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JJ-8

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Everything posted by JJ-8

  1. reposting here because they were on the page before i'd like to run a kind of test run for the remainder of summer hence the short version starting in early june. Winter game aligns closely to your thinking above though.
  2. feel free to tag anyone else who you think might be interested... @CJohn @Exxdee @chasmmi @grey ghost @Simionski @MCKillswitch123 @The Dark Alfred @Wrath @BourneFan #1 @DAJK (I've included those that played in the past 12 to 18 months) I'm also thinking of running a few games a year rather than a year long game. 1. Summer Game This year will be a short game run from 1st June to 3rd September (you can invest in any film that opens between these dates under normal investment rules ie. 1 month ahead etc) In future i'd run it from the first weekend of Summer till labor day weekend. 2. Winter Game Last weekend in October to Last weekend in February It will also give me a break going forward. Unless you think it's worthwhile to run a full year game ? I realise this does leave September, March and April mostly outside of the game, but I think it's unrealistic to run it year long.. it's a bit much for everyone! Welcome thoughts on the proposed changes before I implement. Once again welcome any comments or changes and thoughts - especially from those who dropped out (PM me if you don't want to post - as I would like to understand what makes the game fun and playable.) As noted, feel free tag anyone who you think might be interested while we discuss options.
  3. Ok here is a new set of proposed rules :- @chasmmi @grey ghost @Simionski Game is reset (I don't quite see the point in continuing right now, as Chas pointed out, it's too hard to enter mid year) ~ Still deciding which weekend the reset happens on (I'll still count out what has happened this year but end the game as it stands based on our current investments up to and including the last few investments.) (I'm thinking the new game will start the weekend post Memorial weekend but still playing around in my head) Proposed set of rules Everyone starts with 250m in the bank There is only 100% available per film. Max investment per player is 70%. 2 Weeks prior to release and no investment has been made, this is reduced to 50% max 1 week prior to release and no investment has been made, this is reduced to 30% max 1 day prior to release and no investment has been made, this is put to 100% max If "1 Player" has invested inside 2 weeks from investment (under the above rules), then that player (and only that player) may choose to invest too 100% now. If someone does invest then this rule DOES NOT apply. BUDGET updates as follows: 4 weeks (first available) = 100% of game budget 2 weeks prior to release and no investment made Game budget = 75% of game budget 1 week prior to release and no investment made Game budget = 50% of original game budget Best in Best dressed, no more auctions or splitting the film up.. you get what you purchase assuming its available. 300% rules remains as is. wide releases are what matters Any other ideas ?
  4. 1. April 27-29 - 330m 2. June 22-24 - 300m 3. May 25-27 - 275m
  5. Partial 16,000 - Incredibles 2 Full 8,000 - Hotel Transylvania Full 5,000 - Equalizer 2 Full 1,000 - Super Troopers
  6. Accept this could be that time ala Wonder Woman which I remember most losing out for predicting under. Way under. Point is. Go with your gut. Or roll the dice. Just remember for those that didn’t do week 0 questions. Everything else - preseason, SOTM1,2,3,4, BOTM and QOTW are all due on the 26th. Day before IW opens. If u did answer week 0 and either edit or haven’t posted the preason u get 0 for week 0 then as if u didn’t answer. But changing that pass is fraught with danger. Oh the fun of it. Btw at a glance 18 entries are valid (I think) for week 0 assuming u put in answers.
