blackspider

Agreed. TDK is super impressive in its own right, but it had a lot of things going for it. TDK's impressiveness goes beyond its OW. It's first set of weekdays were absolutely insane. Hunger Games doing these kinds of numbers in March is absolutely insane.

No, that's Star Wars. And both Star Wars and Empire Strikes Back opened in limited release so they didn't break any OW record. Return of the Jedi did break the OW on only 1,000 theaters.

Spider-Man 2 actually did pretty well holding up against SM1. And if Spider-Man 3 was on par with the first two, who knows who much it would've made. After its massive opening, 400m+ would've been a given despite its competition.

The Hunger Games looks to end up right around Spider-Man's adjusted OW (~155m). Granted Spider-Man did this ten years ago on far less screens and theaters. But Spider-Man was a 40 year old property at the time. Hunger Games came out less than 4 years ago and its popularity has just recently spiked when the movie was closer to being released. I'd give the slight edge to Spider-Man because it demolished the OW record that was just set 6 months prior.

Spider-Man 1 type increase in the works? 10%+?

As expected. Pre-sales generally just apply to midnight or OD. I want this baby to pass 50m today!

Sequels have a hard time increasing after the first one has such a huge performance. Matrix, TDK, Shrek, Pirates all had big increases from their predecessors because the first films had leggy BO runs and built up a lot of hype and goodwill for the franchise. X-Men and LOTR enjoyed small steady increases from film to film as the franchise maximized its potential with the final film.But for the most part sequels will have trouble matching the first film after the first film reaches uber blockbuster status. Spider-Man, Harry Potter, both Star Wars trilogies, Narnia, Jurrasic Park, etc. All of these films were cultural phenomenons and their sequels couldn't keep up despite their quality.

This appears to be more like Harry Potter 1 and Spider-Man. Those were the most popular films of their respective serues due to huge interest from casual moviegoers. It's hard for the sequels to match these films when the first film has this advantage. But, I could be wrong.

The spillover effect has to happen to beat TDK. I just think there is just too many showings for it to happen. But this film has defied all logic so far so I wouldn't doubt it at this point.

68.2m49.5m37mOW: 154.7mRight around Spider-Man's OW adjusted.

It increased from the 66m estimate? Hell yeah, that's a good way to start way to start my morining. Damn, this OD performance is nearly identical to what TDK did. This easily is one of, if not the most impressive OD in recent memory. It literally came out of nowhere. This is Harry Potter 1 and Spider-Man all over again. It has generated interested from casual moviegoers as an motion picture event and its huge BO will reflect that.

66m48m36m150m OW. Doesn't seem too hard.

Yes its possible. It'd be around a 10% increase non midnight Friday to Saturday. Definitely on the high end but I can see it happening.

So around 46m non-midnight. Right around DH2.

Well at least its not some huge range like Nikki's.

THR is saying "as much as 70 million."http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-report-hunger-games-303873

Nikki's latest update is about its Cinemascore. Is she just screwing with us now?

How does that compare to other huge openers at your theater?

Nope. We just have to wait for Nikki or THR to give us something.

I'm seeing a bunch of added shows at my local theaters that go till about 1 am. Night business is definitely strong.

So every update just makes the situation more and more confusing. Hopefully something a little more concrete comes out soon. Man, this has been an interesting day.

25m is the lowest it can go at this point. 25-30m is the range.

This will clear 20m easily at this point. This is a BO monster in the making. I compared it earlier to Harry Potter 1. Just slowly crept up on us and will take the world by storm.

John Carter IMO looks like it's going to be a disappointment. I'm expecting something like Prince of Persia and this will not be the massive hit it needs to be to make a profit.

Well reading the last few pages of this thread were definitely entertaining. At least for me.