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JJ-8

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  1. And the answer to Week 3 is.... Week 3: May 11th Weekend: - Will any film be within $20M of Infinity War? TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 1 Avengers: Infinity War BV $61,817,000 -46.1% 4,474 - $13,817 $547,829,103 - 3 2 N Life of the Party WB (NL) $18,500,000 - 3,656 - $5,060 $18,500,000 - 1 3 N Breaking In (2018) Uni. $16,500,000 - 2,537 - $6,504 $16,500,000 $6 1 Not even close
  2. Everyone keeps saying this film is the end... Did anyone think that IW was the end of the mcu as we know it and this becomes the new beginning for the next phase of the mcu ?
  3. Guys lets keep it civil in here. The mods are watching. You have been warned.
  4. FYI :- N/A = Did not answer, Cashout with a loss of 20% on current streak. C/O = Cashout current streak. Answer Score is the tier you are on... most still on 20,000 per question as noted.
  5. ok so that means the weekly scores can be updated for QOTW. I've already added the week 3 answers however no scores are done yet as we don't have an actual... it's gonna be all right or all wrong Not surprisingly we still have 24 players on a perfect score so far. Question of Week Scoring Cashout current streak when Incorrect (50% loss), no answer (20% loss), Cashout (0% loss) No Color = original scoring (20k per correct answer) Orange = 1st Rentry (15k per correct answer) Blue = 2nd Reentry (10k per correct answer) Green = 3rd Reentry (7k per correct answer) Purple = 4th Reentry (5k per correct answer) Red = 5th Reentry (or subsequent) (3k per correct answer) Current Streak # Player Total Score Answer Score #Correct Running Score Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Actuals YES YES 1 24Lost 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 2 aabattery 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 3 baumer 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 4 bcf26 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 5 Chasmmi 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 6 Chewy 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 7 Empire 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 8 Fancyarcher 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 9 George (Premium George) 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 10 glassfairy 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 11 Infernus 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 12 Jake Gittes 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 13 JJ-8 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 14 Kalo 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 15 kayumanggi 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 16 MovieMan89 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 17 Sheikh 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 18 Simionski 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 19 Slambros 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 20 That one guy 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 21 Wrath 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 22 WrathofHan 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 23 ZeeSoh 40,000 20,000 2 40000 YES YES NO 24 AndyLL 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 25 captainwondyful 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 26 druv10 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 27 grey ghost 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 28 Mike Hunt 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 29 Panda (Critically Acclaimed Panda) 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 30 SchumacherFTW 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 31 Spaghetti (Isle of Pasta) 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 32 Telemachos 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 33 Tree 16,000 10,000 0 0 YES N/A N/A 34 Deja23 15,000 15,000 1 15000 N/A YES NO 35 Alfred (The Dark Alfred) 0 10,000 0 0 N/A N/A NO 36 Cmasterclay 0 7,000 0 0 N/A N/A N/A 37 MrWhite 0 7,000 0 0 N/A N/A N/A
  6. So Weeks 1 & 2 Answers... Week 1: April 27th Weekend: - Will Infinity open to more than $200M? Clear cut YES Week 2: May 4th Weekend: - Will Overboard open in 2nd place? Also YES.
