILD 9 chasmmi 80,000 10,000 8 80000 YES YES CHILD 10 kayumanggi 80,000 10,000 8 80000 YES YES CHILD 11 Sheikh 80,000 10,000 8 80000 YES YES CHILD 12 ZeeSoh 80,000 10,000 8 80000 YES YES CHILD 13 Simionski 72,500 10,000 4 40000 YES YES CHILD 14 Fancyarcher 51,500 7,000 2 14000 NO YES CHILD 15 WrathofHan 46,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 16 Mike Hunt 46,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 17 24Lost 46,000 7,000 3 21000 YES YES CHILD 18 JJ-8 43,000 7,000 4 28000 YES YES CHILD 19 CoolEric258 38,600 3,000 1 3000 - - CHILD 20 Panda (A Panda of Ice and Fire) 34,600 3,000 0 0 - - - 21 Kalo 28,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 22 PanaMovie 19,000 3,000 3 9000 YES YES CHILD 23 Darth Lehnsherr 16,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 24 Empire 16,000 3,000 0 0 - - - 25 AndyLL 0 3,000 0 0 - - - 26 Cmasterclay 0 3,000 0 0 - - - 27 Infernus 0 3,000 0 0 - - - 28 MovieMan89 0 3,000 0 0 - - - 29 NannerManCan 0 3,000 0 0 - - -
  6. 1. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $35M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $50M? 2000 No 3. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $42.5M? 3000 No 4. Will Once Upon A Time make more than half of Lion King's Weekend total? 4000 No 5. Will Spiderman overtake Aladdin Domestically by the end of the weekend? 5000 No 6. Will Spiderman stay above Toy Story 4? 1000 Yes 7. Will Crawl stay above Yesterday? 2000 No 8. Will Endgame's PTA stay above $1000? 3000 Yes 9. Will Annabelle have a higher percentage drop than Midsommar? 4000 No 10. Will Stuber drop more than 52%? 5000 Yes 11. Will Toy Story increase more than 37% on Saturday? 1000 Yes 12. Will Secret Life of Pets stay in the top 12? 2000 Yes 13. Will Lion King Overtake Toy Story's Domestic Total by the end of the weekend? 3000 No 14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? 4000 Midsommar 15. Will we see a CGI hippo balancing on the beak of a CGI toucan? 5000 who said either were CGI Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Once Upon a Time's OW be? 38.405M 2. What will Yesterday's percentage drop be? -30.89% 3. What will Aladdin's PTA be? $1,503 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Once Upon a Time In Hollywood 4. Toy Story 4 6. Crawl 7. Aladdin 9. Stuber 11. The Secret Life of Pets 2
  7. @Rthroar ~ looks like EG should be around 84,250,000 (give or take a few ?) not thinking there is much left in the tank now so probably wind up around 84,300,000 at this rate. Am I right ?
  8. ... woah... so we have since april... AEG ~ 84-85m Aladdin ~ 35m Spiderman FFH ~ 36-40m TS4 ~ 41-43m and now add TLK ~ 55-65m (estimated based upon it's OW) The highest non-disney film .... Rocketman ~ 20m Heck even go back to teh start of the year and you add Captain Marvel ~ 41m the highest non-disney film released in 2019 is HTTYD3 ~ 23m disney dominating much here ???
  9. now for TLK - i'm holding fire till we get some actuals however, i'd say a comparison between TLK, The Last Jedi and Infinity War seems in order given they look like they opened around 20m - 22m range..... you would think a total > 55m seems possible here with a realistic shot at 65m if it has any kind of legs... (TLJ reached 58m with christmas cushion while IW reach 62m. so gives us a target range from here i think. anyway food for though until we get actuals.
