MovieMan89

TOD has always stood out to me much more than TLC does, and as such I decided not that long ago that I actually do prefer it. It has its flaws but it's very memorable. Unlike TLC which I enjoy when I watch, and then tend to forget most of it shortly after.

If it beats TA's 2nd Sat and does 43m+, it's doing 110m or more for the weekend. Meanwhile, IO tryna make a serious push for 100. Holy shit, this month.

I hope you mean Sat, or now I'm really confused...

Something like 0-100m then?

Looks like this will be another top ten biggest weekends ever. Should beat all the June weekends except last weekend of course.

FD should be making the projections higher not lower.

Saturday shouldn't go below 30 based on everything we know about animated openers. The last 4 Pixar openers have all dropped between 4-10% on Sat. Even TS3 breaking the animated OD record didn't drop more than 10% on Sat. So yeah, 90 for the weekend at least.

Even giving it some harsh drops I can't see worse than 90 with father's day since it will drop sub 20% Sunday.

How would IO only do 84 for the weekend? They think it's going to drop 25% today or something?

There's a lot of stock in comic book movies to carry 2016 to big success, which could be a bad thing. I think CBM's may finally be winding down a bit in popularity. Though thankfully the GA will get a much needed reprieve from them between F4 and BvS. Then we have the BvS/Civil War/Apocalypse onslaught in Mar-May. Still I won't be surprised if animation is the big winner next year, not CBM's. Pets, KFP3, Dory, Ice Age, Zootopia, Moana...tons of potential heavy hitters for the genre. Either a lot are going to tank or it will truly be the year of animation at the box office.

For what it's worth, my 4 year old nephew sat through it pretty well. Only minor fidgeting in some of the heavier parts. Laughed in quite a few places and he said he liked it when I asked him. I have no idea how much of it he actually "got" though.

IO isn't getting a 4x multi, that much I know. I don't doubt WOM is great all around, but people need to put its OW in perspective for a moment and also look at the recent trend of animated multis. I don't think any better WOM was even possible for TS3, yet it stopped under a 3.8x multi because it had such a huge OW. IO's OW is going to be less than 15m below TS3's, so they're opening fairly similarly. And as I said, recent trends for animated multis aren't what they once were. Only the very well received ones are hitting 3.5x multis now and 4x is becoming near impossible barring a small OW. Don't even know what the last big animated film to open on a Friday and get a 4x multi was? BH6 came close but still fell short. Even Frozen would have probably just made it with a Friday opening. So 3.5x is more than a high enough goal for IO to shoot for with that massive OW and current animation multis. That's not even taking into account the havoc Minions could wreak on its late legs. People should prepare now for the possibility of IO not going much above 3.2x or so, even with the WOM.

8 movies over every 2014 movie would be pretty hilarious. 9 if we count AS as 2015 like it really is.

Don't forget Minions. And don't count Bond out either. So we could potentially go as high as 8. In fact I think IO is the one most in danger of not making it, and it has a pretty good shot too.

JW will roar past JP's original unadjusted gross sometime today. Re-release gross will go down on Monday.

They really have the best marketing department in the business today. Their marketing has been brilliant and non-stop for all of their films starting with DM1.

MJ2 will definitely open to 150m+ like the first two. MJ1 is looking more and more by the day like a casualty of the void that was 2014.

I totally forgot about that. I wonder if that would've added more to its OW, or maybe it helped 'cuz of early WOM.

Really excited to see what MI can do now in this summer.

By the way, go San Andreas! The drops for it have been great for the genre. Well deserved...I actually prefer it to JW and AoU.

Ted 2 - $50m Max - $13m

This didn't elicit one laugh at my IO screening. Compare that to the Minions trailer before, which kids were practically going into hyper active laugh induced seizures over. I just don't think this brand of humor really appeals to today's kids. But we shall see.

I hope you mean WW, because Titanic is 95% going down DOM.

JW will be 350m away from Avatar after a 100m+ 2nd weekend. Avatar is far from "untouchable" right now. I do agree that JW will fall short, but I bet not by much more than 40m or so.

Trevorrow must be in a complete state of shock at this point. From Safety Not Guaranteed to the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd highest grossing film ever.