  7. Pretty sure not all predicts are in there yet....
  8. Part A: 1. Will Life of the Party Open to more than $17.5M? 1000 YES 2. Will Life of the Party Open to more than $22.5M? 2000 YES 3. Will Breaking In open to more than $10M? 3000 YES 4. Will Breaking in open to more than $12.5M? 4000 NO 5. Will Breaking In and Life of the Party's combined OW be more than 50% of Infinity War's weekend gross? 5000 YES 6. Will Champion have a PTA above $6,000? 1000 NO 7. Will Infinity War Make more than $55M? 2000 YES 8. Will Overboard drop more than 44%? 3000 YES 9. Will Bad Samaritan stay above Ready Player One? 4000 YES 10. Will I Feel Pretty stay in the top 6? 5000 YES 11. Will Black Panther's PTA stay above $1,500? 1000 YES 12. Will Super Troopers have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES 13. Will Infinity War increase more than 55% on Saturday? 3000 YES 14. Will Quiet Place increase more than 155% on Friday? 4000 YES 15. How many people will rage because they do not know what Champion is? And then rejoice when they see it is essentially a Korean remake of Over the Top? 5000 WELL THERES SOMETHING TO THINK ABOUT........ Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Life of the Party make for its 3 day? 24.303m 2. What will Rampage's percentage change be? -40.565% 3. What will Tully's PTA be for the Weekend? 1846 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Life of the Party 6. I feel pretty 8. Black Panther 9. A Wrinkle in Time 11. Isle of Dogs 12. Truth or Dare Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  9. Tracking well... I think I was a bit optimistic on last weekends hold but looking at where we are at, I think 70m is doable... not locked... but a total 60m is all but locked at this point. bar a complete collapse that is. Week # Avatar The Avengers Star Wars: The Force Awakens Star Wars: The Last Jedi The Avengers: Infinity War Released 17/12/2009 25/04/2012 17/12/2015 14/12/2017 17/04/2018 Week 0 $931,125 $931,125 $6,003,882 $6,003,882 $8,701,122 $8,701,122 Week 1 (OW) $11,962,308 $12,895,497 $13,288,146 $19,305,652 $27,254,820 $27,254,820 $20,977,461 $20,977,461 $21,239,893 $29,941,015 $7,349,693 $20,245,190 $3,537,319 $22,842,971 $11,286,747 $38,541,567 $6,847,033 $27,824,494 $5,420,107 $35,360,000 W/E Screens/Ave 588 20,344 621 21,398 941 28,964 970 21,627 871 24,386 Opening Day 6,003,882 9,425,000 7,062,531 8,701,122 Single Day 6,003,882 (Wednesday) 9,425,000 (Thursday) 7,062,531 (Thursday) 8,701,122 (Wednesday) Week 2 $8,749,099 $28,994,289 $8,232,502 $31,075,473 $11,800,884 $50,342,451 $7,067,130 $34,891,624 $10,209,213 $45,628,368 $9,772,863 $38,767,152 $2,958,066 $34,033,539 $10,604,824 $60,947,275 $4,355,983 $39,247,607 W/E % Drop -26.9% -38.0% -56.7% -66.3% -51.9% Week 3 $9,659,700 $48,426,852 $5,198,112 $39,231,651 $9,001,962 $69,949,237 $6,182,004 $45,429,611 $6,475,778 $54,902,630 $1,176,602 $40,408,253 $5,017,486 $74,966,723 $2,865,007 $48,294,618 Week 4 $8,338,365 $63,240,995 $3,513,268 $43,921,521 $4,917,825 $79,884,548 $3,017,139 $51,311,757 $5,032,850 $68,273,845 $802,397 $44,723,918 $2,249,767 $82,134,315 $1,307,442 $52,619,199 Week 5 $7,002,454 $75,276,299 $2,262,900 $46,986,818 $2,988,963 $85,123,278 $1,773,929 $54,393,128 Week 6 $5,604,268 $84,804,886 $1,774,762 $49,316,321 $1,826,202 $88,275,958 $885,524 $56,126,907 Week 7 $4,548,004 $92,706,581 $1,282,054 $51,028,343 $1,290,271 $90,638,978 $644,882 $57,143,516 Week 8 $3,936,622 $98,374,262 $608,269 $52,304,307 $754,425 $91,783,059 $306,550 $57,690,146 Week 9 $2,850,321 $102,615,052 $307,314 $52,752,706 $420,085 $92,542,919 $113,297 $57,892,493 Week 10 $1,874,114 $105,454,142 $162,343 $53,086,490 $247,395 $93,031,459 Week 11 $1,709,239 $107,859,934 $52,400 $53,248,265 $213,017 $93,421,822 Week 12 $1,003,500 $109,539,127 $113,684 $93,607,048 Week 13 $780,998 $110,866,504 $86,128 $93,753,557 Week 14 $561,868 $111,653,739 $51,101 $93,852,135 Week 15 $323,301 $112,170,651 TOTAL: $115,623,586 $53,250,000 $94,034,011 $58,050,000 $45,628,368