  10. Now for Toy Story 4... Easy enough to compare against TS3, and it's quite interesting. Based upon the grosses the prior weekend it looks like TS4 should go very close to matching TS3's gross and is still a chance to pass it..... 45m does seem a stretch but 42m+ seems very doable at this point unless it crashes and burns due the TLK's massive opening. Movie Toy Story 3 Toy Story 4 Released 24/06/2010 20/06/2019 Week 1 (OW) $7,408,201 $7,532,961 $8,006,723 $8,438,723 $4,399,897 $11,932,858 $2,075,518 $10,514,241 W/E Screens/Ave 480 15,434 586 13,663 Week 2 $6,421,626 $18,354,484 $6,396,881 $16,911,122 $5,476,700 $23,831,184 $2,996,783 $19,907,905 W/E % Drop -13.3% -20.1% Week 3 $6,361,024 $30,192,208 $5,287,636 $25,195,541 $2,956,127 $33,148,335 $4,177,560 $29,373,101 Week 4 $3,753,462 $36,901,797 $5,136,782 $34,509,883 $433,757 $37,335,554 $1,853,636 $36,363,519 Week 5 $1,331,909 $38,667,463 Week 6 $1,006,253 $40,041,534 Week 7 $547,317 $41,061,890 Week 8 $362,816 $41,706,254 Week 9 $168,340 $42,016,458 Week 10 $92,259 $42,196,833 TOTAL: $42,435,050 $36,363,519 Projected 41m - 43m
  11. Firstly, a final update on the AEG showdown i started sometime ago.... Looks like AEG will reach around 85m or so by the end of it's run. Good enough for 3rd all time. Movie Avatar Star Wars: The Force Awakens Avengers: Infinity War Avengers: Endgame Released 17/12/2009 17/12/2015 25/04/2018 24/04/2019 Week 0 $931,125 $931,125 $8,701,122 $8,701,122 $10,290,526 $10,290,526 Week 1 (OW) $11,962,308 $12,895,497 $27,254,820 $27,254,820 $21,239,893 $29,941,015 $34,116,525 $44,394,082 $7,349,693 $20,245,190 $11,286,747 $38,541,567 $5,418,285 $35,359,300 $7,781,367 $52,175,449 W/E Screens/Ave 588 20,344 941 28,964 871 24,386 1,112 30,680 Opening Day 9,425,000 8,701,122 10,290,526 Single Day 9,425,000 (Thursday) 8,701,122 (Wednesday) 10,290,526 (Wednesday) Week 2 $8,749,099 $28,994,289 $11,800,884 $50,342,451 $10,207,034 $45,566,334 $13,597,138 $65,772,587 $9,772,863 $38,767,152 $10,604,824 $60,947,275 $2,811,097 $48,377,431 $3,094,595 $68,867,182 W/E % Drop -26.9% -56.7% -51.9% -60.1% Week 3 $9,659,700 $48,426,852 $9,001,962 $69,949,237 $5,316,692 $53,694,123 $5,450,085 $74,317,267 $6,475,778 $54,902,630 $5,017,486 $74,966,723 $1,158,106 $54,852,229 $1,278,696 $75,595,963 Week 4 $8,338,365 $63,240,995 $4,917,825 $79,884,548 $2,355,356 $57,207,585 $3,071,304 $78,667,267 $5,032,850 $68,273,845 $2,249,767 $82,134,315 $537,995 $57,745,580 $644,464 $79,311,731 Week 5 $7,002,454 $75,276,299 $2,988,963 $85,123,278 $1,196,976 $58,942,556 $1,519,720 $80,831,451 Week 6 $5,604,268 $84,804,886 $1,826,202 $88,275,958 $879,776 $60,151,998 $790,477 $82,022,485 Week 7 $4,548,004 $92,706,581 $1,290,271 $90,638,978 $661,898 $61,030,967 $499,225 $82,753,423 Week 8 $3,936,622 $98,374,262 $754,425 $91,783,059 < 200k (not in top 10) $256,402 $83,232,204 TOTAL: $115,623,586 $94,034,011 $61,865,083 $84,240,000 Projected 85m
  12. Updated OW records with Endgames results... Opening Weekend Records 1. Avengers: Endgame 34.1m (44.m including OD) 2. Star Wars: the Force Awakens 27.3m 3. Avengers: Infinity War 21.2m (29.9m if you include the Wednesday Opening Day) 4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 21.0m 5. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 18.4m (25.5m if you include the Wednesday Opening Day) So if @Rthroar has this right... The Lion King (2019) is going land around 21m OW(4th - 5th record) (+the 4m OD wednesday) and around a 25m running total. Did i get that right RTH ? and looking at AIW results, could TLK land as high as 3rd ? (it's only 200k higher than SW TLJ )