  7. Seems there are a few wannabe Aussies around here ..... anyway... here is mine Not surprisingly .... Australia : 1. Avengers: Infinity War - 48.4m 2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 35.9m 3. The Incredibles 2 - 34.6m
  8. TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Avengers: Infinity War - 730.3m 2) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 569.4m 3) Solo: A Star Wars Story (3d) - 522.9m 4) The Incredibles 2 - 499.2m 5) Deadpool 2 - 389.9m 6) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 268.0m 7) Disney's Christopher Robin - 194.1m 8) Mission Impossible - Fallout - 165.8m 9) Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - 161.0m 10) Skyscraper - 148.6m 11) Ocean's 8 - 135.7m 12) Mamma Mia: Here we go again! - 116.6m 13) The Meg - 96.8m 14) The Equalizer 2 - 88.8m 15) Sicario: Day of the Soldado - 84.4m Backup 16*) The First Purge - 74.9m *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Avengers: Infinity War - 263.8m 2) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 191.3m 3) Solo: A Star Wars Story (3D) - 171.8m 4) The Incredibles 2 - 135.8m 5) Deadpool 2 - 118.9m 6) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 91.3m 7) Disney's Christopher Robin - 63.5m Backup 8*) Mission Impossible - Fallout - 57.4m *Only used if a film above exits the game C: Worldwide top 12: 1) Avengers: Infinity War - 1738.7m 2) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 1459.9m 3) The Incredibles 2 - 1279.9m 4) Solo: A Star Wars Story (3D) - 986.6m 5) Deadpool 2 - 886.2m 6) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 765.7m 7) Disney's Christopher Robin - 554.6m 8) Mission Impossible - Fallout - 552.8m 9) Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - 435.0m 10) Skyscraper - 371.6m 11) The Meg - 312.4m 12) Ocean's 8 - 295.1m Backup 13*) Mamma Mia: Here we go again! - 238.0m *Only used if a film above exits the game D: China 1) Avengers: Infinity War - 330.0m 2) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 251.0m 3) The Meg - 155.0m 4) Mission Impossible - Fallout - 140.0m 5) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 110.0m backup 6*) Skyscraper - 100.0m *Only used if a film above exits the game E: Multipliers 1) The Incredibles 2 2) Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 3) Deadpool 2 4) Mamma Mia: Here we go again! 5) Sicario: Day of the Soldado backup 6*) Disney's Christopher Robin *Only used if a film above exits the game F: Total Grosses Top 15 Domestic) 4171.6m Top 7 OW) 1034.4m Top 12 Worldwide) 9638.5m Top 5 China) 986.0m G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M The Meg B: 200M Disney's Christopher Robin C: 300M Ant-Man and the Wasp D: 400M Deadpool 2 E: 500M The Incredibles 2 RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom B: $1B Solo: A Star Wars Story (3D) C: 800M Ant-Man and the Wasp D: 600M Disney's Christopher Robin E: 400M Skyscraper RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: April Avengers: Infinity War B: May Solo: A Star Wars Story (3D) C: June Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom D: July Ant-Man and the Wasp E: August Disney's Christopher Robin DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS
  9. First DRAFT (likely to be changed before the game starts....) Part A: 1. Will I Feel Pretty Open to more than $15M? 1000 yes 2. Will I Feel Pretty Open to more than $18M? 2000 no 3. Will Super Troopers Open to more than $4M? 3000 yes 4. Will Super Troopers Open to more than $6M? 4000 no 5. Will Rampage end the weekend at number 1? 5000 no 6. Will Traffik Open to more than $3M? 1000 no 7. Will Truth of Dare drop more than 60%? 2000 yes 8. Will A Quiet Place stay in the top 4? 3000 yes 9. Will Black Panther drop more than 32%? 4000 yes 10. Will Ready Player One have a PTA higher than $2,500? 5000 yes 11. Will Isle of Dogs have a higher Saturday increase than Sherlock Gnomes? 1000 no 12. Will Will Borg vs McEnroe have a Friday increase over 85%? 2000 yes 13. Will Tyler Perry stay above Chappaquidink? 3000 no 14. Will Blockers make more than $5M 4000 no 15. Will any of these questions actually be a challenge 10 days from now? 5000 quite likely no...... Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will I Feel Pretty make for its 3 day? 17.333m 2. What will Rampage's change be? -55.5% 3. What will I Can Only Imagine's PTA be for the Weekend? 2,100 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. A Quiet Place 3. I feel Pretty 5. Truth or Dare 6. Blockers 9. Isle of Dogs 11. Sherlock Gnomes Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  10. Because i'm playing for shits and giggles Avengers: Infinity War = 263.8m
  11. I'm willing to put a more general post up in the main forum (in the thread we have running there) to this effect if the 3 of us agree on a change.. or should I just hold it together to year end ?