  10. I think we are due to for a showdown... It's hard to compare to the Star Wars films due to the time of year, but against the avengers it's a healthy 54% at the same point. to be honest, it's not far off the pace of the force awakens right now (only 3m behind after 7 day (yeah vs 8 but the it's the same point) - it's the weekdays where TFA has the advantage due to Christmas.) At this point I do think that IW it's passing TLJ making 60m seem well within reach. of course this could all change when IW drops like > 60% (not happening... I'm a believer!) Week # Avatar The Avengers Star Wars: The Force Awakens Star Wars: The Last Jedi The Avengers: Infinity War Released 17/12/2009 25/04/2012 17/12/2015 14/12/2017 17/04/2018 Week 0 $931,125 $931,125 $6,003,882 $6,003,882 $8,701,122 $8,701,122 Week 1 (OW) $11,962,308 $12,895,497 $13,288,146 $19,305,652 $27,254,820 $27,254,820 $20,977,461 $20,977,461 $21,239,893 $29,941,015 $7,349,693 $20,245,190 $3,537,319 $22,842,971 $11,286,747 $38,541,567 $6,847,033 $27,824,494 $5,420,107 $35,360,000 W/E Screens/Ave 588 20,344 621 21,398 941 28,964 970 21,627 871 24,386 Opening Day 6,003,882 9,425,000 7,062,531 8,701,122 Single Day 6,003,882 (Wednesday) 9,425,000 (Thursday) 7,062,531 (Thursday) 8,701,122 (Wednesday) Week 2 $8,749,099 $28,994,289 $8,232,502 $31,075,473 $11,800,884 $50,342,451 $7,067,130 $34,891,624 $9,772,863 $38,767,152 $2,958,066 $34,033,539 $10,604,824 $60,947,275 $4,355,983 $39,247,607 W/E % Drop -26.9% -38.0% -56.7% -66.3% Week 3 $9,659,700 $48,426,852 $5,198,112 $39,231,651 $9,001,962 $69,949,237 $6,182,004 $45,429,611 $6,475,778 $54,902,630 $1,176,602 $40,408,253 $5,017,486 $74,966,723 $2,865,007 $48,294,618 Week 4 $8,338,365 $63,240,995 $3,513,268 $43,921,521 $4,917,825 $79,884,548 $3,017,139 $51,311,757 $5,032,850 $68,273,845 $802,397 $44,723,918 $2,249,767 $82,134,315 $1,307,442 $52,619,199 Week 5 $7,002,454 $75,276,299 $2,262,900 $46,986,818 $2,988,963 $85,123,278 $1,773,929 $54,393,128 Week 6 $5,604,268 $84,804,886 $1,774,762 $49,316,321 $1,826,202 $88,275,958 $885,524 $56,126,907 Week 7 $4,548,004 $92,706,581 $1,282,054 $51,028,343 $1,290,271 $90,638,978 $644,882 $57,143,516 Week 8 $3,936,622 $98,374,262 $608,269 $52,304,307 $754,425 $91,783,059 $306,550 $57,690,146 Week 9 $2,850,321 $102,615,052 $307,314 $52,752,706 $420,085 $92,542,919 $113,297 $57,892,493 Week 10 $1,874,114 $105,454,142 $162,343 $53,086,490 $247,395 $93,031,459 Week 11 $1,709,239 $107,859,934 $52,400 $53,248,265 $213,017 $93,421,822 Week 12 $1,003,500 $109,539,127 $113,684 $93,607,048 Week 13 $780,998 $110,866,504 $86,128 $93,753,557 Week 14 $561,868 $111,653,739 $51,101 $93,852,135 Week 15 $323,301 $112,170,651 TOTAL: $115,623,586 $53,250,000 $94,034,011 $58,050,000 $35,360,000
  11. while not a huge increase, both QLD and NT should see a small bump from the long weekend we have this weekend (I think) still not a shabby start given it's already over 35m in 8 days. i'm thinking between 12m and 14m second weekend ?
