MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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It opened with 8.8m. Needs 176 for a 20x. Low 170's seems like where it's headed after this weekend hold, but never underestimate TGS. 176 certainly could still happen.
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Damn, wasn't expecting that kind of a drop for TGS. 20x will be really tough now. Though is does say something about a movie's run when -32% seems like a "harsh" drop.
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I’m cool with that, but when it does 300+ on OW, I won’t blame anyone for being late to the party.
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This is definitely true. Even if you're not in the IW>BP camp, predicting sub 500 for IW at this point is pretty much certified insanity.
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carriepoppins.gif winningthiswarwithlove.gif notmyluke.gif
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Most blockbusters have better legs than TLJ. We're talking about the impressive aspects of BP's run.
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BP: 202/770 IW: 303/800
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Yes, but I'm saying I'm still in the IW>BP camp even if BP beats Avatar.
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Hold on now, how did we just jump from 700+ to 950+?
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I actually feel like BP is a movie Cameron would love. Unlike TFA, which I've always felt is the kind of movie that enraged him for stealing his DOM crown. Oh and @IronJimbo
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Avatar really does seem possible. Meanwhile, gonna be a long, cold, and lonely next couple months with only me and my tent still in the IW>BP DOM camp.
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It would be cool to see it hit like 720+, because that would be enough to finally settle the SM1/TDK/TA debate for most attended CBM ever.
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BP really did hit the jackpot. Amazing marketing, amazing reception, and the weakest competition for its run any tentpole currently on the future schedule will get.
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Don't you mean 3X AS MUCH AS JUSTICE LEAGUE?
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It could hold nearly as well as Wonder Woman's second weekend, with an ow TWICE as big. And next weekend is just as little competition as this one. 3.5x+ multi doesn't even seem crazy at this point.
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Now I know why Feige named it Infinity War: when you look on BOM total lifetime gross for it, all you'll see is ∞
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Of course, how foolish of me. Corrected my errors.
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Gonna go ahead and say we have a new #3 on the DOM chart incoming. #cameroncrumbling @IronJimbo
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110m+ on the table now, holy shit!
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Its second weekend destroying JL's OW even with previews is far more entertaining.
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With the ridiculously weak March slate ahead, who really knows what it could do. A Winkle in Time isn't even direct competition no matter what it does. Sub 50% second weekend is already crazy for a CBM.
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105 would be a 48% drop, which I believe only puts it behind Spider-man, Thor, and Wonder Woman for 21st century CBM second weekend holds. If it can hit 107m, it will beat Thor's (inexplicable) best second weekend hold in the MCU.
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A 105ish weekend keeps it in a good position to beat TA.
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RED SPARROW | 03.02.18 | Fox | Jennifer Lawrence
MovieMan89 replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
This better open to like 40m, cause at this point it's sounding like a 2x multi type of movie. -
It's more about what connects more with people. I thought Spy was fantastic and so did critcs and I thought the multi would be something like 5x+, yet it missed 4x and wasn't near as good of a multi as something like the cringey Bad Moms.