  13. Week 13 : [1] The Lion King ; [2] Spider-man Far from home Week 14 : [1] The Lion King ; [2] Once Upon a time in Hollywood Week 15 : [1] Fast & Furious Presents Hobbs & Shaw ; [2] The Lion King Week 16 : [1] Fast & Furious Presents Hobbs & Shaw ; [2] Dora and the Lost city of Gold Week 17 : [1] The Angry Birds Movie 2 ; [2] Fast & Furious Presents Hobbs & Shaw Week 18 : [1] Angel has Fallen ; [2] The Angry Birds Movie 2 Week 19 : [1] Angel has Fallen ; [2] Playmobil the Movie Week 20 : [1] It Chapter 2 ; [2] Angel has Fallen
  14. Part A: 1. Will Lion King make more than $150M? 1000 YES 2. Will Lion King make more than $200M? 2000 NO 3. Will Lion King make more than $175M? 3000 YES 4. Will Lion King's friday+ Saturday Total be higher than the 3 day combined weekend of every other film reported by BOM? 4000 YES 5. Will Lion King have a higher Internal Multiplier than the Beauty and the Beast Remake? 5000 NO 6. Will Crawl have a bigger percentage decrease than Stuber? 1000 NO 7. Will Yesterday stay above Aladdin? 2000 YES 8. Will Annabelle's PTA stay above $1000? 3000 NO 9. Will any Disney (be it Marvel, animated or whatever) film increase this weekend? 4000 YES 10. Will ALaddin's domestic total be closer to Toy Story or Spiderman by the end of the weekend? 5000 Spider-man 11. Will Midsommer drop more than 67%? 1000 Yes 12. Will Rocketman stay in the top 12? 2000 Yes 13. Will Avengers increase more than 55% on Saturday? 3000 NO 14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? 4000 Midsommar 15. Will we see a CGI hippo balancing on the beak of a CGI toucan? 5000 already done right ? Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1.What will Lion King's Domestic Total be by end of Sunday? 191,404,506 2. What will Annabelle's percentage drop be? -59.505% 3. What will Toy Story's PTA be? 3120 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Spider-man far from home 5. Yesterday 7. Stuber 8. The Secret Life of Pets 2 10. Annabelle Comes Home 12. Midsommer
  15. Part A: 1. Will Stuber make more than $12M? No 2. Will Stuber make more than $18M? No 3. Will Stuber make more than $15M? No 4. Will Crawl make more than $12M? Yes 5. Will Crawl make more than $15M? No 6. Will the top two stay the same? Yes 7. Will Spiderman drop more than 52%? No 8. Will annabelle stay above Aladdin? No 9. Will SLOP2 have a bigger percentage drop than Toy Story? Yes 10. Will MiBi's PTA stay above $800? Yes 11. Will Yesterday drop more than 51%? No 12. Will Avengers stay above Rocketman? No 13. Will Child's Play decrease more than 30% on Sunday? Yes 14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? Annabelle Comes Home 15. Will anything go over Stuber's head because he is not fast enough to catch it? lol.. not likely... Part B: 1.What will Stuber's Domestic Total be by end of Sunday? 7.333m 2. What will Aladdin's percentage drop be? -33.21% 3. What will John Wick's PTA be? $1,255  Part 😄 2. Toy Story 4 4. Stuber 6. Aladdin 8. Midsommer 11. Avengers: Endgame 12. Men in Black International
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