  12. Part A: 1. Will Overboard Open to more than $15M? 1000 YES 2. Will Overboard Open to more than $18M? 2000 NO 3. Will Bad Samaritan open to more than $10M? 3000 NO 4. Will Bad Samaritan open to more than $12.5M? 4000 NO 5. Which of the three new entries will have the highest PTA? 5000 overboard 6. Will Infinity War Make more than $100? 1000 YES (100m) 7. Will Infinity War Make more than $120? 2000 YES (120m) 8. Will A quiet place drop more than 44%? 3000 NO 9. Will Super Troopers stay above Ready Player One? 4000 NO 10. Will I feel pretty stay in the top 5? 5000 YES 11. Will traffik stay above Isle of Dogs? 1000 YES 12. Will Rampage have a PTA above $1,500? 2000 YES 13. Will Black Panther increase more than 160% on Friday? 3000 YES 14. Will Avengers increase more than 68.5% on Saturday? 4000 YES 15. Will Baymax be in Infinity War 2? 5000 LOL.... WHY NOT Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Overboard make for its 3 day? 15.845m 2. What will Truth or Dare's percentage change be? -50.89% 3. What will Blockers' PTA be for the Weekend? 1,090 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Overboard 4. Bad Samaritan 5. I feel pretty 7. Rampage 10. Tully 12. Ready Player One Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  13. PART A: 1. Overboard - $39M OVER 2. Life of the Party - $54M UNDER 3. Book Club - $25M UNDER 4. Action Point - $42.5M OVER 5. Adrift - $34M OVER 6. Tag - $43M UNDER 7. Show Dogs - $25M OVER 8. Breaking In - $34.8M OVER PART B: Here are 10 questions: 1. Which film will be the lowest grossing? Book Club 2. Which film will be the highest grossing? Overboard 3. Will any of the films listed make the top 20 domestic? No 4. Will at least one film double its predicted gross? no 5. Will at least one film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? no 6. Will the actual combined total gross for the 8 films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? higher 7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? book club 8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? overboard 9. Will at least 3 of these films make $50M? no 10. Will any of these films have an OW below $5M? yes
  14. TFA was the normal 4 day while IW has a 5th day which is a holiday too. Easily over 30m 5 day in AUD. Impressive. Gotta think 60m is on the cards at this point. Hell 70m doesn’t seem a stretch.
  15. ok I thought high 70's at most but 82m.... just wow. so in the summer game I put down 263m / 730m not unhappy with this now. as for the derby... 256m is looing pretty sweet right now
  16. If my calculations are right we are inside 3 hours to go and I've decided not to edit my preseason - leaving the good the bad and the ugly.... and i'm sure I've got all 3 down pat ! ... just hoping more good than anything else
  17. woah... that OD is insane.... no mids and many cinemas not open to 1pm... and it still gets to 8.7m if the around 5m Thursday holds, we are on track for a record breaking start here.... Probably not the #1 OW though ... can't see it reach TFA's monster.... (especially since it's OD isn't included technically) but still a monster... I'd say 25m - 30m 5 day in store now ?
  18. Weekly Questions will have 15 questions, except for the following weeks: Week 1 20 questions Solo Weekend 20 questions Jurassic World Weekend 20 questions Hotel Transylvania 20 questions Final Weekend 25 questions Part A: 1. Will Avengers Open to more than $210M? 1000 YES 2. Will Avengers Open to more than $250M? 2000 YES 3. Will Avengers Open to more than $230M? 3000 YES 4. Will Avengers Saturday increase from its true Friday (excluding Thursday previews)? 4000 YES 5. Will Will Avengers' Sunday be more than 5 times higher than second place's weekend gross? 5000 YES 6. Will Black Panther finish in a higher position this weekend than last weekend? 1000 YES 7. Will Rampage drop less than 50%? 2000 NO 8. Will truth or dare stay above blockers? 3000 NO 9. Will any film in the top 10 drop more than 70%? 4000 NO 10. Will Ready player One's PTA stay above $2000? 5000 YES 11. Will Super Troopers increase more than 40% on Saturday? 1000 NO 12. Will Quiet Place drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 NO 13. Will I Feel pretty make more than $9M? 3000 NO 14. Will Isle of Dogs increase more than 175% on Friday? 4000 NO 15. Will the top 12 make more than $300M? 5000 YES 16. Will Traffic stay above Isle of Dogs? 1000 NO 17. Will I feel Pretty have the worst PTA in the top 5? 2000 YES 18. Will Bharat Ane Nenu drop less than 60%? 3000 YES 19. Will Blockers make more than $1.25M on Saturday? 4000 NO 20. Will there be rioting in the streets when IW 'only' makes $185M? 5000 IF THAT HAPPENS, THEN WORLD WAR 3 WILL BREAK OUT........ Bonus: 12/20 3000 13/20 5000 14/20 8000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 20,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Avengers make for its 3 day OW? 256.567m 2. What will Ready Player One's Sunday gross be? 1.05m 3. What will Black Panther's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? 2,334 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Avengers Infinity War 3. Rampage 6. Ready Player One 8. Black Panther 9. Truth or Dare 11. Traffik Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  19. reposting here because they were on the page before i'd like to run a kind of test run for the remainder of summer hence the short version starting in early june. Winter game aligns closely to your thinking above though.
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