JJ-8
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Posts posted by JJ-8
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Stunning film. I caught it Boxing Day. Yet again Cameron has outdone himself.
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Up to you whether you accept @chasmmi but late entry for week 1.
Weekly Questions will have 13 questions, except for the weeks that don't:
Part A:
1. Will No Time To Die to more than $75M? 1000 YES
2. Will No Time To Die to more than $100M? 2000 NO
3. Will No Time To Die to more than $87.5M? 3000 NO
4. Will No Time To Die's best day be enough to take number 1 for the weekend on its own? 4000 YES
5. Will Venom drop more than 54%? 1000 YES
6. Will Addam's Family stay above $10M? 2000 YES
7. Will South of Heaven open above Lamb? 3000 NO
8. Will Chal Mera Putt 3 stay above Titane? 4000 YES
9 Will Free Guy drop more than 50%? 1000 YES
10. Will Candyman increase more than 65% on Saturday? 2000 YES
11. Will Evan Hanson have a PTA above $375? 3000 NO
12. Will Shang Chi have a smaller percentage drop than Jungle Cruise? 4000 YES
13. Will No Time To Die's Domestic Total after Sunday be closer to the domestic total of Venom or Evan Hanson? 6000 VENOM
Bonus:
6/13 2000
7/13 4000
8/13 6000
9/13 9000
10/13 12000
11/13 16000
12/13 20,000
13/13 24,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will No Day To Die make for its 3 day OW? 82.111m
2. What will Venom's percentage drop be? -58.9%
3. What will Lamb's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? 1000
Part 😄
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. No Time to Die
2. Venom 2
4. Shang Chi
6. Free Guy
8. Lamb
10. Jungle Cruise
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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TOP 10 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE
Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 20,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game.
A: Domestic top 10:
1) Spider-man No Way Home 350m
2) Eternals 200m
3) No Time to Die 190m
4) Matrix Resurections 185m
5) Encanto 130m
6) Dune 127m
7) Ghostbusters Afterlife 100m
😎 Sing 2 95m
9) Morbius 93m
10) West Side Story 88m
Backup 11*) King Richard 80m
*Only used if a film above exits the game
B: Top 5 Domestic OW:
1) Spider-man No Way Home 135m
2) No Time to Die 85m
3) Eternals 81m
4) Matrix Resurections 80m
5) Ghostbusters Afterlife 47m
Backup 6*) Dune 45m
*Only used if a film above exits the game
😄 RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS
RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:
A: 50M Halloween Kills
B: 100M Ghostbusters Afterlife
C 150M Encanto
D 200M Eternals
RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following best weekend milestones by the end of the game:
A: $30 King Richard
B: $45 Dune
C $60 Matrix Resurections
D $75 Eternals
RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game:
A: October No Time to Die
B: November Eternals
😄 December Spider-man No Way Home
😧 January Morbius
😧 RANDOM QUESTIONS OF DANGER
1. How many films in the OW Top 5 will release Day and Date on a streaming service?
a) 0 b) 1 c) 2
2. If Venom had been eligible for the game, where would its final total gross finish?
a) Top 3 b) Top 6 c) 7th or lower
3. Which of the following Studios will have the highest grossing film?
a) Sony b) MGM c) Warner Bros
4. How many films will gross more than $100M?
a) 6 or fewer b) 7-8 c) 9 or more
5. Which studio will have the most films in the top 5?
a) Disney b) Sony c) Warner Bros
6. Which studio will have the most films in places 6-10?
a) Disney b) Universal c) Warner Bros
7. Which studio will have the most films in places 10-15?
a) Universal b) Sony c) Warner Bros
8. How many different films will finish 1st Domestic, 1st Top Weekend, and 1st WW?
a) 1 b) 2 c) 3
9. Which of the following will have the highest combined Domestic gross?
a) Eternals + Encanto b) Bond + Dune c) Spider-Man + Ghostbusters
10. Which of the following will have the closest combined best weekends?
a) Spider-Man + Halloween b) Matrix + Sing c) Bond + West Side Story
11. How much will the Domestic Top 10’s combined gross be?
a) Less than $1.25B b) $1.25B-1.6B c) Over $1.6B
12. How much will the top 5 best Weekends’ combined gross be?
a) Less than $300M b) $300M-$400M c) Over $400M
DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS
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On 9/12/2021 at 4:59 PM, DeeCee said:
It will be either 11th or 18th October.