  12. @Simionski @grey ghost Hey guys, was wondering whats your opinion on this game ... is too complicated ? we are now the only 3 players still playing. @chasmmi hasn't made an investment since December and he is the only other player outside of us 3 who is still earning anything on a weekly basis. I like the game generally but maybe it's too simple or too complicated ? Should look at a cutover and convert the game into something simpler to try get interest going again.... I think it's too easy to earn $ at the moment way to easy! Maybe go down the following path : 1. Movies are available 1 month out still. 2. 100% max investment (lets return to simplicity... ie. not 2 copies available any more) 3. invest in lots of 10% only 3. Return to the best in best dressed (no more of the calculated stuff I've been using lately) scenario 4. pick particular films which are big blockbusters (we will identify in advance) and put a max of 50% investment in said films. .. I do like the budget rule however and it's almost like whoever shot the film, is trying to sell so they are discounting the film to get an investment in it. I'd propose to simplify to 1 week ahead of release if the film has no investment it drops to 50% of the proposed budget. If we restart midyear to try and reingivigourate the game... we all start with 50m (yes I know this makes it hard to invest but the current game is dieing...... OR Leave things as they are and hope we get some more interest in the game ? As you are the only players I thought it best to ask... at the moment the way things are, we all get a piece of the pie right now as there are so few of us making the game a little well boring at times.
  13. Hard as in confusing OR hard as in really hard to pick the right weekends!
  14. And the final pre-Season SOTM (SOTM 4) is up....... it's a one of the SOTM's I tested in the winter game ...... (adding to the third post also )
  15. SOTM 4 : Weekenders Predict the 3 highest grossing weekends (aggregate Top 12 TOTAL) in the game. To be clear I am referring to the total between the top 12 films on that weekend. Weekend refers to the normal 3 day weekend (fri - sun). You can choose any weekend which occurs during the gametime (4/20 to 9/3). You can abstain from this SOTM for 3k. If you do no post / not answer this SOTM you will score -10k for this SOTM.. Part A - Predict the top 3 positions. You must specify what position the weekend will land (1, 2 or 3 - you can only list each position once and each weekend once). eg. 1. June 1-3 2. August 24-26 3. July 6-8 Scoring :- Weekend is in top 3: +10k Weekend is in exact spot: +25k Weekend is not in top 3 = -20k Bonus Scores (Each score is added if it applies) If all 3 weekends are in the top 3 = +25k If all 3 weekends are within 1 spot = +50k If all 3 weekends are exact (ie. you got the top 3) = +75k If 2 weekends are not in the top 3 = -20k If all 3 weekends are not in the top 3 = -40k Part B - Predict the Aggregate Grosses for each weekend (Total Gross) you have selected in Part A. You can choose not to answer the gross for any weekend of your choosing for no loss at all otherwise scoring is as per below: You can choose to not answer / Abstain from Part B with no loss. Scoring :- If the weekend is in the top 3 & - Predicted Gross is within 1m of Actuals = 50k - Predicted Gross is within 2m of Actuals = 30k - Predicted Gross is within 5m of Actuals = 15k - Predicted Gross is within 10m of Actuals = 10k - Predicted Gross is within 15m of Actuals = 5k - Predicted Gross is within 20m of Actuals = 0 - Predicted Gross is > 20m of Actuals = -10k - -1k for every 1m beyond 20m you are to a max of -30k If the weekend is NOT in the top 3 & - Predicted Gross is within 20m of Actuals = 0 - Predicted Gross is > 20m of Actuals = -20k - -2k for every 1m beyond 20m you of off and there is no maximum. Good luck everyone! Deadline : Thursday, 26th April, 11.59pm
  16. Latest deadline has AQP OD at 20m! Wow. AQP - I thought a month back it OW would land around or just above 20m. Not it’s OD ow between 45m and 60m incoming? Very good for RPO too. 23m or so and only 45% dip. Should be on its way to 130m+ now. This is April could be huge if rampage pulls good #’s too.
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