MovieMan89

I'm here for 2018 having two 700+ DOM grossers.

WB deserves every bit of this box office humiliation. They rushed out an entire cinematic universe trying to ride the coattails of their competitor and thinking they could do it just as well without putting in the years of meticulous planning, character, and world building that was the reason for said competitor's success in the first place.

Monday was most impressive to me because it was truly unprecedented for Monday box office. DH2 is comparable to TFA's previews considering it only had midnights, JW was comparable to its true Friday, Sat, and Sun, and it didn't shatter any Tue, Wed, or Thu gross records. And if not for the insane Monday hold, the other weekday grosses wouldn't have been possible. It was at least somewhat realistic to predict the rest of those weekday grosses after Monday's gross than it ever was to expect what it did on Monday. That couldn't have been predicted.

Damn, just saw Rth's latest post where he indicates he just meant it would pass 33m today, not that it already had. Yeah, nevermind to 50 then. Fingers crossed for the Monday record, hope it doesn't get within a mil again and miss like Sunday.

I've always considered TFA's $40m Monday to be the most impressive record of its whole run, and one of the most impressive out of any box office record. So a $50m Monday for BP would just be on a whole other level of box office records.

Imma need it to set the Monday record. Then it would go: 8th biggest Friday 4th biggest Saturday 2nd biggest Sunday 1st biggest Monday Beautiful.

Yes, it was incredible and higher than all predictions, however several of us here at the time were championing it to make more than any of the Twilight films weeks before release. It didn't just "come out of nowhere" to be a blockbuster unless you weren't reading the signs. Its a very similar thing to what’s happening with BP now. Most of us have realized for a few weeks now it was going to do a huge 150+ or so on ow, it’s just that most of us didn’t think it would do 200+.

Depends on the reception of IW. Movie is going to break all kinds of opening records. If MCU gives us another film like this or TA1 with IW, there is no way the multi won’t be good no matter how monstrous the opening is. Think 2015 all over again with JW and TFA.

Can we compare the multi of one of the most divisive blockbusters of the decade with that of one that is indicative of some of the best early WOM we’ve ever seen? No you’re right, it is a bad comparison, clearly BP is going to beat TLJ’s multi.

It’s dropping 35% or less tomorrow. The spillover effect here is huge.

TLJ’s 2.8x multi has to be the absolute floor for BP. That’s $565m.

So BP will only have a 37% OD share of its OW. The SW films both had 47-48% and JW and TA both had 39%.

If reception is on par with recent MCU films and TA1, then 275-300 is happening. Y’all can quote me.

So we’re gonna get a $202m ow and possible Sunday record after Friday was 8th ever. Avengers should definitley be shaking in its boots as far as holding onto its domestic cbm crown. JW and Titanic need to be worried too. This is a phenomenon and WOM is off the charts.

Now the question is if it did 60m today and tomorrow is a holiday, can it break TFA’s $40m Monday record? That would also get the 4 day super close to TFA’s OW.

By gross. Can’t remmeber something ever being off by anywhere near $10m.

Called it. And anyone know the answer to my question at the end? BP estimates may be off by $10m.

Lol, that’s like the most lowballed Sunday estimate ever for BP. Weekend actuals could be up 7-10m. What’s the record for most an estimate has been off?

At this point Cap and Iron Man are starting to feel old hat. I think Panther, the Guardians, Spidey, and surprisingly now Thor are far more where it's at with the younger audiences. They've basically set up Panther, Star Lord, and Spidey as the new core trio now, with Thor carrying over perhaps more renewed relevancy than he ever had as part of the original core trio.

It's no wonder Disney was so desperate to hang onto Pixar after Cars when the initial deal was up. It would be equivalent to them losing MCU after IW.

That was an insane box office streak - that actually didn't really lose steam until Ratatouille - that gets a little overlooked nowadays because it's easy to not realize just how much those first 7 films adjust to now: 1. Finding Nemo - $517m 2. Toy Story 2 - $439m 3. Monsters Inc - $413m 4. Toy Story - $402m 5. The Incredibles - $385m 6. Cars - $342m 7. A Bug's Life - $313 And no 3D/PLF in any of those grosses.

It also shows how little input and relevancy they have. Movie is smashing box office records and the IMDB and RT audience score are going up to respectable levels.

This question should wait a year and 9 months or so. Also, if we're counting Blind Side in this decade, why aren't we also counting Avatar? And for the record, THG wasn't quite as out of left field as the OP says. A large chunk of us here knew it was the next Twilight at the box office months before release, and there were definitely 300+ predictions floating around, myself included. Maybe not any 400+ ones, but it didn't just come out of nowhere to be a blockbuster. Anyone reading the signs knew it was going to be a blockbuster, just not quite to the level it was. Similar story for Sniper in the month or so leading up to release. We all knew it was going to breakout huge, just maybe not that huge. TBS is probably the only one on the poll that literally no one expected to be a blockbuster and came out of nowhere to be one.

$1b DOM

It's highly unlikely since it would basically require TFA's multi outside of the holiday season, but you're right it can't be totally discredited yet given the ecstatic early audience reception coming in and this opening. And the fact that it basically has its entire run without a big competitor. WiT may be the only other movie for two months to crack 100m, and that's targeting families so it's not really direct competition. Rampage may do like 150m, but BP will be pretty much done by then anyways. With a 200m OW I'd give it like a 50/50 chance of beating TA. Maybe 5-10% chance at Avatar.