Until then the box office is prob running at around 30 or 40% of the market. Maybe even less (30% nsw, 29% Vic, act 1%? 🤷🏻♂️)
in other news I’m double phizeeeerrrrrrrred - I think that’s it should written (sorry been watching too much Jimmy Rees!
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On 6/29/2021 at 8:44 AM, DeeCee said:
Everyone will be in lockdown by the end of the day.
This country is nuts.
I think it’s nearly half the population is currently on lockdown. I heard reported over 11m. 🤔
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quick update. Wrath of Man takes top spot from MK which dips a hefty 54%. While GodzillaVKong has been giving 30m a good shake here, it's looking like it will fall short now and probably finalise between 27m and 28m.
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oh and small update on the list above....
Godzilla vs Kong in top spot now and Peter Rabbit 2 has shifted into 5th pushing tenet out of the top 5.
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Mortal Kombat producing a knock out victory at the top of the charts here. Frankly I would have been happy with the result here pre-covid which is a good sign for the movie market here. Godzilla vs Kong continuing on it's merry way to nearly 30m (it's going to be close, 26m and counting.) Remember this is like making 300m in the US. Peter Rabbit 2 also performing quite well with nearly 19m to date.
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The Dry is having a fantastic run. 15m already. I feel like 20m is easily going to be passed with the small drops it keeps getting. At this rate 25m isn’t impossible in this market.
to me the dry has turned out to be a film that has benefited from COVID. I think in a normal market this makes around 10m? COVID has given the film room to breathe. And the lack of competition has pushed it a lot further too.
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4 hours ago, lab276 said:
If anything, this is how they'll survive, these are excerpts from the Event AGM and the annual report:
"We had made solid progress against our Entertainment strategy to maximise our assets by investing in fewer-better locations and innovating with our cinema of the future concepts, expanding our premium cinema offerings at key locations across Australia and New Zealand."
"As part of the continuing strategy to improve our asset portfolio, we closed Mackay City cinema, and exited leases at Cronulla and Manuka. Subsequent to year-end, we have also confirmed the closure of Adelaide City, Arndale, and Townsville City. All of these were cinemas that had been loss making for many years."
"The stage one development application for the 525 George Street development, which will include ground floor retail, a seven-screen cinema, a new 450-room Atura hotel and conference centre, and 72 residential apartments, was approved in May, with a design competition about to commence."
https://www.evt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Chairmans-Address-to-Shareholders-2020-1.pdf
https://www.evt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/2020-Annual-Report.pdf
So that's likely to be the future. Closing underperforming sites, increasing the amount of premium screens, whilst reducing the overall screen count. George Street for example would go down from 15 to seven screens. The Hoyts theatre at Wetherill Park is very nicely done up too, they reduced the number of seats, but they're all recliners now, even in regular screens.
This is for the year ended June 30, so it has nothing to say about how they performed since cinemas reopened in early July. Tbh, I don't really know how to read these things, between the lines it could be a complete disaster.
True for the larger chains such as event. But I can see big troubles for the smaller operators without changes. Not saying it’s impossible but not a great situation
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4 hours ago, DeeCee said:
All cinemas would still qualify for JobKeeper. They would be maintaining the same number of staff but the hours for all staff are probably matching the current JobKeeper amount. The Federal Government is still probably paying the bulk of their wages bill.
I don't think they would stay open without a JobKeeper style arrangement for possibly all of 2021.
Edit: Should have read the article first. It doesn't even mention this.
True. Accept that is being wound in the next few months (it’s already reduced)
the long term viability of cinemas not only overseas but here in Australia is in question right now. I don’t see numbers returning quickly especially with the move Warner’s took.
in saying that WW84 had a very respectable start here. But even with that the overall BO for Xmas/ New Years is way down on previous years.
though we aren’t getting the day and date release here so..... don’t think Warner’s will let foxtel play their movies earlier than normal.
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interesting article in the Brisbane Times ....
