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Everything posted by JJ-8
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Australia: Looks like thursday is: JW #1 heading for a 7.6m to 9m 2nd weekend. Minions #2 heading for around 7m OW (OD 30% stronger than DM2) Inside out #4 heading for about 3m to 4m OW. Just remember though in australia we are heading into the june holidays from 1 weeks time which help both minions and inside out in particular (possible even flat from the OW or even a bump) so IO does look disappointing on paper here but it is facing minions on it's OW here which is different to other places.
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BSG Week 8: Individs are Goffe, Blank and Panda
JJ-8 replied to baumer's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
You know the rules: 1) Will Jurassic World fall less than 55%? YES 2) Will JW have Thursday drop of more than 10%? NO 3) Will JW increase more than 83% on Friday? yes 4) Will Inside Out make more than 65 million? yes 5) Will IO finish less than 17.5 million back of JW? yes 6) Will Spy drop less than 35%? no 7) Will Pitch Perfect drop more than 30%? yes 8) Will any film increase more than 83% on Friday? yes 9) Will the top 10 films add up to more than 205 million? yes 10) Will JW be at more than 800 million WW by Monday morning, meaning Sunday numbers count (only estimates will count). yes 11) Will Dope have an increase on Saturday? yes 12) Will JW and IO add up to more than 152 million? yes 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 600 What finishes in spots 5 Insidious Chapter 3 7 Dope 9 Tomorrowland 12 Love & Mercy 2000 each 3000 bonus for all spots correct Bonus 1: What does JW make on Saturday? 5000 40.222m Bonus 2: What does IO make on Friday? 5000 29.433m -
from memory #1 is still Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (from memory)
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ain't that the truth... beer and origin ... the refs won the game tonight ....... disappointing.. and the game itself was a great game.... bring on game 3...
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QUEENSLANDER!!!!!!!!!
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Maybe. We didn't get Lego movie till Easter. That release date may yet hold.
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Gotta say that spectre is in the mix too. I agree though that MJ is more likely.
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just looking over those 2016 dates.. and good thing that Beverly hills cop 4 has been pulled as it looks like it was targeting the same weekend as BvS.... (Kung Fu Panda 3 also on that weekend )
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ok seriously though there really are only 2 other options at the moment ... Spectre and Mockingjay Part 2... Spectre: is coming off a well loved film in Skyfall (12m OW; and a 49m total is nothing to sneeze at). Based on this i'm thinking Spectre can open bigger than Skyfall. it also opens before mockingjay meaning it's not as affected in it's first week by MJ... Yes i know the whole 50 Year thing and tie in's made skyfall potentially bigger but it got out to a wider audience meaning i think spectre can draw bigger initially. Anything from 10m to 16m is possible here.. i suspect around 14m, possibly just clear of 15m. Mockingjay Part 2 I'm not totally convinced on this ... but it's possible... CF opened over 12m and MJ P1 got 11.9m making me thinking 12m is lowend here. and given now MJ P2 has 3D i'm thinking a small boost from that.. 13m to 15m shouldn't be impossible for MJ2. But can both films open > 14m 1 week apart... will be interesting to see which film comes out on top....
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There can be only 1 movie.... Blinky Bill: The Movie! now there's a movie that's going to break all the records .... and then some!
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Updated estimate (as part of that massive 307m International Debut... 12.1m USD OW which should equate to around 15.6m to 15.8m at the moment. nice result. right in line with what RTH said....
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Wtf. Insane. Similar to the latest update from Australia too JW posted 5.4m AUD. Which is the biggest Saturday ever (previous was dh2) and 5th biggest single day of all time in the local market! Looking like 15.5m+++ weekend (from RTH) down under (AOU did 15.7m). Top 2 OW are still new moon (16.1m) and dh2 (18m)
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So it appears that JW may even best AOU OW here (15.7m). Crazy! With holidays beginning to roll out around the country in about 10 days or so you've gotta think JW souls be able to leg it's way to 40m+ with an outside shot of 50m.
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That's insane!
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The plot does indeed thicken ..... Weekly numbers: 10 7 Poltergeist (2015) Fox $3,827,017 -65.6% 2,229 -1,013 $1,717 $45,428,945 - 3 11 N Love & Mercy RAtt. $3,008,611 - 481 - $6,255 $3,008,611 - 1 12 N Dil Dhadakne Do Eros $1,752,947 - 238 - $7,365 $1,752,947 - 1 13 11 Home (2015) Fox $1,437,680 -21.5% 715 -373 $2,011 $172,528,287 $135 11 Daily Numbers: 10 LOVE & MERCY Roadside Attractions 481 $223,457 -61.8% / $465 $2,347,416 / 4 $251,643 +12.6% / $523 $2,599,059 / 5 $208,996 -16.9% / $435 $2,808,055 / 6 $200,556 -4% / $417 $3,008,611 / 7 11 POLTERGEIST (2015) Fox 2,229 $312,784 -51.3% / $140 $44,619,721 / 18 $332,180 +6.2% / $149 $44,951,901 / 19 $284,803 -14.3% / $128 $45,236,704 / 20 $192,241 -32.5% / $86 $45,428,945 / 21 - HOME (2015) Fox 715 $145,148 -40.5% / $203 $172,064,660 / 74 $147,411 +1.6% / $206 $172,212,071 / 75 $154,588 +4.9% / $216 $172,366,659 / 76 $161,628 +4.6% / $226 $172,528,287 / 77 From this Dil Dhadekne Do is not reporting dailies...... hence the question whether it's 12th or not i suspect. Just a quick comparison of the totals (weekends vs Weekdays chart) to see what the difference is and it's pretty wide .... Here is the total weekdays for the week too: 12 Dil Dhadakne Do Eros $1,752,947 $1,326,267 75.7% $426,680 24.3% 238 1 13 Home (2015) Fox $1,437,680 $828,905 57.7% $608,775 42.3% 715 11 Looking at this I'd say that Home is likely in 12th place as a result. (Dil actually made less that Far from the Madding Crowd during the weekdays).
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So far for individuals: (Jajang) Looks like i'm at 3 for 3 (with the 4th question not known until sunday) so i'm with a good chance to get it all correct.. what do we get again Kelli - has already got a question wrong..... you had NO for JW above 117.5m..... chassmmi - also 1 wrong already... you had YES TO Spy increase greater than 0% on thursday - it fell by 15% Tele - i think you've got 1 wrong already too - Will any film in the top 12 decrease less 1.5% on Thursday? NO I'm afraid Home (in 12th) increased by 4.6%. Mattrek - so far i'm not sure any of yours can be answered yet... so your still in with a chance.