It's from a local independant cinema owner in brisbane (United Cinemas - runs the elderado cinemas at indooroopilly). Unless there is some intervention (and we are talking here in australia) he sees struggles for cinemas here where we are able to open. Raises a lot of points which i think have been mentioned around here already but still...... interesting read to see how australian cinemas are taking all this. especially the WB move (day and date releases in the USA)
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33 minutes ago, DeeCee said:
It would include screenings on 23/12 and some Christmas Day sessions.
Boxing Day was probably $3-4m.
Hopefully Numero tweets shortly.
Yeah I'm thinking 200k Xmas day, 3.8m boxing 2.x sunday.
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For those that don't know the Australian box office the next whole week after boxing day normally sees daily total near weekend dailies. So the weekdays could see another 4-6m before new years weekend. I'm expecting WW84 to be over 15m after new years. I feel like 30m isn't out of reach here which is a total Warners would have been looking for in AUS even pre covid.
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Fantastic start for WW84 here. 4.5m USD or over 6m AUD opening weekend. That's a 2 day total because boxing day fell on a Saturday. Compared to last year jumanji TNL did 13.2m over 4days (boxing landed on a Thursday) so not a bad start in comparison. Very hard to compare as not apples for apples but this feels stronger than the first WW of 6.8m over a normal 4 day weekend. Unless we get another covid outbreak I think WW84 Should top it's predecessors total of 25m here. All round great start. Pretty sure the overall box office is down due to lack of product but fantastic start for WW84 here
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30 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Just to clarify I am Team Australia here. Don't really like the arrogant fucks of BCCI team.
Nice. Hopefully we can route em in the morning so we can finish it off again.....
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5 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Aus - 10/195
India - 1/36
I guess India wasn't going to repeat it's adelaide performance
10 / 36 (well technically 9 / 36 + 1 retired hurt but still)
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any early thoughts on how boxing day performed here.... @Rthtr @charlie Jatinder - kinda hoping we see an reasonable uptick (not expecting anywhere near previous boxing day results but still hopeful. I haven't had time to catch WW84 as yet though i'm not the biggest DC fan so really isn't high on my agenda to see (though i did enjoy the first film)
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11 hours ago, Rthtr said:
True ,Tenet wkending 23/12 over $au15.7 (weekend 15.59)
wkending 16/12 15.4m (weekend $au15.28m)
wkending 9/12 15m
Boxofficemojo getting more data now as well, but it only seems to be in $us
11 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:The Numbers hasn't updated Australia for few weeks now. When they update, those are in AUD numbers.
The numbers we see for Dec 11 is USD total reported by Warner & other studios.
21 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:Because actual numbers for that weekend are posted yet. Usually they aren't that late, usually by Tuesday Weekend numbers are posted.
Makes sense. Still a little confusing when the numbers aren't up to date. I'm guessing there won't be much official reporting till after new years now.
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2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
That's not latest chart. That is December 4 chart. MPDAA numbers not USD to AUD.
Not disagreeing but look at the 11th Dec chart (incomplete as it is). Tenets total has reduced by 200k? From 14.9m to 14.7m approx. All totals on the numbers are USD converted back to AUD. works for weekly numbers but overall totals don't work. See my post above from screen Australia. Tenet is over 15.4m as of 18 Dec.
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On 12/23/2020 at 3:30 PM, charlie Jatinder said:
The problem with the numbers is all numbers are in US first and then converted back to AUD often making the AUD figure wrong. Eg. Tenet shows as up to 14.9m AUD on the numbers but the real AUD figure is over 15.4m
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On 12/21/2020 at 8:44 PM, juni78ukr said:
Can't find any reliable source with Australia weekend charts. Numero provides only weekend and weekly numbers without totals.
See my above post for the widget but screen Australia update their totals weekly (Inc monthly and a top 50 yearly chart)
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Testing - checking too see if the embed option from screen Australia works.
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Late belated Christmas to everyone here from down under (boxing day has already arrived Here)
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10 / 36 (well technically 9 / 36 + 1 retired hurt but still)
Australian Box Office | ....
in International Box Office
Posted
Pretty sure I still have all my avatar data in excel from back in the day. …..
ps it’s performing fine will be interesting how the dailies went whether it’s heading for 60m (seems way under now) or pushing for 100m. I think it’s heading for 80-90m finish. But way to early days.